TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Clippers (-14.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Bucksof Clippers, Bucks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$111,228
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$112,514

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $111,228 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Clippers55c45,780$25,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,00036549.6%181 W · 184 L-1.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked Bucks44c20,000$8,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,20014842.6%63 W · 85 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xca87…8e3dbacked Clippers56c16,085$9,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,007.691428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.19per pick47cpaid-52.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Bucks46c14,750$6,736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,013.921,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Bucks46c11,644$5,356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,287.761,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Bucks47c8,663$4,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,591.371,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Bucks45c4,790$2,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,634.6529055.5%161 W · 129 L+15.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0588…1845backed Clippers59c4,286$2,529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,528.711435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-28.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Bucks42c3,668$1,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,127.331,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Clippers56c2,506$1,397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,396.894,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Bucks47c2,474$1,161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,313.224,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fa3…172fbacked Clippers56c1,968$1,102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,102.083831.6%12 W · 26 L-6.6wins-0.17per pick49cpaid-36%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Bucks44c1,800$792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,008.146,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Bucks45c1,210$544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$665.7781349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Bucks45c1,050$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.55,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Bucks43c1,022$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582.545,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Clippers48c900.21$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.187750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaac8…b6f1backed Bucks49c809.37$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.114957.1%28 W · 21 L+4.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+28.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Bucks44c802.46$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.251,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Bucks41c800$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4721,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b78…9992backed Bucks44c790$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.420051.5%103 W · 97 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Clippers60c739.85$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.018,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Bucks46c718.75$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.353,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Clippers59c677.97$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40070246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb091…040dbacked Bucks52c603.85$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.852948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc443…359bbacked Bucks50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30023845%107 W · 131 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xacae…6798backed Clippers48c509.61$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.6111241.1%46 W · 66 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7fa…f6dfbacked Clippers50c500$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2522634.6%9 W · 17 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Bucks45c495.5$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.42,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0d3…8743backed Clippers61c492.35$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x068a…6fe7backed Clippers62c483.87$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30014143.3%61 W · 80 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Bucks39c480.44$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.774,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Clippers56c433$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.4868645.5%312 W · 374 L-22.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a96…0d7cbacked Clippers55c397.43$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.4110748.6%52 W · 55 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35b1…8962backed Bucks47c382.15$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.541127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.21per pick48cpaid-44.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa6df…dda7backed Clippers50c374.06$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.0324247.1%114 W · 128 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Clippers55c349.73$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.351,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Bucks50c311.24$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.754,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbaac…ff10backed Clippers62c300$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18612454.8%68 W · 56 L-7.9wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x917e…eed9backed Bucks42c300$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17321049.5%104 W · 106 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Bucks44c299.99$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1681,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Bucks41c250.49$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.4859250.2%297 W · 295 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Bucks44c250$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1402,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Bucks41c243.15$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.1541449.3%204 W · 210 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b8c…31c3backed Bucks41c243.15$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.1513541.5%56 W · 79 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Clippers53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10661957.5%356 W · 263 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Bucks45c191.13$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.461,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ffb…df76backed Clippers54c185.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10047048.5%228 W · 242 L-18.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xce8b…38a4backed Clippers53c179.79$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.2930%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Bucks44c164.58$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.162,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8510…57e6backed Clippers54c161.57$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.259040%36 W · 54 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Bucks44c159$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.042,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeaff…5f75backed Bucks41c157.12$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.393246.9%15 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Bucks48c150.58$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7949249.8%245 W · 247 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Bucks41c146.71$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.3856447.9%270 W · 294 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Bucks41c144.75$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.2244551.2%228 W · 217 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1030…dd7abacked Bucks41c144.75$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.2213349.6%66 W · 67 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9541…3b71backed Clippers51c129.69$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.563644.4%16 W · 20 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Bucks40c120.89$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.271,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Bucks30c119$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.31,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Bucks45c118.43$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.843,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Bucks40c116.92$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.583,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc423…2ccdbacked Bucks44c113.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.6410854.6%59 W · 49 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+15.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2986…763bbacked Bucks45c106.68$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.6833748.1%162 W · 175 L-1.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda21…8646backed Bucks42c104.4$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.5562541.9%262 W · 363 L-32.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ab7…0409backed Clippers48c103.43$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.653423.5%8 W · 26 L-4.3wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-54.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Bucks39c102.56$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.5627138.7%105 W · 166 L+0.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid+4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c78…aad1backed Clippers50c100.2$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5027847.1%131 W · 147 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked Bucks50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5035849.7%178 W · 180 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea74…cf99backed Bucks51c99.99$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4953339.6%211 W · 322 L-39.9wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdecf…caf2backed Bucks71c97.07$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.181050%5 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-26.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Bucks52c90.38$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.381,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Bucks52c86.51$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.521,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4328…11d2backed Clippers49c86.18$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.2338740.3%156 W · 231 L+0.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe964…6519backed Bucks51c85.16$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.7313052.3%68 W · 62 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f31…e2b6backed Clippers53c79.98$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.7922456.3%126 W · 98 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Clippers53c74.74$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.6153348.4%258 W · 275 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Clippers54c62.95$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.743,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Bucks41c61.51$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.2955347.9%265 W · 288 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe9c…1700backed Bucks42c60.22$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.2213346.6%62 W · 71 L+0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Bucks42c60$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.849247.2%232 W · 260 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Bucks41c57.88$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.0850948.5%247 W · 262 L+2.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Bucks52c57.69$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6984443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Clippers57c57$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.491,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f26…8984backed Clippers60c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30875%6 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+15.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Bucks46c49.47$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.951,28323.4%300 W · 983 L-178.2wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-40.2%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Clippers52c48.44$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.1956043.9%246 W · 314 L-31.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x810d…6080backed Clippers53c47.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2516046.3%74 W · 86 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Bucks41c46.08$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.31,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c59…ad51backed Clippers56c46.07$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.931668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.8wins+0.17per pick51cpaid+31%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Bucks44c45.66$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.5760945.8%279 W · 330 L-17.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Clippers58c42.21$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.541,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96b0…b331backed Clippers49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203948.7%19 W · 20 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1584…1020backed Clippers54c36.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.81060%6 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e0…4d8fbacked Clippers53c33.96$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1865950.8%335 W · 324 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7cdd…73b5backed Bucks47c33.77$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.9333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Clippers51c32.88$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.782,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b19…bd48backed Bucks48c31.44$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.35250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef92…f133backed Bucks45c30.93$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.1212055.8%67 W · 53 L+9.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbbcf…20aebacked Bucks40c30$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1828943.3%125 W · 164 L-0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.