TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb760…0be8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
51
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 52 out of 100; worst CS2 at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT2450%12 W · 12 L-3.1wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-18.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.46
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.87
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BC.Game Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+45.7%+$16.53
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Heroic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Playoffsbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.32
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.73
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+86%+$13.77
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+46.4%+$9.74
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+32.2%+$5.15
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+67.5%+$6.75
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs 9z (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+92.7%+$12.98
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$16.65
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+63.2%+$27.52
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TYLOO (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.39
Counter-Strike: B8 vs NRG (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs B8 - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs NRG - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+30.5%+$3.78
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+25%+$6.72
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.29
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FURIA (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$16.91
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Heroic (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+40.8%+$6.13
All 24 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT1855.6%10 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
76ers vs. Heatbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.52
Warriors vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$13.15
Knicks vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$10
Clippers vs. Bucks: O/U 220.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+100%+$13.33
Bulls vs. Grizzliesbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.97
Bulls vs. Grizzlies: O/U 246.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.55
Hawks vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Raptors vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$13.98
Knicks vs. Nets: O/U 212.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
76ers vs. Kingsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$11.38
76ers vs. Kings: O/U 227.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$12.16
Warriors vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+49.6%+$8.44
Timberwolves vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Kings vs. Clippersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$29.64
Nuggets vs. Lakersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.87
Magic vs. Heatbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$9.3
Timberwolves vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$12.27
Timberwolves vs. Clippers: O/U 227.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.99
All 18 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+41.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick24cpaid-13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+43.1%+$7.31
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$4.28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.84
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.