TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Clippers (-17.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Bucksof Clippers, Bucks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$949,188
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$952,837

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $949,188 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 272 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x37c1…c53abacked Bucks52c466,755$241,478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225,277.111,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4924…3782backed Clippers48c380,077$182,437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182,436.8187451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Clippers48c217,809$105,607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105,607.3360351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe934…640bbacked Bucks52c209,797$109,046 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100,750.773860.5%23 W · 15 L+4.1wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+24.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1e77…8c33backed Bucks52c71,272$36,849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,423.1815952.8%84 W · 75 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x033d…fd1ebacked Bucks49c70,002$34,301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,701.0410252%53 W · 49 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Clippers47c49,535$23,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,071.334,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Bucks51c45,904$23,544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,359.734,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x816e…b215backed Clippers48c31,000$14,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,9802433.3%8 W · 16 L-4.3wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-33.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Clippers48c30,035$14,417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,416.81,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed Clippers49c23,000$11,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,224.6729351.5%151 W · 142 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Clippers59c18,143$10,694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,693.72,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Clippers48c16,797$8,063 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,062.5648352%251 W · 232 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Clippers57c13,131$7,488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,487.72,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc51a…a0d9backed Clippers48c10,881$5,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,275.4427455.5%152 W · 122 L+15.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Clippers49c10,204$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0001,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Clippers48c10,000$4,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,80049244.3%218 W · 274 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bc0…4429backed Bucks52c10,000$5,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,80048343.7%211 W · 272 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6211…b89ebacked Bucks50c9,648$4,824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,823.888148.1%39 W · 42 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Bucks51c7,551$3,851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,700.2358449.7%290 W · 294 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b10…acabbacked Clippers48c7,026$3,372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,372.4814953%79 W · 70 L+10.0wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+9.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x55e4…c3c6backed Clippers49c6,122$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0004443.2%19 W · 25 L-4.0wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-19.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Clippers45c5,605$2,527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,527.183,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f3b…0cf9backed Clippers49c5,538$2,699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,69922159.7%132 W · 89 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Clippers48c5,230$2,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,510.42,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Clippers49c5,102$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5001,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Clippers48c4,893$2,362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,361.784,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Clippers47c4,500$2,115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,114.9935749.6%177 W · 180 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf16…9c6fbacked Bucks50c3,455$1,727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,728.415660.7%34 W · 22 L+5.6wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+15.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4880…5626backed Clippers49c3,213$1,576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,575.6118648.9%91 W · 95 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x99e0…5052backed Bucks50c2,809$1,405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,404.638839.8%35 W · 53 L-7.0wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked Clippers48c2,500$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20095641.7%399 W · 557 L+1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Bucks70c2,480$1,748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$732.521,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8df8…59ddbacked Bucks53c2,472$1,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,161.84339.5%17 W · 26 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15d4…b79fbacked Clippers48c2,448$1,185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,185.247149.3%35 W · 36 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Clippers49c2,205$1,081 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,081.2742352.5%222 W · 201 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ff2…01b9backed Clippers49c2,178$1,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,061.273351.5%17 W · 16 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+13.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xabde…d41fbacked Clippers49c2,178$1,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,061.2741947.7%200 W · 219 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9510…16dfbacked Clippers49c2,164$1,055 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,054.5230453.3%162 W · 142 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Clippers48c2,083$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00064944.7%290 W · 359 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf26…6fe2backed Clippers48c2,063$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99032450.6%164 W · 160 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Clippers49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98048054.2%260 W · 220 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfcd8…9908backed Clippers48c1,851$898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$897.6622552.4%118 W · 107 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e3d…55b3backed Bucks53c1,847$979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$868.093548.6%17 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7fa…f6dfbacked Clippers49c1,800$874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$873.992634.6%9 W · 17 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc7c8…44f7backed Bucks60c1,673$1,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$664.421553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe878…e281backed Bucks56c1,620$915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.531643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-22%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Clippers48c1,602$769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$768.844643.5%20 