TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Clippers (-16.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Bucksof Clippers, Bucks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$153,493
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$154,472

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $153,493 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1bc0…4429backed Bucks48c68,577$32,831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,746.0148343.7%211 W · 272 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Clippers52c48,421$25,179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,178.7666248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5919…95acbacked Clippers53c36,285$19,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,051.911543.5%50 W · 65 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e77…8c33backed Bucks48c30,000$14,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,60015952.8%84 W · 75 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf11…8399backed Clippers52c10,000$5,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,199.9937539.5%148 W · 227 L-1.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Bucks47c7,651$3,596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,055.024,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Bucks49c6,663$3,268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,394.342,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Clippers53c4,717$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5001,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Clippers53c4,717$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5001,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Clippers51c4,118$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,10038946%179 W · 210 L-13.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc699…7961backed Bucks49c4,056$1,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,057.0420843.8%91 W · 117 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Bucks48c3,983$1,911 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,071.6648845.3%221 W · 267 L+18.9wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Bucks47c3,854$1,811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,042.391,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Bucks49c2,579$1,256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,323.24,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Clippers52c2,495$1,301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,301.384,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Bucks47c2,297$1,086 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,211.421,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Clippers51c2,294$1,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,17070246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4880…5626backed Clippers53c1,841$975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$975.4818648.9%91 W · 95 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Bucks36c1,829$658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,170.83,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3520…1fa0backed Clippers50c1,795$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9001747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Clippers53c1,679$895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$895.163,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa1bf…f357backed Clippers51c1,595$813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$813.3516953.3%90 W · 79 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x91f7…4767backed Clippers52c1,558$816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$815.9610651.9%55 W · 51 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x61e8…b283backed Clippers50c1,295$647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$647.414940.9%61 W · 88 L-11.6wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-16.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Clippers51c1,087$554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554.372,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7fa…f6dfbacked Clippers47c1,035$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.922634.6%9 W · 17 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Clippers53c943.4$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50059250.2%297 W · 295 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Bucks41c828.33$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.0189444.4%397 W · 497 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Clippers51c776$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.761,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Clippers52c748.04$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.81,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Clippers53c603.77$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32067252.7%354 W · 318 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x20ea…1b1abacked Clippers20c496.86$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003444.1%15 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ff2…01b9backed Clippers53c484.2$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.633351.5%17 W · 16 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+13.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x62b6…5de0backed Clippers53c480$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.41258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Clippers51c477$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.2768645.5%312 W · 374 L-22.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Clippers53c471.7$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25056447.9%270 W · 294 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Bucks47c468.85$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.493,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Clippers51c450$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.51,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7044…2eb6backed Clippers54c400.39$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.212934.5%10 W · 19 L-4.9wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-31.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Clippers53c400.06$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.0342352.5%222 W · 201 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0556…132abacked Clippers52c400$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2089346.2%43 W · 50 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Clippers54c391.92$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.0836949.6%183 W · 186 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1030…dd7abacked Clippers53c377.36$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20013349.6%66 W · 67 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Clippers51c350$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.51,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Bucks38c314.69$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.131,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbaa…c8ffbacked Clippers53c300$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15921653.7%116 W · 100 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Clippers53c271.32$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.81,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed Clippers51c246$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.4643052.3%225 W · 205 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeaff…5f75backed Clippers52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1043246.9%15 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3865…fcbebacked Bucks51c197.51$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.5116450%82 W · 82 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Bucks54c193$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.782,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Clippers53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10041449.3%204 W · 210 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e4a…fcd8backed Clippers53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10025049.6%124 W · 126 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Clippers53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10051647.5%245 W · 271 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x13e5…1ea5backed Clippers60c179.33$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.4120049%98 W · 102 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8593…8cfbbacked Bucks59c169.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.96152.5%32 W · 29 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-7.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc32…00bfbacked Clippers53c150.94$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805850%29 W · 29 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Clippers51c130$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.342853%227 W · 201 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Clippers53c105.62$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.9810042%42 W · 58 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Clippers49c104$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.4539449.2%194 W · 200 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Clippers53c101.89$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541,66150.3%836 W · 825 L-14.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc58a…b8f8backed Clippers53c95.02$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.3621550.2%108 W · 107 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86f2…a659backed Bucks51c79.76$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.258943.8%39 W · 50 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbdf4…c6ccbacked Bucks51c78.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.438433.3%28 W · 56 L-10.0wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-20.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x56e2…4a79backed Bucks49c73$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.23333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick24cpaid-32%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f49…fec0backed Clippers53c71.51$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.937848.7%184 W · 194 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Bucks49c63.38$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.393,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcdd…6d55backed Clippers53c59.6$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.5923650.8%120 W · 116 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Clippers52c57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.641,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Clippers59c57$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.561,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2b…258abacked Clippers53c56.6$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Bucks47c56.6$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c01…59a0backed Clippers53c54.62$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.955947.5%28 W · 31 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Bucks47c53.36$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.2855347.9%265 W · 288 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea34…8efcbacked Bucks46c53.33$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.9616551.5%85 W · 80 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2dfd…abbfbacked Bucks46c51.51$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick24cpaid-69.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5b8…a279backed Clippers53c51.3$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.195242.3%22 W · 30 L-5.9wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-23.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x399c…6191backed Clippers61c49.18$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0828…5cfebacked Bucks47c49.03$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.1317041.8%71 W · 99 L-11.5wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-21.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe523…c6afbacked Bucks49c48.99$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.7715441.6%64 W · 90 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc036…30d4backed Clippers53c47.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2551946.8%243 W · 276 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe9c…1700backed Clippers53c47.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2513346.6%62 W · 71 L+0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Bucks47c46.2$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.491,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed Clippers54c45.91$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9339055.6%217 W · 173 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Bucks47c45.31$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.233,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Bucks47c44$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.3260945.8%279 W · 330 L-17.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Bucks35c42.86$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.8691746.9%430 W · 487 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec56…1259backed Bucks48c41.45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.739345.2%42 W · 51 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9519…9c28backed Clippers53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Clippers65c37$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.051,05549.9%526 W · 529 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7be…908dbacked Clippers58c34.23$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.997846.2%36 W · 42 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Bucks49c33.5$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.923,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbddd…5042backed Bucks47c31.77$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.7715758%91 W · 66 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1970…e980backed Clippers51c30.41$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.518037.5%30 W · 50 L-7.3wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3f5c…9e02backed Bucks68c29.92$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.621546.5%100 W · 115 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x97a8…078dbacked Clippers53c28.3$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1523048.7%112 W · 118 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x48c3…0701backed Bucks49c26.68$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.611553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc2b6…d7cebacked Bucks63c25.14$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.267542.7%32 W · 43 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd155…8250backed Clippers52c24.21$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5948852%254 W · 234 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62ff…ec56backed Clippers52c24.21$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5925245.2%114 W · 138 L-11.7wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-15.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.