Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Heroic vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8205c6b26ac95fed22e375d7889991aa2daca1b9cc3c34998acab2b2cc6dd3e2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Heroicof Heroic, Virtus.pro
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $324,345
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $351,532
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $324,345 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 216 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Virtus.pro | 40c | 80,200$32,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,106.71 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Heroic | 60c | 55,528$33,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,212.34 | 287 | 48.8%140 W · 147 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Heroic | 61c | 16,806$10,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,554.44 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Virtus.pro | 37c | 13,071$4,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,810.32 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x65b9…ff15backed Heroic | 62c | 9,167$5,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,483.59 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Heroic | 62c | 7,502$4,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,855.76 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Virtus.pro | 37c | 7,093$2,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,614.8 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Heroic | 61c | 6,000$3,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,340.01 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a5…391cbacked Heroic | 58c | 6,000$3,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,519.99 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed Virtus.pro | 39c | 5,883$2,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,274.02 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…1c20backed Virtus.pro | 39c | 5,486$2,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,129.77 | 290 | 42.1%122 W · 168 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7714…b814backed Heroic | 61c | 5,136$3,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,991.23 | 241 | 53.1%128 W · 113 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70c1…dba0backed Heroic | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,249.99 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Virtus.pro | 38c | 4,814$1,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,829.32 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Heroic | 63c | 4,799$3,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,760.92 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed Heroic | 62c | 4,674$2,878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,796.12 | 271 | 53.5%145 W · 126 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Heroic | 63c | 4,227$2,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,553.49 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c75…1b0dbacked Virtus.pro | 39c | 4,000$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,549.99 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf8…2f4abacked Virtus.pro | 1c | 4,000$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | +5.7wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Virtus.pro | 39c | 3,836$1,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,495.97 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Virtus.pro | 33c | 3,749$1,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,236.04 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked Virtus.pro | 45c | 3,699$1,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,665.2 | 96 | 30.2%29 W · 67 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…8d75backed Heroic | 58c | 3,377$1,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,420.49 | 242 | 51.7%125 W · 117 L | +21.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked Virtus.pro | 33c | 3,071$1,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,013.55 | 412 | 42.2%174 W · 238 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…cf14backed Heroic | 61c | 2,850$1,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,111.32 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Heroic | 67c | 2,746$1,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914.89 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed Virtus.pro | 40c | 2,518$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007.94 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Virtus.pro | 39c | 2,470$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.4 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Heroic | 57c | 2,466$1,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,071.86 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Heroic | 65c | 2,425$1,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.5 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb635…bef0backed Virtus.pro | 39c | 2,395$934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.05 | 303 | 36.6%111 W · 192 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Heroic | 56c | 2,370$1,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,042.97 | 125 | 60%75 W · 50 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed Heroic | 63c | 2,327$1,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.94 | 450 | 46.7%210 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf67d…c986backed Virtus.pro | 43c | 2,215$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960.21 | 390 | 42.1%164 W · 226 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Heroic | 65c | 2,154$1,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.67 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked Heroic | 62c | 2,048$1,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.32 | 365 | 47.7%174 W · 191 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7756…d00abacked Heroic | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 251 | 47.4%119 W · 132 L | +12.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed Heroic | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed Heroic | 70c | 1,962$1,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.58 | 450 | 61.6%277 W · 173 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Virtus.pro | 33c | 1,928$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.45 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b3…f473backed Heroic | 63c | 1,797$1,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.05 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Virtus.pro | 33c | 1,736$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.41 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Virtus.pro | 38c | 1,733$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.89 | 187 | 39%73 W · 114 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed Heroic | 58c | 1,705$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.72 | 189 | 54%102 W · 87 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Virtus.pro | 37c | 1,500$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Heroic | 59c | 1,500$879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.98 | 197 | 42.1%83 W · 114 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Virtus.pro | 38c | 1,470$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.36 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Heroic | 61c | 1,444$881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.31 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed Virtus.pro | 38c | 1,441$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.71 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Virtus.pro | 36c | 1,328$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.15 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Heroic | 62c | 1,250$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475 | 413 | 51.8%214 W · 199 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…4d12backed Heroic | 79c | 1,249$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.69 | 350 | 62.6%219 W · 131 L | +44.