TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

1H Spread: Clippers (-8.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Clippersof Clippers, Bucks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$17,362
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$17,591

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,362 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x079e…8254backed Clippers55c15,588$8,573 inWon+$7,014.865750.9%29 W · 28 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x001a…1fb9backed Bucks45c5,520$2,484 inLost-$2,48431643.4%137 W · 179 L-18.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7b10…acabbacked Bucks45c4,322$1,945 inLost-$1,944.914953%79 W · 70 L+10.0wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+9.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Bucks47c1,586$741 inLost-$741.155,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Bucks45c1,307$588 inLost-$588.1595651.5%492 W · 464 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xabbe…1e19backed Bucks45c944.44$425 inLost-$425540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6326…6329backed Bucks45c555.56$250 inLost-$2503647.2%17 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e4a…4ce0backed Bucks45c444.44$200 inLost-$2008348.2%40 W · 43 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Bucks44c381.54$168 inLost-$167.662,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5fc…dbc6backed Bucks45c331.11$149 inLost-$1492532%8 W · 17 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-26.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Clippers48c287.18$137 inWon+$150.081,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ec6…9404backed Bucks45c266.18$120 inLost-$119.781145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7083…1937backed Clippers55c244.52$134 inWon+$110.036100%6 W · 0 L+2.6wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+105.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x24ca…5829backed Clippers52c244.52$127 inWon+$117.3726043.8%114 W · 146 L-15.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-17.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf2a0…1f3dbacked Bucks45c200$90 inLost-$9016725.7%43 W · 124 L-12.4wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-28.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc8b3…6b95backed Clippers59c168.07$100 inWon+$68.072166.7%14 W · 7 L+3.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+29.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Bucks45c111.11$50 inLost-$5044747%210 W · 237 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Bucks45c100$45 inLost-$451,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Bucks49c99.99$49 inLost-$48.934339.5%17 W · 26 L-6.8wins-0.16per pick55cpaid-34.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd983…d92dbacked Clippers53c94.54$50 inWon+$44.5429844%131 W · 167 L-1.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Bucks52c81.11$42 inLost-$42.023,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x94bb…c320backed Bucks46c62.28$29 inLost-$28.8437845%170 W · 208 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc61d…3933backed Clippers57c59$34 inWon+$25.217047.6%81 W · 89 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Bucks47c52.07$24 inLost-$24.4755347.9%265 W · 288 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a6a…98ddbacked Clippers53c50.55$27 inWon+$23.766155.7%34 W · 27 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56cd…2ddcbacked Clippers51c49.02$25 inWon+$24.0211845.8%54 W · 64 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a3b…5fa5backed Bucks45c44.44$20 inLost-$2010850%54 W · 54 L-8.6wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-15.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0bc4…07e7backed Bucks45c44.13$20 inLost-$204742.6%20 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Bucks42c41.94$18 inLost-$17.551,28323.4%300 W · 983 L-178.2wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-40.2%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Bucks40c39$16 inLost-$15.678639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xea34…8efcbacked Clippers47c30.64$14 inWon+$16.2416551.5%85 W · 80 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1970…e980backed Bucks45c30.4$14 inLost-$13.688037.5%30 W · 50 L-7.3wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Bucks47c26.96$13 inLost-$12.6760945.8%279 W · 330 L-17.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Clippers52c20.83$11 inWon+$1049247.2%232 W · 260 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.