W · 26 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc1c…debbbacked Clippers48c1,457$705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705.4420443.6%89 W · 115 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Clippers45c1,438$649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648.936949.6%183 W · 186 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51bb…f542backed Bucks56c1,342$746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595.781450%7 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Bucks52c1,271$659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.921,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20c1…df04backed Clippers55c1,257$691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$691.331435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-36%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Clippers48c1,118$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540.5391746.9%430 W · 487 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4630…1968backed Clippers49c1,088$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.312650%63 W · 63 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Clippers49c1,061$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.1689853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Clippers44c1,056$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.522,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Clippers49c1,020$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50059250.2%297 W · 295 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Clippers49c1,020$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50057650%288 W · 288 L+1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10d4…69ebbacked Clippers48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48062948.6%306 W · 323 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf606…440abacked Clippers48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4808754%47 W · 40 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf05d…ac5ebacked Clippers49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49025155%138 W · 113 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbce5…02f1backed Clippers48c999.99$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.9918651.6%96 W · 90 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc991…abd4backed Clippers49c990.01$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.3848751.7%252 W · 235 L-1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ca4…51cebacked Bucks54c903.7$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.72564%16 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x46d3…2c20backed Clippers49c820.58$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40033251.2%170 W · 162 L-0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25c2…cd02backed Clippers48c812.41$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39212954.3%70 W · 59 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc308…c3b9backed Clippers49c766.87$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.6531354.6%171 W · 142 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Bucks52c743.74$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.323,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x13e5…1ea5backed Clippers45c677.93$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.6420049%98 W · 102 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c4c…dc70backed Clippers49c630$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.114452.1%75 W · 69 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3edb…aa1ebacked Clippers47c629.9$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.194240.5%17 W · 25 L-4.1wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-19.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcba6…bb05backed Clippers48c622.97$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.0338853.4%207 W · 181 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Clippers49c614.17$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.481,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc443…359bbacked Bucks50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30023845%107 W · 131 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Clippers49c510.2$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25044551.2%228 W · 217 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9541…3b71backed Bucks56c500$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2203644.4%16 W · 20 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa028…0031backed Clippers49c497.91$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.630654.6%167 W · 139 L+9.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Clippers49c479.47$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.6789048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x100c…1c2cbacked Clippers49c450.92$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.952634.6%9 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick38cpaid+7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed Bucks51c447.1$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.4662450%312 W · 312 L-2.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e4a…7045backed Clippers48c427$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.0422748.9%111 W · 116 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Clippers48c416.66$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20076250.4%384 W · 378 L+3.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc2e1…4925backed Clippers49c409.65$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.617057.1%97 W · 73 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1030…dd7abacked Clippers49c408.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20013349.6%66 W · 67 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3d8…c0f2backed Clippers49c400$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1967346.6%34 W · 39 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51ce…44c1backed Clippers48c400$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19211451.8%59 W · 55 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb8c…bcd4backed Bucks56c397.88$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34f9…ebf6backed Clippers48c395.83$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1907460.8%45 W · 29 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xeac7…367dbacked Bucks53c379.64$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.491060%6 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Bucks52c374.97$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.992,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc880…8380backed Clippers54c367.65$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Clippers58c346.32$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.871,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e36…8ec0backed Clippers59c341$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20030%0 W · 3 L-2.0wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Clippers46c339.58$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.183,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa485…92a5backed Clippers53c334.86$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1773148.4%15 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72f0…e92bbacked Clippers49c332.1$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.828558.8%50 W · 35 L+6.7wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+15.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9896…c430backed Clippers48c322.58$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.8417852.2%93 W · 85 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4008…2942backed Clippers49c314.94$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.3218254.4%99 W · 83 L+9.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b20…62cbbacked Clippers49c304.18$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.2119659.7%117 W · 79 L+17.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+16.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.