TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Clippers vs. Bucks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Clippersof Clippers, Bucks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,322,006
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,452,713

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,322,006 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 306 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1bc0…4429backed Bucks9c431,861$38,848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,847.748343.7%211 W · 272 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x646c…4392backed Bucks10c60,197$5,899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,899.49520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-35.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Bucks4c56,588$2,223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,223.463,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f05…8937backed Bucks9c53,124$5,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,024.3447028.1%132 W · 338 L+27.2wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x44fc…7961backed Bucks12c47,588$5,586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,586.081735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-29.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49fa…f904backed Bucks7c41,028$2,942 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,941.6217436.2%63 W · 111 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Bucks7c40,633$2,682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,682.224,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Bucks12c39,867$4,589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,589.4420744%91 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-25.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba41…5f4fbacked Bucks9c35,000$3,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,20031445.2%142 W · 172 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9438…ad81backed Bucks2c34,960$702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702.213179.5%30 W · 287 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-59.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Bucks10c31,416$3,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,150.161,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Bucks9c28,806$2,694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,694.462,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Bucks2c26,047$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.611,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Bucks1c25,737$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.345213.8%20 W · 501 L+0.6wins0.00per pick4cpaid-36.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafe4…f3f7backed Bucks11c20,000$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,20015850.6%80 W · 78 L+10.3wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+21.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbedb…3b26backed Bucks10c20,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00016346.6%76 W · 87 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ca3…2d23backed Bucks3c18,069$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.322425%6 W · 18 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-20.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Bucks10c17,475$1,672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,672.24,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b22…ddcabacked Bucks12c14,426$1,731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,731.112832.1%9 W · 19 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-36.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Bucks12c14,400$1,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,679.9986641.5%359 W · 507 L-2.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Bucks12c14,400$1,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,679.9865939.5%260 W · 399 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Bucks12c13,500$1,575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,574.9743438.5%167 W · 267 L-1.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4108…9e22backed Bucks9c13,333$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2005036%18 W · 32 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5fc7…404bbacked Bucks13c12,786$1,662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,662.22875%6 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+45%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Bucks9c12,686$1,167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,166.664,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Bucks11c12,000$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,32021549.8%107 W · 108 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4059…23dabacked Bucks1c12,000$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.51234.9%6 W · 117 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick7cpaid+19.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Bucks9c11,233$1,039 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,039.382,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ea5…b5e6backed Bucks1c10,424$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.24per pick51cpaid-59.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Bucks4c10,385$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.4129055.5%161 W · 129 L+15.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc166…b140backed Bucks0c9,613$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick12cpaid+119.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Bucks7c9,141$617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$616.8336023.1%83 W · 277 L-15.6wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-49.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Bucks9c9,063$816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$815.6672450.7%367 W · 357 L+13.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc699…7961backed Bucks9c8,911$802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80220843.8%91 W · 117 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31a6…0dcfbacked Bucks9c8,889$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800.0117028.8%49 W · 121 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4309…7456backed Bucks11c8,022$893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$892.661336.1%221 W · 392 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Bucks0c7,985$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.58820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x410d…d831backed Bucks5c7,642$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.111335.4%40 W · 73 L-8.0wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbbd…d6f0backed Bucks11c7,573$833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8337248.6%35 W · 37 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1196…fe97backed Bucks4c7,514$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.566841.2%28 W · 40 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Bucks7c7,312$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.361,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5ea8…b084backed Bucks12c6,695$803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$803.413435.8%48 W · 86 L-7.4wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-23.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdaef…e17dbacked Bucks12c6,400$768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7685032%16 W · 34 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-29.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4870…85f7backed Bucks12c6,000$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$719.984445.5%20 W · 24 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Bucks4c5,883$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.211,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8285…77c9backed Bucks12c5,830$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.640%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Bucks5c5,699$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.071,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5a70…5882backed Bucks2c5,571$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139496.1%3 W · 46 L-4.4wins-0.09per pick15cpaid-72%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Bucks8c5,386$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.212,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8000…3a21backed Bucks15c5,000$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$734.9525947.5%123 W · 136 L+14.5wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+7.