TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Clippers vs. Bucks: O/U 223.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$123,092
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$122,912

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $123,092 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc7e1…aba6backed Over48c7,129$3,404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,725.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+109.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0ae…8cbdbacked Under52c6,633$3,449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,449.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf869…2bdebacked Over48c6,590$3,159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,430.811100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e33…58c5backed Under52c6,504$3,382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,382.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40be…521fbacked Under53c6,500$3,445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,44510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x71af…cfbcbacked Under52c6,472$3,365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,365.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3036…4fe6backed Over47c6,392$3,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,387.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ba2…db1fbacked Over48c6,290$3,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,270.59250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb130…7767backed Under53c6,249$3,312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,311.97728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick53cpaid-41%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xedf4…19b5backed Over48c6,231$2,991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,240.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x557e…7fbfbacked Under52c6,181$3,214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,214.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5078…d7b7backed Under52c6,164$3,205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,205.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd5c…f7fdbacked Under53c6,142$3,255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,255.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeee5…1a4fbacked Over48c6,077$2,917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,160.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7041…6f79backed Over47c5,890$2,768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,121.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58a0…ca02backed Over48c5,841$2,804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,037.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc202…ae16backed Under52c5,771$3,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,000.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c93…9d3cbacked Over47c5,733$2,695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,038.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb19a…1b94backed Under53c5,719$3,031 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,031.07520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-56.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4eb7…f18bbacked Over47c5,691$2,675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,016.231100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7a1…4906backed Under52c5,624$2,924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,924.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x395d…0af3backed Over47c5,542$2,605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,937.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c36…433dbacked Over47c5,412$2,544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,868.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2d6…4ed2backed Over48c5,353$2,569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,783.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x432f…cb37backed Under53c5,291$2,804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,804.2310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76ca…68c2backed Over48c5,216$2,504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,712.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc000…4573backed Under52c5,088$2,646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,645.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x158f…2abbbacked Under53c4,872$2,582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,582.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d82…ec73backed Under53c4,836$2,563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,563.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over35c3,299$1,145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,153.392,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Under74c3,087$2,298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,297.9265872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Over27c2,827$754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,073.581,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under51c2,722$1,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,380.26,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46f9…3c08backed Over47c2,720$1,278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,441.6250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over48c2,556$1,235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,320.384,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under63c2,405$1,516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,515.622,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under55c2,073$1,148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,148.323,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa24…0e2dbacked Over48c1,928$925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,002.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ef2…79f9backed Under5c1,876$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001931.6%6 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick31cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over49c1,702$833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$869.332,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over33c1,362$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$912.758,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over45c1,233$554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$679.184,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7879…3653backed Over45c1,111$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$610.9115952.8%84 W · 75 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Over49c1,100$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561.3987049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under50c1,047$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.814,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under53c877$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.322,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaac8…b6f1backed Under63c867.13$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$546.194957.1%28 W · 21 L+4.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+28.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over26c854.05$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$630.532,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b45…d196backed Under59c559.66$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.212540.8%51 W · 74 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Under45c480.5$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.2395651.5%492 W · 464 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5919…95acbacked Under55c459$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.2111543.5%50 W · 65 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over45c440$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2421,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x523e…3128backed Over55c417.47$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.153948.7%19 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x573e…e08abacked Under62c373.36$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.612733.3%9 W · 18 L-3.1wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-28.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Under34c329.7$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.0326337.3%98 W · 165 L-1.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc423…2ccdbacked Over46c270.58$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.5810854.6%59 W · 49 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+15.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over45c265.98$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1473,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Under54c260$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.911,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Under57c233.18$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.7719135.6%68 W · 123 L-9.3wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a96…0d7cbacked Under52c217.75$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.2310748.6%52 W · 55 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde18…e863backed Under48c208.54$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+22%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over29c203.64$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.321,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over29c202.68$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.8851647.5%245 W · 271 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xeaff…5f75backed Under53c197.78$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.83246.9%15 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under52c195.83$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.45,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over56c193.48$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.033,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5fb4…90f3backed Under52c191.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009245.7%42 W · 50 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over42c179.64$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.461,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10095452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under36c167.76$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.6765630.2%198 W · 458 L-86.7wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-42.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over25c165.18$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.991,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over45c163.7$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.372,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2691…d255backed Over48c144$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.88580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+53.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7fe2…be37backed Over48c143$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.36862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick43cpaid+76.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5625…6c2abacked Under74c135.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012845.3%58 W · 70 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d56…a287backed Under76c131.48$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8230…5121backed Under40c128.93$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.4320837.5%78 W · 130 L+38.2wins+0.18per pick19cpaid+115.2%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0xf39d…a5e9backed Under56c127.82$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$728453.6%45 W · 39 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdecf…caf2backed Under52c122.16$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.521050%5 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-26.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xce27…8a7dbacked Over43c116.28$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.2813441%55 W · 79 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfad4…379bbacked Under74c110.85$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.0310347.6%49 W · 54 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Over47c104.79$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.5455347.9%265 W · 288 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed Under51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5163353.1%336 W · 297 L-2.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Under40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4038242.9%164 W · 218 L-11.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Under43c99.6$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.831,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed Under52c95.51$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5069049.4%341 W · 349 L-30.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Over46c89.69$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.4378648.7%383 W · 403 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13e5…1ea5backed Over57c84.96$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.720049%98 W · 102 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00d4…4c46backed Over38c80$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.4521242%89 W · 123 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+8.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Under54c75.93$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x061e…81e0backed Under53c75.47$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4019849%97 W · 101 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb580…9b95backed Under49c70$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.5418440.8%75 W · 109 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e11…644abacked Under76c65.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501457.1%8 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick70cpaid-21.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa131…b599backed Under52c62$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.24366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+27%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x700a…58a5backed Over25c60$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4522336.8%82 W · 141 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f63…3e0dbacked Under53c58$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.74666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+21.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x01dc…183ebacked Over32c56.24$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.136734.3%23 W · 44 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-26.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbea4…0388backed Under52c55$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.6520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick54cpaid-66.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf558…b2cbbacked Over48c52.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.086854.4%37 W · 31 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Over58c51.8$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.9836949.6%183 W · 186 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.