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0caf…91adbacked Virtus.pro | 39c | 1,223$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.82 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -9.7wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1193…d9c4backed Virtus.pro | 36c | 1,199$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.62 | 78 | 59%46 W · 32 L | +7.1wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…510bbacked Virtus.pro | 45c | 1,196$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.71 | 359 | 51.3%184 W · 175 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Virtus.pro | 45c | 1,131$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.62 | 345 | 44.3%153 W · 192 L | -15.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Virtus.pro | 34c | 1,015$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.13 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Heroic | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Virtus.pro | 38c | 988.14$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.49 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb126…9848backed Heroic | 59c | 942.34$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.36 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa4…865cbacked Heroic | 62c | 933.38$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.03 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa8…cae6backed Heroic | 63c | 931.24$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.56 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed Virtus.pro | 32c | 896.74$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.78 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x115f…e217backed Virtus.pro | 45c | 870.14$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.9 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…30afbacked Virtus.pro | 42c | 850.47$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.2 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Heroic | 66c | 807.11$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.42 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeea8…0412backed Virtus.pro | 38c | 760.11$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.84 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7b…6e9dbacked Virtus.pro | 33c | 753.91$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.36 | 252 | 46.8%118 W · 134 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d4…d2f2backed Virtus.pro | 40c | 753.31$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.04 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 33cpaid | -50%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd439…21d3backed Heroic | 61c | 728.72$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.2 | 316 | 44.9%142 W · 174 L | -18.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Heroic | 56c | 725.62$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.69 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed Virtus.pro | 26c | 724.84$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.3 | 146 | 61%89 W · 57 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9031…554bbacked Heroic | 79c | 722.88$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.44 | 102 | 62.7%64 W · 38 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed Virtus.pro | 41c | 702.66$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.71 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked Virtus.pro | 2c | 658.91$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.18 | 378 | 11.1%42 W · 336 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd83…7d7cbacked Virtus.pro | 30c | 638.67$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.6 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Heroic | 66c | 628.98$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.3 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Virtus.pro | 42c | 627$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.34 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dde…cff5backed Virtus.pro | 40c | 623.37$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.35 | 336 | 44%148 W · 188 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Heroic | 70c | 589.19$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.56 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed Virtus.pro | 32c | 581.85$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.58 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde1f…d634backed Virtus.pro | 25c | 576.68$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.24 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed Heroic | 62c | 530$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.4 | 335 | 41.2%138 W · 197 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Virtus.pro | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Virtus.pro | 30c | 488.98$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.83 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Virtus.pro | 32c | 449.63$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.88 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…d760backed Virtus.pro | 13c | 440.97$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.51 | 173 | 40.5%70 W · 103 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83d1…555dbacked Heroic | 58c | 436.31$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.25 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc82b…4a75backed Virtus.pro | 3c | 414.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce7a…fef0backed Virtus.pro | 5c | 405.07$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 191 | 45.5%87 W · 104 L | +13.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed Heroic | 62c | 376.45$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.76 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Virtus.pro | 38c | 371.88$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.59 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Virtus.pro | 41c | 371.74$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.41 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6148…7e43backed Virtus.pro | 33c | 365.19$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.03 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked Virtus.pro | 38c | 362.96$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.74 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Heroic | 65c | 354.89$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.32 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Virtus.pro | 34c | 331.26$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.05 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad8f…6b52backed Virtus.pro | 39c | 328.22$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.01 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x315f…85c6backed Heroic | 62c | 315.23$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.79 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8d…febfbacked Heroic | 63c | 308.08$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.46 | 216 | 50.9%110 W · 106 L | -25.3wins | -0.12per pick | 63cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Heroic vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Heroic vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group StageHeroic won
- Dota 2: Heroic vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 WinnerHeroic won
- Game Handicap: HEROIC (-1.5) vs Virtus.pro (+1.5)Heroic won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.