Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on March 7?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4955fe5afe3e21e36230e4d75903e3e0fb050e55c62961c6c4ddcfff22c115eb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,472
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,472 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8fc…88e1backed Yes | 36c | 1,118$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.1 | 1,298 | 33.1%430 W · 868 L | +39.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…faeabacked Yes | 50c | 421.94$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.96 | 311 | 70.7%220 W · 91 L | +42.3wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7f…44d4backed No | 68c | 400.84$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.66 | 249 | 66.7%166 W · 83 L | +15.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d72…8e62backed Yes | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1,817 | 8.1%148 W · 1,669 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 34c | 296.05$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.97 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa37d…b2b4backed No | 46c | 282.14$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.04 | 321 | 57.3%184 W · 137 L | +17.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99cb…4bc2backed No | 71c | 229.98$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.48 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | -5.6wins | -0.11per pick | 68cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4635…6c48backed Yes | 44c | 224.98$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.99 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -7.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Yes | 42c | 214.43$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.12 | 564 | 24.5%138 W · 426 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39c0…ae83backed Yes | 34c | 205.53$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.88 | 122 | 23%28 W · 94 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc72…ad49backed Yes | 78c | 198.07$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.65 | 115 | 65.2%75 W · 40 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cc…a95dbacked No | 51c | 191.59$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.59 | 70 | 81.4%57 W · 13 L | +10.1wins | +0.14per pick | 67cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1c78…42e6backed No | 31c | 187.88$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.47 | 597 | 42%251 W · 346 L | +96.8wins | +0.16per pick | 26cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3c…eba1backed No | 67c | 185.91$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.68 | 134 | 53.7%72 W · 62 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c28…0d2abacked No | 55c | 184.25$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.35 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 45c | 174.34$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.04 | 860 | 50.9%438 W · 422 L | +29.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 70c | 162.39$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.47 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e28…cf34backed Yes | 30c | 155.58$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.94 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a1…3840backed Yes | 31c | 151$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.16 | 1,153 | 27.1%312 W · 841 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8e…5d6abacked Yes | 11c | 150$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 95 | 20%19 W · 76 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa96a…1377backed No | 67c | 149$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.48 | 541 | 43.6%236 W · 305 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x014b…243bbacked Yes | 48c | 142.41$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.36 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad13…7ed6backed No | 62c | 141.47$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.42 | 919 | 67%616 W · 303 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089b…c619backed No | 71c | 140.76$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.76 | 75 | 76%57 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 74cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a42…8da8backed No | 59c | 134.43$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.31 | 388 | 40.7%158 W · 230 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc33…9636backed No | 64c | 128.97$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.43 | 125 | 40%50 W · 75 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1c…55e4backed No | 52c | 120.85$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.34 | 48 | 87.5%42 W · 6 L | +12.0wins | +0.25per pick | 63cpaid | +49%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a9…75f9backed Yes | 35c | 100.6$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.18 | 262 | 53.4%140 W · 122 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfced…03d9backed Yes | 65c | 100.3$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.7 | 101 | 41.6%42 W · 59 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +82%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba4…0a0bbacked Yes | 32c | 99.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.97 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe17b…6f98backed Yes | 64c | 99.35$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.19 | 101 | 50.5%51 W · 50 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 30c | 98.4$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a35…6387backed Yes | 48c | 96.51$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.24 | 59 | 28.8%17 W · 42 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4262…d125backed Yes | 63c | 90$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.6 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 33c | 90$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed Yes | 52c | 84$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.06 | 358 | 43.9%157 W · 201 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 46c | 83.61$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.15 | 1,605 | 42.9%689 W · 916 L | -86.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 57c | 82$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.26 | 583 | 49.4%288 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f8…f4cbbacked Yes | 43c | 81.37$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.76 | 812 | 34.1%277 W · 535 L | +56.9wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b11…2976backed Yes | 65c | 81.08$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.05 | 499 | 41.7%208 W · 291 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2987…4c9bbacked Yes | 34c | 80.8$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.37 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 64c | 75.34$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.07 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdeee…7c09backed No | 60c | 75$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 93 | 51.6%48 W · 45 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Yes | 56c | 74.22$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.8 | 999 | 61.8%617 W · 382 L | +19.0wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 48c | 73.1$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.77 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xcf01…79b6backed No | 58c | 72.25$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.37 | 86 | 65.1%56 W · 30 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b9…3377backed No | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 140 | 71.4%100 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5a…77e5backed No | 25c | 70$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 97 | 24.7%24 W · 73 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc03…3c05backed No | 59c | 63.44$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.99 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad62…2aa9backed Yes | 41c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.82 | 165 | 32.7%54 W · 111 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b4e…d839backed Yes | 37c | 59.93$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 227 | 28.6%65 W · 162 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf845…7c31backed No | 58c | 56.46$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x70f4…a54abacked Yes | 37c | 54.