TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Clippers vs. Bucks: O/U 220.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$84,235
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$88,504

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,235 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6ade…f5b0backed Over49c40,800$20,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,796.011,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Under70c13,938$9,763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,763.1165872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5919…95acbacked Under51c11,301$5,764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,763.5111543.5%50 W · 65 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under51c8,105$4,129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,128.574,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under48c5,535$2,655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,654.963,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x558f…1a56backed Under51c5,339$2,723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,723.1310860.2%65 W · 43 L+8.6wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+109.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe9f5…3e7abacked Under51c4,980$2,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,539.837755.2%208 W · 169 L+23.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+60.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over33c4,677$1,527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,149.572,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under50c4,303$2,152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,151.5821653.7%116 W · 100 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb9b4…75a0backed Under51c4,273$2,188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,187.98154.3%44 W · 37 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Over31c3,430$1,057 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,372.891,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under50c3,215$1,612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,611.923,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Over30c1,943$583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3601,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7879…3653backed Over53c1,871$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$871.2715952.8%84 W · 75 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47a6…69e0backed Under50c1,777$888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$888.3138750.4%195 W · 192 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over30c1,363$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$953.932,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Over33c1,343$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$906.3410239.2%40 W · 62 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3242…0e0bbacked Over50c1,254$627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62721247.2%100 W · 112 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9c0…4583backed Over50c1,200$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60013857.2%79 W · 59 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8230…5121backed Over26c1,071$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$790.120837.5%78 W · 130 L+38.2wins+0.18per pick19cpaid+115.2%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Over50c1,020$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51067252.7%354 W · 318 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e9c…6421backed Under54c1,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.671020%2 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick19cpaid+8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe49a…ff17backed Over50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5001861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+37.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under51c882$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.822,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over50c790$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3956,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee62…bc6abacked Over50c726$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.2626745.3%121 W · 146 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over30c709.22$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.452,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Over34c642.65$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.151,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over48c626.81$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.584,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x211d…3ab7backed Over50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3005158.8%30 W · 21 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Under51c588.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30027746.6%129 W · 148 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under51c585.01$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.962,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under48c561.39$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.642,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Under73c549.59$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40046258.2%269 W · 193 L-0.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4835…8f59backed Under50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25028657.3%164 W · 122 L+1.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Under47c452.79$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.481349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x298c…3e58backed Under51c439.22$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22423539.1%92 W · 143 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Under51c430$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.368645.5%312 W · 374 L-22.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0556…132abacked Over50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2009346.2%43 W · 50 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x95b5…3f5ebacked Over53c372.04$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.862740.7%11 W · 16 L-5.5wins-0.20per pick61cpaid-33.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xd18b…876dbacked Over59c322.85$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.8511356.6%64 W · 49 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under50c307.69$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.671,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86a6…1b3ebacked Over50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1504156.1%23 W · 18 L+3.6wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+21.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Over49c300$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15324955.8%139 W · 110 L+0.7wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb091…040dbacked Over53c294.3$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.322948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over46c286.69$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.814,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f19…f012backed Under49c206.64$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.247247.2%34 W · 38 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under51c195.35$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.631,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b45…d196backed Under51c194.71$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.312540.8%51 W · 74 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x46d3…2c20backed Over50c160.82$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.8233251.2%170 W · 162 L-0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Under51c158$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.5836045%162 W · 198 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba58…28c2backed Over52c155.77$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.778952.8%47 W · 42 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Over33c140$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.51,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaebc…41f2backed Over50c130$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6fbd…b8d3backed Over50c125.49$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.9367248.8%328 W · 344 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5410…dcc7backed Under68c124.52$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.473033.3%10 W · 20 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-17%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1f16…b5b9backed Over27c121.92$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$899938.4%38 W · 61 L-8.4wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-21.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6082…6ce2backed Over51c119.98$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.796561.5%40 W · 25 L+5.4wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+11.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcba6…bb05backed Over48c116.66$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.6838853.4%207 W · 181 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e80…9cebbacked Under45c114$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.18248.8%40 W · 42 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+23.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe33d…9512backed Under50c102.25$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.1926450%132 W · 132 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc44f…af90backed Over50c98.04$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.2922454.5%122 W · 102 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under50c96.58$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.381,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ef7…0e08backed Over51c92.48$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.482556%14 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa106…5abbbacked Over50c88.23$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.1215649.4%77 W · 79 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under47c87.98$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.63,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under57c87.07$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.051,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed Over35c80$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.9145544.8%204 W · 251 L+21.8wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Over26c78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.7280440.3%324 W · 480 L+27.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under51c76$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.381,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e76…95cdbacked Over40c74.07$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.463145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53cd…11b3backed Under44c73.2$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.349139.6%36 W · 55 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5825…4ffbbacked Over26c70.99$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.5320349.3%100 W · 103 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under46c69.52$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.111,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25c5…8581backed Over41c67.89$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.753557.1%20 W · 15 L-0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac27…18e7backed Over69c65.49$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.9941556.9%236 W · 179 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea15…a9dabacked Under51c58.82$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304841.7%20 W · 28 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb941…6d97backed Over37c57.48$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.27475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick40cpaid+82.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Under50c56.06$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.0310042%42 W · 58 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x523e…3128backed Over56c53.98$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.753948.7%19 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Over26c52$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.4878639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x70fc…ab12backed Under44c43.98$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3522143.4%96 W · 125 L-12.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Over26c43.01$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.831,05549.9%526 W · 529 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f76…9798backed Over49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.8213554.8%74 W · 61 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over61c40.2$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.633,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x66c0…5fc2backed Over50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2014349.7%71 W · 72 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4b62…1253backed Over50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2020756%116 W · 91 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e68…75bbbacked Over53c40$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.85569.1%38 W · 17 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe477…8c6dbacked Over51c39.12$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.121163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x312d…6814backed Over39c36$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.9628548.4%138 W · 147 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d63…0b78backed Over50c34.92$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.4613253.8%71 W · 61 L+0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8d6…281ebacked Over50c32.64$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.32560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+12.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under57c31.35$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8795452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Over41c30$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.839449.2%194 W · 200 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x661a…ddc7backed Over50c28$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144156.1%23 W · 18 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb760…0be8backed Over50c26.66$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.331855.6%10 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over52c25.54$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.263,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x090a…8a76backed Over50c25.38$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.695757.9%33 W · 24 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd310…333ebacked Over46c25.11$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.489100%9 W · 0 L+3.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+80.5%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.