CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BC.Game Esports - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf4065a426e987b50c433ed88109f54fac3d92c6253b3836463624d3b32b0f12c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TheMongolzof TheMongolz, BC.Game Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,587
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,402
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,587 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed BC.Game Esports | 31c | 2,987$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$923.41 | 2,092 | 41.6%871 W · 1,221 L | -50.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec7b…917ebacked BC.Game Esports | 24c | 1,829$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.23 | 283 | 40.3%114 W · 169 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a71…e454backed BC.Game Esports | 33c | 1,811$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.88 | 249 | 44.6%111 W · 138 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked TheMongolz | 69c | 990.55$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.07 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x421e…1e47backed BC.Game Esports | 15c | 944.81$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.71 | 90 | 23.3%21 W · 69 L | -9.4wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8d03…100ebacked TheMongolz | 69c | 905.21$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.79 | 410 | 69.3%284 W · 126 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e76…05aabacked TheMongolz | 70c | 701.43$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.43 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked TheMongolz | 69c | 690.61$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.09 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed BC.Game Esports | 3c | 600.82$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.28 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked TheMongolz | 67c | 599.31$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.77 | 766 | 57.8%443 W · 323 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked TheMongolz | 67c | 547$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.87 | 1,723 | 46.8%807 W · 916 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…60e9backed BC.Game Esports | 14c | 530.23$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.73 | 553 | 43.2%239 W · 314 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee0…f8f9backed TheMongolz | 67c | 529.31$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.67 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…81f2backed BC.Game Esports | 32c | 522.77$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.38 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked BC.Game Esports | 6c | 401.88$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed BC.Game Esports | 8c | 400$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 783 | 48.4%379 W · 404 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked BC.Game Esports | 6c | 396.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.85 | 704 | 23.9%168 W · 536 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed BC.Game Esports | 12c | 378.88$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.47 | 1,283 | 22%282 W · 1,001 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed BC.Game Esports | 4c | 354.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 4,099 | 51%2,091 W · 2,008 L | +74.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked TheMongolz | 67c | 299.13$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.83 | 815 | 44.4%362 W · 453 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed BC.Game Esports | 29c | 280.68$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.41 | 608 | 48%292 W · 316 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked TheMongolz | 71c | 276.91$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.39 | 251 | 43.8%110 W · 141 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked BC.Game Esports | 31c | 232.95$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.21 | 192 | 31.3%60 W · 132 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed BC.Game Esports | 32c | 210.57$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.38 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8e…c29ebacked BC.Game Esports | 16c | 203.42$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.24 | 284 | 43.7%124 W · 160 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb19f…1c86backed BC.Game Esports | 7c | 202.19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 80 | 33.8%27 W · 53 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed TheMongolz | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 238 | 51.7%123 W · 115 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e08…f3c8backed BC.Game Esports | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…df49backed BC.Game Esports | 11c | 172.11$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.93 | 96 | 31.3%30 W · 66 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked TheMongolz | 76c | 163.98$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.28 | 2,605 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,234 L | +97.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc086…8128backed BC.Game Esports | 17c | 136.36$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.66 | 148 | 48.6%72 W · 76 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbd…1ec9backed BC.Game Esports | 18c | 127.41$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.93 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked TheMongolz | 76c | 97$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.28 | 3,949 | 36.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L | -201.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…1e77backed TheMongolz | 69c | 95.86$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.72 | 111 | 66.7%74 W · 37 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…aefdbacked BC.Game Esports | 25c | 95.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.88 | 849 | 37.8%321 W · 528 L | -20.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a44…8e3fbacked BC.Game Esports | 33c | 84.35$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.83 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d9…76f3backed BC.Game Esports | 23c | 82.02$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked BC.Game Esports | 14c | 80.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 601 | 47.4%285 W · 316 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc8…f527backed BC.Game Esports | 33c | 72.71$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 492 | 26%128 W · 364 L | -45.2wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked BC.Game Esports | 30c | 67.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.33 | 483 | 19%92 W · 391 L | -65.4wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed BC.Game Esports | 32c | 61.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.66 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf91e…7e0bbacked TheMongolz | 69c | 57.12$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.71 | 538 | 59.3%319 W · 219 L | +18.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb760…0be8backed TheMongolz | 69c | 52.69$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.53 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed TheMongolz | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 392 | 58.2%228 W · 164 L | +18.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe549…ea83backed TheMongolz | 72c | 47.79$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.38 | 325 | 61.2%199 W · 126 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68d3…81e1backed BC.Game Esports | 32c | 42.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x512c…640cbacked BC.Game Esports | 34c | 39.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…540cbacked TheMongolz | 69c | 39.46$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.14 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed TheMongolz | 70c | 39.28$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.78 | 159 | 65.4%104 W · 55 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccb8…8114backed BC.Game Esports | 33c | 37.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19f1…f301backed TheMongolz | 68c | 28.72$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 201 | 57.7%116 W · 85 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed TheMongolz | 67c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 1,489 | 58%863 W · 626 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc32…32f8backed TheMongolz | 72c | 22.88$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd1…041bbacked TheMongolz | 69c | 22.76$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…3310backed TheMongolz | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 72cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x656e…9339backed TheMongolz | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 418 | 48.8%204 W · 214 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed TheMongolz | 68c | 19.62$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.28 | 608 | 38.2%232 W · 376 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86df…7d27backed TheMongolz | 69c | 14.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | -11.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BC.Game Esports - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group StageTheMongolz won
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BC.Game Esports - Map 2 WinnerTheMongolz won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs BC.Game Esports (+1.5)TheMongolz won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.