NBA · resolved market
Clippers vs. Bucks: O/U 221.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe2149d9788e71b29c0722afacf9c29b8b9c1089eb43e15d12d2b92528f4e200f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,772
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,720
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,772 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Over | 50c | 30,000$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,000 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…0840backed Under | 50c | 11,314$5,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,670 | 266 | 48.5%129 W · 137 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 50c | 9,388$4,709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,708.61 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 50c | 8,195$4,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,101.45 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 50c | 8,142$4,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,071 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 42c | 5,121$2,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,956.75 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc699…7961backed Over | 47c | 4,228$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,227.55 | 208 | 43.8%91 W · 117 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Under | 69c | 3,625$2,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,492.9 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 50c | 2,963$1,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,481.38 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6557…0999backed Over | 49c | 2,930$1,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,494.29 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…3760backed Over | 50c | 2,829$1,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,414.29 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 53c | 1,700$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Over | 34c | 1,564$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.32 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed Under | 51c | 1,188$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.79 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 51c | 1,060$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.75 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce0…f955backed Under | 51c | 979.07$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.55 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 52c | 845.34$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.58 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked Over | 48c | 699.99$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.99 | 442 | 52.3%231 W · 211 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 48c | 502.61$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.6 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 63c | 409.7$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.87 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Over | 37c | 405.41$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.01 | 260 | 43.8%114 W · 146 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x006a…14edbacked Over | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 161 | 59.6%96 W · 65 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18d5…2bb6backed Over | 48c | 375$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 52c | 360.41$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.42 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b45…d196backed Under | 56c | 354.79$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.6 | 125 | 40.8%51 W · 74 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 52c | 343.68$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.38 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46d3…2c20backed Over | 51c | 274.51$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.51 | 332 | 51.2%170 W · 162 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbaa…c8ffbacked Under | 55c | 250$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.5 | 216 | 53.7%116 W · 100 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f6…a659backed Over | 45c | 229.98$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.49 | 272 | 41.9%114 W · 158 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 52c | 228.68$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.5 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 49c | 204.01$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.97 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 521 | 46.6%243 W · 278 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 434 | 47.5%206 W · 228 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Over | 51c | 196.47$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.47 | 656 | 49.2%323 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ece…8786backed Over | 49c | 195.37$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.64 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 52c | 192$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.84 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 52c | 138.4$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.36 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Under | 54c | 130$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.2 | 428 | 53%227 W · 201 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3e…a78abacked Under | 63c | 128.78$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.93 | 142 | 37.3%53 W · 89 L | -11.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbd…b8d3backed Over | 51c | 114.18$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.95 | 672 | 48.8%328 W · 344 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x641f…049abacked Under | 51c | 107.84$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 180 | 54.4%98 W · 82 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 481 | 52%250 W · 231 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d87…4e0dbacked Over | 52c | 98$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.04 | 342 | 47.7%163 W · 179 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Over | 49c | 87.5$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.62 | 388 | 53.4%207 W · 181 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…9805backed Under | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 229 | 42.8%98 W · 131 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Under | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 931 | 45.8%426 W · 505 L | -25.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfed…096dbacked Under | 50c | 75$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 44c | 71.47$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.76 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…af90backed Over | 51c | 71.27$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.92 | 224 | 54.5%122 W · 102 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Under | 50c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 447 | 47%210 W · 237 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Over | 33c | 62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.54 | 804 | 40.3%324 W · 480 L | +27.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5e…13bebacked Over | 46c | 52.94$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.55 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a0…e45ebacked Under | 50c | 45.69$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 101 | 55.4%56 W · 45 L | +13.2wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Under | 51c | 40.8$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.81 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb3…803abacked Over | 49c | 40.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.81 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Over | 37c | 39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.57 | 786 | 39.2%308 W · 478 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 51c | 38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8693…f6f4backed Over | 45c | 36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.9 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Over | 58c | 35.18$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.89 | 454 | 45.4%206 W · 248 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac3…c2b6backed Under | 50c | 28.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -5.4wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed Under | 52c | 24.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 264 | 50%132 W · 132 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…8a76backed Over | 51c | 22.05$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 135 | 48.1%65 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbee…30b9backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 131 | 40.5%53 W · 78 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16b4…168fbacked Under | 70c | 17.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Clippers vs. Bucks: O/U 221.5this page
- 1H Spread: Clippers (-8.5)Clippers won
- Brook Lopez: Points O/U 9.5No won
- Clippers vs. BucksClippers won
- Clippers vs. Bucks: 1H MoneylineClippers won
- Clippers vs. Bucks: 1H O/U 107.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Bucks: 1H O/U 108.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Bucks: O/U 219.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Bucks: O/U 220.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Bucks: O/U 222.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Bucks: O/U 223.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Bucks: O/U 224.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Bucks: O/U 229.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Bucks: O/U 232.5Over won
- Darius Garland: Points O/U 19.5No won
- John Collins: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
- Kawhi Leonard: Points O/U 28.5No won
- Kyle Kuzma: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Myles Turner: Assists O/U 0.5No won
- Myles Turner: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Myles Turner: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Ousmane Dieng: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Ryan Rollins: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Ryan Rollins: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Spread: Clippers (-13.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Clippers (-14.5)Bucks won
- Spread: Clippers (-15.5)Bucks won
- Spread: Clippers (-16.5)Bucks won
- Spread: Clippers (-17.5)Bucks won
- Spread: Clippers (-18.5)Bucks won
- Spread: Clippers (-19.5)Bucks won
- Spread: Clippers (-20.5)Bucks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.