TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BC.Game Esports - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
TheMongolzof TheMongolz, BC.Game Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$216,888
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$288,650

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $216,888 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1c07…08c5backed TheMongolz79c15,948$12,610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,337.485438.9%21 W · 33 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-30.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed BC.Game Esports20c14,584$2,965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,965.4881843.2%353 W · 465 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed BC.Game Esports21c12,140$2,567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,566.562,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a14…d748backed TheMongolz79c6,602$5,209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,393.4357358.8%337 W · 236 L+16.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked BC.Game Esports16c6,505$1,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,029.721,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked BC.Game Esports13c6,026$789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$788.921,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed BC.Game Esports16c5,281$834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$833.5588746.7%414 W · 473 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed BC.Game Esports20c5,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,019.9964552.9%341 W · 304 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed BC.Game Esports14c4,726$654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$654.1887047.9%417 W · 453 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked BC.Game Esports16c4,665$755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$755.261,05449%516 W · 538 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed BC.Game Esports15c3,560$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.139248.7%191 W · 201 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe705…f910backed BC.Game Esports20c2,999$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.883751.4%19 W · 18 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5454…ceadbacked BC.Game Esports20c2,905$571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571.089552.6%50 W · 45 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d03…100ebacked TheMongolz79c1,768$1,393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.1841069.3%284 W · 126 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe41f…d9dcbacked TheMongolz80c1,334$1,067 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.7765650.3%330 W · 326 L-15.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked BC.Game Esports10c1,294$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.812,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed BC.Game Esports9c1,124$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.3260848%292 W · 316 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2067…7350backed TheMongolz80c1,117$894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.4727657.6%159 W · 117 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9902…34b3backed BC.Game Esports9c1,113$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.533828.9%11 W · 27 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-42.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked TheMongolz79c967.72$764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.2276058%441 W · 319 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5a96…4e13backed TheMongolz77c913$706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.7922358.7%131 W · 92 L+11.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe6d…9d6abacked BC.Game Esports23c829.18$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.718047.5%38 W · 42 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x959f…9e2fbacked BC.Game Esports24c784.61$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.899258.7%54 W · 38 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x802b…7d57backed BC.Game Esports22c742.61$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.998032.5%26 W · 54 L-6.6wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-31.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x642c…21a7backed TheMongolz78c714.99$559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.2820251%103 W · 99 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x568e…6980backed BC.Game Esports14c714.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003627.8%10 W · 26 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed BC.Game Esports12c663.19$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.9945455.1%250 W · 204 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed BC.Game Esports8c631.61$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.321,27821.9%280 W · 998 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf21d…922bbacked TheMongolz79c626.46$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.8223056.1%129 W · 101 L-0.5wins0.00per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9e3…af4bbacked TheMongolz79c605.49$478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.153073.3%22 W · 8 L+4.0wins+0.13per pick60cpaid+17.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1b9a…a06bbacked BC.Game Esports5c590.28$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9369624%167 W · 529 L+2.2wins0.00per pick24cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21ec…7307backed TheMongolz79c578.27$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.4413267.4%89 W · 43 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3741…517ebacked BC.Game Esports17c570.12$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.9219741.6%82 W · 115 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed BC.Game Esports10c531$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.636,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked BC.Game Esports21c514.05$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.6147147.3%223 W · 248 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked BC.Game Esports11c491.51$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.051,18122.5%266 W · 915 L+3.6wins0.00per pick22cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebe7…ddf5backed TheMongolz79c489.13$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.7234156.6%193 W · 148 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked BC.Game Esports17c481.18$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.923,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x634a…6de3backed TheMongolz77c440$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.242651.6%220 W · 206 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked TheMongolz77c423.26$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.811,39365.9%918 W · 475 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed BC.Game Esports16c419.34$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.494,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x911f…5ed0backed BC.Game Esports23c418.17$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.3719939.2%78 W · 121 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8052…1124backed BC.Game Esports23c400$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9214454.2%78 W · 66 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2d40…ec52backed TheMongolz79c398.71$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.7338954.5%212 W · 177 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed BC.Game Esports18c369.76$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.5637232.5%121 W · 251 L-14.2wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x846c…0366backed TheMongolz80c347.04$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.4118963.5%120 W · 69 L+0.7wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad46…df49backed BC.Game Esports22c342.53$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.079631.3%30 W · 66 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2cd2…1f27backed BC.Game Esports14c340.32$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.4554439.7%216 W · 328 L-1.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b5d…adc4backed BC.Game Esports11c313.78$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.76333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-40.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c70…b25ebacked TheMongolz80c308.75$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.752458.3%14 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick69cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc25…4fa8backed BC.Game Esports8c283.94$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1313453%71 W · 63 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked BC.Game Esports16c283.33$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.522,21447.