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.42 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca5…9ababacked No | 66c | 53.83$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 94 | 34%32 W · 62 L | -10.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xade1…9040backed Yes | 38c | 52.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 338 | 39.9%135 W · 203 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e66…e1b2backed Yes | 33c | 52.47$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.54 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4add…6fe5backed No | 57c | 51.69$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.28 | 1,452 | 36.8%534 W · 918 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2205…8089backed No | 69c | 50.72$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.72 | 290 | 56.2%163 W · 127 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…15c2backed No | 67c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 173 | 64.7%112 W · 61 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 71cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…d57dbacked No | 68c | 49.12$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 486 | 72%350 W · 136 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…abdbbacked Yes | 40c | 48.53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b22…8945backed No | 66c | 46.28$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.73 | 253 | 41.5%105 W · 148 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 43c | 46.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8d…a96cbacked Yes | 33c | 44.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 810 | 29.1%236 W · 574 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe31e…ec88backed Yes | 29c | 44.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 559 | 19.1%107 W · 452 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86c1…9615backed Yes | 35c | 42.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 37 | 13.5%5 W · 32 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47af…3999backed No | 67c | 42.29$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.81 | 326 | 52.1%170 W · 156 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e54…ad5dbacked Yes | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -36%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505e…1c76backed Yes | 37c | 38.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0d…4ed5backed No | 74c | 36.77$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -6.0wins | -0.21per pick | 72cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd721…57a7backed Yes | 45c | 36.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.43 | 451 | 27.1%122 W · 329 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked No | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 1,002 | 60.9%610 W · 392 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d84…4ff1backed Yes | 36c | 34.72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 295 | 58%171 W · 124 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83fe…23d9backed No | 51c | 32.34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.82 | 327 | 60.6%198 W · 129 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35c4…d144backed No | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.07 | 1,255 | 62.5%785 W · 470 L | +99.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd93…0051backed No | 64c | 29.52$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.58 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 70cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2155…3428backed Yes | 35c | 29.11$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 188 | 45.2%85 W · 103 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36c2…2b8cbacked No | 69c | 29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 707 | 70.2%496 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed No | 38c | 28.01$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.32 | 981 | 60.6%594 W · 387 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc99f…aeb1backed No | 67c | 27.9$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.08 | 36 | 13.9%5 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -74%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 50c | 27.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfea9…2a8fbacked No | 71c | 27.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.85 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 71cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2283…b82abacked Yes | 61c | 24.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -33%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0094…58febacked No | 72c | 24.3$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | -1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 53c | 22.71$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.74 | 1,842 | 63.5%1,170 W · 672 L | -42.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeed2…ad97backed No | 71c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 61c | 18.62$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.24 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bda…439fbacked No | 59c | 18.27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.49 | 594 | 40.6%241 W · 353 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked No | 60c | 18.02$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.12 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 63c | 17.68$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.54 | 763 | 71.4%545 W · 218 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd725…0ba3backed No | 73c | 17.51$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.68 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 76cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89b5…5aa7backed No | 77c | 17.39$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 162 | 42.6%69 W · 93 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed No | 66c | 17.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 135 | 23%31 W · 104 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea83…7393backed No | 67c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.61 | 1,445 | 60.1%868 W · 577 L | +5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa685…c2b3backed No | 60c | 16.67$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca4…2097backed No | 66c | 16.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on March 7?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 69°F or below on March 7?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 84°F or higher on March 7?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on March 7?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on March 7?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on March 7?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on March 7?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on March 7?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on March 7?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.