TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x089b…c619

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
552
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Valorant, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Valorant at 57 out of 100; worst NHL at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT23643.6%103 W · 133 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 236 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffsbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+71.3%+$12.37
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$25.71
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.76
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.36
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed Kiwoom DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+81.3%+$10.87
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.17
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+114.2%+$26.76
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+203%+$29.93
LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Disguised - Game 2 Winnerbacked Shopify Rebellion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+104.7%+$19.33
LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Disguised - Game 1 Winnerbacked Shopify Rebellion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$8.71
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.05
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.16
LoL: Team WE vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.73
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Game Handicap: BRO (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5)backed DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
LoL: Ultra Prime vs Oh My God - Game 2 Winnerbacked Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
LoL: GIANTX vs Solary (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffsbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+97.5%+$24.36
LoL: GIANTX vs Solary - Game 1 Winnerbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$25.74
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winnerbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.78
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+117.6%+$25.33
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.04
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Nongshim Red Force (+1.5)backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
LoL: T1 vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.81
Showing 25 of 236 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT8749.4%43 W · 44 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 87 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$20.45
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$55.65
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+91.1%+$22.02
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 205.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+99.4%+$21.06
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 204.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+100%+$12.87
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 201.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$10.35
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$18.86
Spread: Thunder (-12.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$24.02
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 213.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.31
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 218.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.08
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.99
Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 212.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.82
Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 212.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.12
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.3
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$19.82
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$19.45
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$11.76
76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 204.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$23.08
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+150%+$15.09
Showing 25 of 87 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT7634.2%26 W · 50 L-8.8wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-26.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
CS2 — the 76 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Natus Vincere - Map 3 Winnerbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.56
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winnerbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.31
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.17
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5)backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.61
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.75
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$55.65
Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffsbacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$31.91
Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic - Map 1 Winnerbacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+81%+$20.25
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.8
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+70.1%+$13.96
Counter-Strike: Monte vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.7
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs M80 (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Bbacked M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Sinners (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Bbacked Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.1
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Bbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.4
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Bbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.59
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Sinners - Map 2 Winnerbacked Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Abacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$71.15
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.29
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs M80 - Map 2 Winnerbacked M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs M80 (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Bbacked M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Bbacked Sinners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Passion UA - Map 1 Winnerbacked Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.28
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs 9z - Map 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Showing 25 of 76 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT7576%57 W · 18 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick74cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 75 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 6°C on March 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on March 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+58%+$54.4
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 13°C on March 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$24.79
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on March 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 78°F or higher on March 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$42.86
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on March 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+37%+$36.99
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 6°C on March 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$33.33
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 44-45°F on March 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.71
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 12°C on March 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+32.6%+$32.58
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 13°C on March 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$29.87
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on March 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C or higher on March 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+45.1%+$44.17
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 8°C on March 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C on March 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+42.6%+$22.66
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+25%+$22.78
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 60°F or higher on March 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+43.6%+$43.61
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 74°F or higher on March 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$15.73
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on March 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+34.2%+$21.65
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 10°C or higher on March 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+27.2%+$27.15
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on March 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on March 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$9.58
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+30.3%+$30.3
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 7°C on March 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+30%+$22.84
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on March 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.55
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on March 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+40.8%+$40.76
Showing 25 of 75 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT4042.5%17 W · 23 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$32.47
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.04
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.88
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.99
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.66
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - DreamLeague Group Bbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.18
Dota 2: PlayTime vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - DreamLeague Group Bbacked PlayTime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.38
Dota 2: PlayTime vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Bbacked PlayTime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.29
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Bbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$20.45
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.75
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Aurora - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.01
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Heroic - Game 1 Winnerbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+95.5%+$23.17
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.51
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+100%+$24.25
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$28.4
Dota 2: Heroic vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 Winnerbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.85
Dota 2: Heroic vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winnerbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$17.65
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$15.83
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.94
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex - Game 4 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$18.14
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+90.5%+$22.62
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT1369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+31%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Valorant — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffsbacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+93%+$22.77
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+123.1%+$25.77
Valorant: Cloud9 vs Team Envy (BO3) - Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier Stage 1backed Team Envy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+80.5%+$16.4
Valorant: LOUD vs Cloud9 (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alphabacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$17.58
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Sentinels (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omegabacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Valorant: MIBR vs Cloud9 - Map 2 Winnerbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+86.4%+$20.99
Valorant: NRG vs KRÜ Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked KRÜ Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+81.7%+$11.12
Valorant: NRG vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omegabacked KRÜ Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$6.89
Map Handicap: FUR (-1.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+1.5)backed Evil Geniuses · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+88.6%+$21.51
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs NRG - Map 2 Winnerbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.27
Valorant: G2 Esports vs MIBR - Map 1 Winnerbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$13.27
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.21
Valorant: FUT Esports vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.3
All 13 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick37cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.98
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Elina Svitolina vs Nikola Bartunkovabacked Nikola Bartunkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.62
Madrid Open: Anastasia Potapova vs Elena Rybakinabacked Anastasia Potapova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$31.06
BMW Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Alex Molcanbacked Alex Molcan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$16.65
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Lorenzo Musetti vs Valentin Vacherotbacked Valentin Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+106.1%+$25.74
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Alex Michelsen vs Alexei Popyrinbacked Alexei Popyrin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$25.22
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Rinky Hijikata vs Frances Tiafoebacked Rinky Hijikata · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.26
Miami Open: Tommy Paul vs Arthur Filsbacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$20.45
Miami Open: Martin Landaluce vs Jiri Leheckabacked Martin Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.32
All 9 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT911.1%1 W · 8 L-3.0wins-0.33per pick44cpaid-73.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
NHL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick42cpaid+57%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Huskies vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$30.62
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-5.5)backed Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$18
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.79
All 3 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.72
Will France win on 2026-03-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+53.8%+$21.54
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.85
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.