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Bucks0c4,917$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.767911%75 W · 604 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick10cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Bucks11c4,445$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4892,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Bucks0c4,397$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.077211%7 W · 714 L-2.6wins0.00per pick1cpaid-32.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1475…35e5backed Bucks12c4,350$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-55%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb580…9b95backed Bucks9c3,693$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.6118440.8%75 W · 109 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed Bucks14c3,570$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.3913148.1%63 W · 68 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9410…ffcdbacked Bucks9c3,493$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004030%12 W · 28 L+0.1wins0.00per pick30cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d66…7799backed Bucks8c3,048$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.841850%9 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+7.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Bucks6c3,019$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19422036.8%81 W · 139 L+0.9wins0.00per pick36cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Bucks12c3,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35068944%303 W · 386 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x69e6…b9f9backed Bucks4c2,791$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.48825%2 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick33cpaid+27.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67d5…e577backed Bucks8c2,768$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.44812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick14cpaid-47.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Bucks9c2,753$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.2530840.9%126 W · 182 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Bucks6c2,751$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.771,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Bucks5c2,700$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.861,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Bucks11c2,698$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.41,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Bucks19c2,688$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.3960549.8%301 W · 304 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Bucks10c2,655$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.133,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4fbc…ccc1backed Bucks4c2,452$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.529048.9%44 W · 46 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc1b6…c914backed Bucks9c2,234$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.049220.7%19 W · 73 L-6.2wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-42.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Bucks12c2,214$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.6855346.8%259 W · 294 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x241c…3d77backed Bucks11c2,200$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2421050%5 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-23%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6658…8afdbacked Bucks12c2,115$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.795856.9%33 W · 25 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x25d8…a71fbacked Bucks18c2,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36013245.5%60 W · 72 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-22.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa73a…656abacked Bucks8c2,000$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16025226.6%67 W · 185 L-26.7wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-49.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0867…c3f4backed Bucks5c1,964$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9920644.7%92 W · 114 L+13.6wins+0.07per pick38cpaid-10.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4f43…c0c2backed Bucks4c1,820$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.3723435.9%84 W · 150 L-9.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa5f6…a659backed Bucks7c1,813$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.9427241.9%114 W · 158 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c59…3887backed Bucks9c1,728$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.316126.2%16 W · 45 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-38.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc37…8505backed Bucks7c1,721$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.471225%3 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-44.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x00ed…2f3dbacked Bucks12c1,666$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9750%0 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4e2a…ce23backed Bucks13c1,613$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.721241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x627f…06dcbacked Bucks12c1,600$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1921428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-28.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1acc…8fe0backed Bucks14c1,584$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.7218043.9%79 W · 101 L-9.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-19.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x61c8…ff84backed Bucks6c1,540$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.613125.8%8 W · 23 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-36.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x765c…0779backed Bucks12c1,500$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18053939.5%213 W · 326 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66a7…3845backed Bucks12c1,474$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.891118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick31cpaid-69.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7769…0ad0backed Bucks12c1,400$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1681172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+21.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x46d1…883abacked Bucks6c1,384$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.52137.7%1 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick21cpaid-67.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Bucks8c1,380$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.7124841.1%102 W · 146 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Bucks11c1,364$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15065339.5%258 W · 395 L-24.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf90…8e17backed Bucks8c1,361$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.8947436.7%174 W · 300 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d50…d755backed Bucks12c1,334$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.08728.6%2 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick29cpaid+10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Bucks12c1,331$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.771,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Bucks12c1,250$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15017532%56 W · 119 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4278…0e92backed Clippers80c1,219$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.7741652.2%217 W · 199 L+1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Bucks6c1,216$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.6519135.6%68 W · 123 L-9.3wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6510…0999backed Bucks2c1,215$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6477…4243backed Bucks2c1,197$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253033.3%10 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b8b…15babacked Bucks18c1,119$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.45843.1%25 W · 33 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.