TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Clippers vs. Bucks: 1H Moneyline

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Clippersof Clippers, Bucks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$13,561
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$14,042

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,561 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xafe4…f3f7backed Bucks21c11,111$2,333 inLost-$2,333.3115850.6%80 W · 78 L+10.3wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+21.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x01ae…4385backed Clippers79c5,100$4,029 inWon+$1,071742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-23.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xddd3…dba6backed Clippers79c4,731$3,737 inWon+$993.421546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-23.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x692e…ee58backed Bucks17c572.62$100 inLost-$10017428.2%49 W · 125 L-10.9wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-31.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed Clippers79c506$400 inWon+$106.2643052.3%225 W · 205 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Clippers79c329.11$260 inWon+$69.1193145.8%426 W · 505 L-25.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x33e6…0244backed Bucks15c322.2$50 inLost-$49.74537.8%17 W · 28 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+21.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Clippers79c250$198 inWon+$52.52,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Bucks18c187.47$34 inLost-$33.6929243.8%128 W · 164 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Bucks16c126.65$20 inLost-$20.174,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e7c…164dbacked Clippers79c100$79 inWon+$211080%8 W · 2 L+3.0wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+51.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3191…e118backed Bucks15c99.6$15 inLost-$14.94333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-29.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf05b…c2aebacked Bucks17c90$15 inLost-$155230.8%16 W · 36 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Clippers79c49$39 inWon+$10.292,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.