TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Clippers (-13.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Clippersof Clippers, Bucks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$285,286
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$339,410

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $285,286 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 273 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Clippers59c25,469$15,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,469.4236549.6%181 W · 184 L-1.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Clippers63c14,234$9,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,234.4342348%203 W · 220 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Bucks39c11,816$4,577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,577.093,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Bucks36c11,620$4,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,136.082,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x13a8…b960backed Bucks48c7,783$3,736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,735.84366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+37.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c72…38c6backed Bucks48c7,264$3,487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,486.72366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+37.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Bucks44c7,187$3,147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,147.044,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x903a…2f9fbacked Bucks48c6,910$3,317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,316.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b2b…05b1backed Bucks48c6,809$3,268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,268.32366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+37.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b0d…1f81backed Bucks48c6,681$3,207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,206.881361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+27.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x553f…3d32backed Clippers52c6,441$3,349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,091.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdef…48f8backed Bucks48c6,331$3,039 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,038.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x932e…aebcbacked Clippers52c6,217$3,244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,972.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+91.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4dd2…4dd8backed Clippers52c6,182$3,215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,967.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3bb8…669ebacked Bucks48c6,178$2,965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,965.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc039…51e2backed Clippers52c6,120$3,182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,937.63100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+94.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8234…2bc2backed Clippers52c6,107$3,176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,931.363100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+94.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe828…1e53backed Clippers52c6,089$3,166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,922.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcea9…d2e5backed Clippers52c5,918$3,077 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,840.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9ff…1107backed Clippers52c5,825$3,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,7961100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2ea…d974backed Bucks48c5,750$2,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,76010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f5e…bc03backed Bucks48c5,644$2,709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,709.121428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.2wins-0.23per pick52cpaid-43.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8da4…5fc7backed Clippers52c5,488$2,854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,634.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab28…3ff0backed Bucks47c5,452$2,562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,562.43450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Bucks36c5,394$1,934 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,933.812,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfc6c…a021backed Clippers52c5,323$2,768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,555.043100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+94.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9ef0…4027backed Bucks48c5,304$2,546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,545.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76e6…d65fbacked Bucks48c5,247$2,519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,518.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x281b…899cbacked Bucks48c5,220$2,506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,505.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6f6…6d85backed Clippers70c5,122$3,565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,557.7415252%79 W · 73 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x346e…e272backed Clippers52c5,085$2,644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,440.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1cb…5ad6backed Clippers52c4,964$2,581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,382.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc025…b4b9backed Clippers52c4,842$2,518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,324.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e4f…25d0backed Clippers52c4,762$2,476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,285.763100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+94.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Bucks38c4,685$1,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,760.148,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed Bucks41c4,347$1,782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,782.1328643%123 W · 163 L-1.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46f9…3c08backed Bucks48c3,807$1,827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,827.36250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Bucks37c3,745$1,395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,395.454,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Clippers54c3,606$1,953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,652.972,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Bucks39c3,584$1,409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,409.13,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Bucks38c3,160$1,201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,200.824942.2%105 W · 144 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Clippers53c3,000$1,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,409.9687750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Bucks41c2,993$1,214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,213.934,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Bucks24c2,913$698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$698.3526337.3%98 W · 165 L-1.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f3b…0cf9backed Clippers63c2,796$1,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,045.9722159.7%132 W · 89 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Bucks37c2,775$1,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,036.5619135.6%68 W · 123 L-9.3wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x975b…3760backed Bucks47c2,668$1,254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,254.165547.3%26 W · 29 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe02…dababacked Bucks38c2,631$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.833941%16 W · 23 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4946…4004backed Clippers63c2,382$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$882.0821957.1%125 W · 94 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Clippers79c2,228$1,768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.871,05549.9%526 W · 529 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Clippers58c2,165$1,246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$919.046,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25c2…cd02backed Clippers62c1,897$1,183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$713.4412954.3%70 W · 59 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Bucks43c1,646$707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$706.874,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd38…99d4backed Clippers63c1,587$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.325657%146 W · 110 L+9.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf405…9df2backed Clippers64c1,570$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.9343269.2%299 W · 133 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Bucks40c1,557$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$615.412,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Bucks44c1,463$643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$643.4258347%274 W · 309 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Bucks42c1,304$548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.35,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8593…8cfbbacked Bucks43c1,201$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5206152.5%32 W · 29 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-7.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Clippers68c1,052$719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.012,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Clippers65c1,032$666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.4614556.6%82 W · 63 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Bucks41c1,000$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.52,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Bucks41c1,000$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41040947.7%195 W · 214 L-13.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Bucks23c997.68$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.471,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x788a…bff2backed Clippers63c983.78$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3643680.6%29 W · 7 L+4.8wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+20.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Bucks32c919.15$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.589444.4%397 W · 497 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Bucks49c905$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.351,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd48…d64fbacked Bucks48c833.03$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4005354.7%29 W · 24 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Bucks40c750$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5919…95acbacked Clippers53c737$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.1911543.5%50 W · 65 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x354f…95f8backed Clippers69c734.36$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.588763.2%55 W · 32 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xeaff…5f75backed Clippers56c681.4$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.553246.9%15 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Bucks38c669.52$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.141,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbaac…ff10backed Clippers64c650.28$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.2812454.8%68 W · 56 L-7.9wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Clippers62c601.94$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.7456843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7fa…f6dfbacked Clippers56c597.76$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.992634.6%9 W · 17 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x636a…ec94backed Clippers53c569.81$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.811100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Bucks44c568.92$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.2881349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x724c…1521backed Clippers71c566.77$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.777856.4%44 W · 34 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c23…9d76backed Clippers63c560$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.21952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Bucks43c549.41$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.22,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x068a…6fe7backed Clippers57c526.32$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.3214143.3%61 W · 80 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6bb…6b39backed Bucks17c500$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$878040%32 W · 48 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ae…a0c1backed Bucks48c456$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.88333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa04…796bbacked Clippers53c455$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.855651.8%29 W · 27 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6617…29bdbacked Bucks25c450$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11112637.3%47 W · 79 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Bucks18c446.68$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.4678639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd421…8531backed Bucks3c440.05$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.134459.1%26 W · 18 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Bucks41c438.5$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.181,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc49d…516dbacked Clippers63c436.51$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.511172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+15.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb6f…2653backed Clippers69c435.43$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.4316249.4%80 W · 82 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6292…d254backed Bucks48c420$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.620846.6%97 W · 111 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe289…c31abacked Clippers65c399.99$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1402138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-30.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb70d…5925backed Bucks44c387.11$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.9517643.2%76 W · 100 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b84…2f73backed Clippers56c356.28$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.282568%17 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Bucks41c336.1$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.891,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Bucks43c332.03$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.313,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc423…2ccdbacked Bucks46c326.1$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.0110854.6%59 W · 49 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+15.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Clippers63c322.58$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.4676250.4%384 W · 378 L+3.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Bucks39c281.38$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.891,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.