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L-5.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked BC.Game Esports11c279.75$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.8819030.5%58 W · 132 L-12.1wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-26.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd537…0f7cbacked TheMongolz78c278.71$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.3233457.8%193 W · 141 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9942…5c84backed TheMongolz79c268.55$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.432653.1%173 W · 153 L-1.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f14…1e77backed TheMongolz78c253.09$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.7311166.7%74 W · 37 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+3.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8769…04aebacked TheMongolz79c249.97$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.494564.4%29 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick63cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed BC.Game Esports16c214.48$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.351,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37f8…b5e5backed BC.Game Esports13c204$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.8844743.8%196 W · 251 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f89…e85bbacked BC.Game Esports13c200$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261080%8 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+26.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed BC.Game Esports13c199.46$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.72,46824.6%607 W · 1,861 L-317.8wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-51.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x11ab…f911backed TheMongolz80c198.24$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.9210455.8%58 W · 46 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed BC.Game Esports16c192.88$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.542,10216.8%353 W · 1,749 L-286.5wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-47.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x02a0…6f3cbacked BC.Game Esports15c192.03$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.48933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-48.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8ff…6431backed TheMongolz79c187.48$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.3723165.8%152 W · 79 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed BC.Game Esports14c179.76$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.062,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc5f5…95e9backed BC.Game Esports9c173.58$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.453938.5%15 W · 24 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed BC.Game Esports21c168.1$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.1297040.7%395 W · 575 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf56c…fcbdbacked BC.Game Esports12c155.85$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9535449.7%176 W · 178 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf98b…57bbbacked TheMongolz80c148.52$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.738157.7%220 W · 161 L-1.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde4b…3b7dbacked TheMongolz78c138.15$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.3931852.8%168 W · 150 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x80b9…cedcbacked TheMongolz77c128.01$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.448667.4%58 W · 28 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick66cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcfaf…9206backed TheMongolz78c126.51$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.8321246.2%98 W · 114 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbdde…af48backed TheMongolz78c126.51$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.8313964%89 W · 50 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked BC.Game Esports9c124.79$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.245,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58ea…538dbacked TheMongolz80c123.5$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.720549.8%102 W · 103 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b05…b133backed TheMongolz80c123.5$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.713748.9%67 W · 70 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x368d…d853backed BC.Game Esports15c120.88$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.1378348.4%379 W · 404 L+17.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd8d7…406dbacked BC.Game Esports20c118.77$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6610945%49 W · 60 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-15.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x089b…c619backed BC.Game Esports21c110.94$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.827634.2%26 W · 50 L-8.8wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-26.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7635…63f6backed BC.Game Esports14c100$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.417548%84 W · 91 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87ed…b497backed BC.Game Esports20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2018352.5%96 W · 87 L+0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf885…d719backed BC.Game Esports17c98.94$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.416842.6%29 W · 39 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf8a8…48c0backed TheMongolz78c98.68$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.7125251.2%129 W · 123 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fc8…f527backed BC.Game Esports18c95.08$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1148826.2%128 W · 360 L-44.3wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-30.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2e7c…164dbacked BC.Game Esports21c92.98$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5334943%150 W · 199 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f9e…10c8backed BC.Game Esports22c88.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.57051.4%36 W · 34 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03e8…d073backed BC.Game Esports12c88.53$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.487136.6%26 W · 45 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa05c…aa9bbacked TheMongolz80c86.75$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.3521557.2%123 W · 92 L+0.3wins0.00per pick57cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4177…a2b4backed BC.Game Esports22c86.65$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.061,24841.3%516 W · 732 L+5.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4c2…a16ebacked TheMongolz78c75.91$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.748566.2%321 W · 164 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb31b…d703backed TheMongolz79c75.69$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.938552.7%203 W · 182 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x569a…843cbacked BC.Game Esports16c70.37$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.145160.8%31 W · 20 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+5.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x812a…73edbacked BC.Game Esports24c67.5$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1648319%92 W · 391 L-65.4wins-0.14per pick33cpaid-46.4%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x83fd…2aabbacked BC.Game Esports18c67.08$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0811232.1%36 W · 76 L-7.1wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-18.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x705c…317dbacked BC.Game Esports21c63.51$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.342623.1%6 W · 20 L-3.1wins-0.12per pick35cpaid-41.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x90aa…9b07backed TheMongolz80c61.75$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.351764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+46.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7cbc…b637backed TheMongolz77c56$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.8862538.6%241 W · 384 L-16.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x656e…9339backed TheMongolz79c50$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.541848.8%204 W · 214 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2b4…d45dbacked TheMongolz79c49.99$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.57859%46 W · 32 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.