TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Clippers (-15.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Bucksof Clippers, Bucks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$170,894
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$171,548

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $170,894 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x37c1…c53abacked Bucks46c40,313$18,699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,614.141,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked Bucks47c39,618$18,424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,193.9714842.6%63 W · 85 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1bc0…4429backed Bucks48c35,888$17,067 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,821.2748343.7%211 W · 272 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x079e…8254backed Clippers55c30,000$16,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,5005750.9%29 W · 28 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Clippers53c22,249$11,784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,783.721,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Clippers50c19,831$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00036549.6%181 W · 184 L-1.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Clippers50c14,000$7,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,0001,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Clippers53c11,610$6,149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,149.394,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Bucks50c11,577$5,789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,788.679159.3%54 W · 37 L+9.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+20.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Clippers51c10,808$5,512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,5121,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Clippers51c9,725$4,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,959.652,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Bucks50c8,322$4,161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,1611,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Clippers50c7,946$3,973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,9732,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7814…c0dbbacked Clippers54c6,539$3,531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,531.06333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-33.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Clippers54c4,637$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5001,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Bucks48c4,567$2,195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,371.962,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf740…c6b5backed Clippers55c4,500$2,475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,475250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9b4…75a0backed Clippers55c3,636$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0008154.3%44 W · 37 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Clippers52c3,499$1,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,819.561,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Bucks50c3,182$1,582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,600.363,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Bucks48c2,860$1,383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,477.464,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Bucks47c2,831$1,342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,489.494,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Bucks49c2,252$1,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,148.729055.5%161 W · 129 L+15.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x30fb…4856backed Clippers53c2,190$1,161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,160.724151%123 W · 118 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Bucks48c1,820$881 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$938.912,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Bucks48c1,667$804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$862.891,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa09e…9368backed Clippers49c1,494$732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$732.068353%44 W · 39 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Clippers53c1,000$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53072241.4%299 W · 423 L+2.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc37…2f65backed Bucks49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51041649.8%207 W · 209 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Bucks47c700$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37149345.2%223 W · 270 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7fa…f6dfbacked Clippers51c700$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3552634.6%9 W · 17 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x20c1…df04backed Clippers56c574.83$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.241435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-36%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Bucks50c517.04$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.5257950.1%290 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Bucks49c490$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2503,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Clippers53c377.36$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20053348.4%258 W · 275 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1030…dd7abacked Clippers54c370.37$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20013349.6%66 W · 67 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Bucks49c300$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15468645.5%312 W · 374 L-22.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Bucks46c230.28$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.3542352.5%222 W · 201 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Bucks49c200.16$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.0881349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f51…7b9ebacked Bucks50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10010835.2%38 W · 70 L-7.7wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-6.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc0fb…ec4fbacked Bucks48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1046860.3%41 W · 27 L+9.5wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+33.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd62d…5992backed Clippers50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10037852.9%200 W · 178 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3865…fcbebacked Bucks50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10016450%82 W · 82 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99be…3622backed Clippers50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008646.5%40 W · 46 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa139…f574backed Clippers50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003847.4%18 W · 20 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Clippers55c191$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.052,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Clippers53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10051647.5%245 W · 271 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8510…57e6backed Clippers50c187.16$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.589040%36 W · 54 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Clippers72c187.15$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.7532654.6%178 W · 148 L+22.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Clippers54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10065349.9%326 W · 327 L+20.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeaff…5f75backed Bucks45c153.47$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.693246.9%15 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Clippers50c119.2$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.61,00351%512 W · 491 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Clippers56c117.86$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6645651.1%233 W · 223 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Bucks52c115.38$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.3884443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Clippers54c114.35$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.371,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc423…2ccdbacked Bucks44c113.63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.6310854.6%59 W · 49 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+15.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Clippers53c110.6$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.723,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked Bucks50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5048152%250 W · 231 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86f2…a659backed Bucks50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508943.8%39 W · 50 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb32e…a46abacked Clippers53c95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.3514345.5%65 W · 78 L+9.6wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+45.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x28ad…9805backed Clippers48c81.77$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.2322942.8%98 W · 131 L-9.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Bucks45c79.77$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.741,28323.4%300 W · 983 L-178.2wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-40.2%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0xe33d…9512backed Bucks50c78.52$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.226450%132 W · 132 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcfed…096dbacked Clippers48c75$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-34.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Clippers53c71.67$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.9891746.9%430 W · 487 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Bucks44c71.58$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.293,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8381…ef93backed Bucks45c68.75$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.81540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Clippers53c68$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.0446447.8%222 W · 242 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Bucks40c63.7$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.2245542.4%193 W · 262 L-0.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Bucks42c62$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.961,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08f1…705cbacked Clippers55c60$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3316245.1%73 W · 89 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb0b…62cdbacked Bucks52c57.69$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.698657%49 W · 37 L+5.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4008…2942backed Clippers54c53.61$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9518254.4%99 W · 83 L+9.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3d9d…7d9ebacked Bucks47c53.19$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.1910348.5%50 W · 53 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6fbd…b8d3backed Clippers50c51.34$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.6967248.8%328 W · 344 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5b0…38c4backed Clippers53c50.6$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.821060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7239…4389backed Bucks45c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.543750.1%219 W · 218 L-1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Bucks50c49.52$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.7655347.9%265 W · 288 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa10e…4ea1backed Bucks48c48.41$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.173636.1%13 W · 23 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Bucks38c47.18$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.171,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe523…c6afbacked Bucks49c46.45$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.9215441.6%64 W · 90 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Bucks47c43.74$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.991,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d63…0b78backed Clippers50c41.1$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5513253.8%71 W · 61 L+0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Bucks50c40.47$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.2460945.8%279 W · 330 L-17.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x46d3…2c20backed Clippers50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2033251.2%170 W · 162 L-0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Clippers37c39$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4378639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x35b2…f329backed Clippers54c37.06$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.015648.2%27 W · 29 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf040…d11fbacked Clippers53c36.38$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.287647.4%36 W · 40 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcba6…bb05backed Clippers49c35.2$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2538853.4%207 W · 181 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Bucks42c30.06$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.4640750.6%206 W · 201 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xea34…8efcbacked Bucks49c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.316551.5%85 W · 80 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Bucks48c29.95$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.531,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8194…178dbacked Bucks52c28.85$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36aa…a683backed Bucks52c28.84$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.8440548.6%197 W · 208 L+0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e90…188dbacked Clippers53c28.3$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152744.4%12 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe626…839ebacked Clippers53c27.55$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.62744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x090a…8a76backed Clippers50c27.38$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.695757.9%33 W · 24 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Bucks47c27$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.231,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5767…8cc1backed Clippers50c26.22$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.111,08442.4%460 W · 624 L-48.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd107…add5backed Clippers50c26$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134427.3%12 W · 32 L-4.6wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-22%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.