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NBA · resolved market

Clippers vs. Bucks: O/U 222.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$204,452
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$206,862

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $204,452 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 205 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet's whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbedb…3b26backed Over46c10,000$4,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,40016346.6%76 W · 87 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1327…89d3backed Under49c10,000$4,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,899.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb07…017fbacked Over49c10,000$4,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,099.97475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+53.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a2b…634abacked Over50c7,993$3,997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,996.53100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xde45…e6f7backed Under50c7,423$3,712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,711.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f08…ad31backed Under50c7,321$3,661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,660.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+39.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ede…8b89backed Over50c7,271$3,636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,635.55100%5 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+95.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6101…f73fbacked Over50c7,239$3,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,619.53100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf84f…7aacbacked Over50c7,181$3,591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,590.53100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb6da…42fabacked Under50c7,163$3,582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,581.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa63a…a38dbacked Under50c7,025$3,513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,512.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x81a8…69ddbacked Under50c6,733$3,367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,366.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x136d…07fabacked Under50c6,551$3,276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,275.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0eaa…c85dbacked Over50c6,543$3,272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,271.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d8f…00e8backed Over50c6,509$3,255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,253.482100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x177e…9d07backed Under50c6,401$3,201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,200.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a4f…26f6backed Under50c6,177$3,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,088.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5807…c5b5backed Over50c5,939$2,970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,969.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b1f…1b8abacked Over50c5,865$2,933 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,932.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3ae3…57edbacked Over50c5,833$2,917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,916.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf061…4e67backed Under50c5,799$2,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,899.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under51c5,716$2,925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,925.234,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf922…9e98backed Over50c5,655$2,828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,827.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x14d7…00f4backed Over50c5,647$2,824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,823.53100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x960f…96c6backed Over50c5,555$2,778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,777.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e13…c20ebacked Over50c5,325$2,663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,662.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e37…1d93backed Over50c5,257$2,629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,628.53100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbf63…27e6backed Under50c5,048$2,524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,524250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9311…1034backed Under50c5,029$2,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,529.54250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0cc…9461backed Under50c5,015$2,508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,507.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc27…e991backed Under50c4,862$2,435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,434.93250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb658…7a18backed Under50c4,769$2,385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,384.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6c8…09eebacked Over50c4,689$2,345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,344.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2519…1aa9backed Over50c4,629$2,315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,314.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc484…c1e3backed Over50c4,619$2,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,309.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4cc8…5aa7backed Under50c4,506$2,253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,253250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Under54c4,505$2,414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,413.822,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x31e7…1201backed Over50c4,413$2,207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,206.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x424c…2e8fbacked Under50c4,407$2,204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,203.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9bcb…a08cbacked Over50c4,213$2,107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,106.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe579…4720backed Under50c4,175$2,088 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,087.5560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf408…1976backed Over50c4,175$2,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,087.53100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcfe5…aadebacked Over50c4,062$2,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0312100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd3c…ccd2backed Under50c3,989$1,995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,994.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x757e…8a5bbacked Under50c3,811$1,906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,905.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7860…70b4backed Over50c3,794$1,897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8972100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf569…1c68backed Under50c3,662$1,831 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,831250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6718…6823backed Under50c3,653$1,831 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,830.65333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f07…3ca5backed Under50c3,537$1,769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,768.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b28…c038backed Over50c3,477$1,739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,738.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc222…2615backed Under50c3,432$1,716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,716250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56bc…d02bbacked Over50c3,156$1,578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5782100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x95d9…fc90backed Under50c3,061$1,531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,530.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bc0…b2e8backed Under50c2,946$1,473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,473250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ad6…dbf1backed Under50c2,874$1,437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,437250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f22…c1b2backed Over50c2,656$1,328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3282100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7541…c5e5backed Under50c2,633$1,317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,316.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdfd2…d4e0backed Over50c2,575$1,288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,287.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0588…1845backed Under55c2,458$1,362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,362.061435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-28.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x12b9…6312backed Over51c2,379$1,213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,165.567236.1%26 W · 46 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-26.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x332c…12c0backed Under50c2,335$1,168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,167.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x881a…d314backed Under50c2,267$1,134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,133.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95cf…88e1backed Under50c2,259$1,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,129.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over46c2,242$1,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,203.64,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over51c2,205$1,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,080.456,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd45c…8946backed Over50c2,179$1,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,089.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc41e…4ee7backed Over50c2,120$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0601100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5c…0483backed Under50c2,120$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,06010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfec7…74fabacked Over50c2,080$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0401100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc364…1b76backed Under50c2,080$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,04010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe26d…f9a8backed Over50c1,970$985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$985580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+64.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x14f6…f7e8backed Over50c1,968$984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$984580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+60%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7595…50ffbacked Under51c1,961$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00011156.8%63 W · 48 L+8.9wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+18.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x59da…38adbacked Over50c1,924$962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$962366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5681…f64ebacked Under50c1,671$836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$835.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Under77c1,655$1,279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,279.1565872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe156…134bbacked Over50c1,621$807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$813.5811235.7%40 W · 72 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9db…3999backed Under52c1,505$782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$782.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under53c1,367$724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$724.14,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5df9…bdafbacked Under50c1,352$676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$676333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51fd…2d5ebacked Under50c1,126$563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda75…bbf9backed Under54c1,110$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598.7826553.2%141 W · 124 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcec1…e184backed Over50c1,099$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6557…0999backed Under52c946.51$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.1913946.8%65 W · 74 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under50c900$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4501,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb091…040dbacked Over48c833.33$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.332948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Over22c627.84$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.721,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over46c623.45$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.643,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under45c583.94$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.612,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Over22c581.83$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.81,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over43c528.39$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.328,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b45…d196backed Under58c513.6$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.8912540.8%51 W · 74 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over70c487.12$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.993,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3ea…cf0abacked Under51c440$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb9c…c607backed Over50c440$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2201100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over54c430.15$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.322,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c6f…0351backed Under50c408$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…bf20backed Over55c404.2$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.24540%18 W · 27 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over51c392.47$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.312,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6203…dd7abacked Under60c367.78$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.42360.9%14 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
  • The position was at least $10.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.