Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Heroic vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x42552ae5a8bc2580e308c89b724521ab8a9d54da2f6ec33db2c66f83c18cddc7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Heroicof Heroic, Virtus.pro
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $355,946
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $390,146
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $355,946 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 260 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Virtus.pro | 39c | 111,567$43,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,182.75 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a5c…a375backed Virtus.pro | 41c | 94,455$38,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,703.83 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Heroic | 58c | 89,542$51,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,607.65 | 125 | 60%75 W · 50 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Heroic | 59c | 24,500$14,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,044.99 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Heroic | 58c | 13,663$7,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,799.36 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Heroic | 60c | 11,836$7,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,702.82 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Heroic | 61c | 11,731$7,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,575.09 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Heroic | 60c | 11,452$6,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,580.86 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fea1backed Heroic | 60c | 8,888$5,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,555.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Heroic | 60c | 7,158$4,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,830.74 | 345 | 44.3%153 W · 192 L | -15.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6447…8075backed Heroic | 60c | 6,958$4,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,783.24 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +71.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60c3…5947backed Virtus.pro | 30c | 6,450$1,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,942.98 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.7wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa0…1160backed Heroic | 77c | 4,993$3,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,165.66 | 148 | 54.7%81 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Heroic | 66c | 3,455$2,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,166.22 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Heroic | 59c | 3,339$1,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,367.07 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceed…f8eebacked Heroic | 61c | 3,111$1,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,213.29 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c49…dd2dbacked Heroic | 61c | 3,000$1,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,170 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Heroic | 59c | 2,963$1,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,224.92 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Heroic | 65c | 2,954$1,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,032.66 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…273dbacked Virtus.pro | 40c | 2,923$1,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,183.75 | 126 | 30.2%38 W · 88 L | -13.5wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb36e…dab1backed Heroic | 60c | 2,870$1,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,148 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eae…eab7backed Heroic | 60c | 2,816$1,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,126.4 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +3.9wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +165.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Heroic | 79c | 2,526$1,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.42 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x611f…b58fbacked Heroic | 60c | 2,500$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17cb…a795backed Heroic | 60c | 2,500$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +148.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Virtus.pro | 17c | 2,395$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.68 | 520 | 46.5%242 W · 278 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Heroic | 60c | 2,381$1,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.84 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Heroic | 63c | 2,343$1,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876.43 | 340 | 51.5%175 W · 165 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Heroic | 68c | 2,231$1,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.63 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b05…aed5backed Heroic | 60c | 2,172$1,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…cd68backed Heroic | 61c | 2,150$1,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$838.5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1711…5698backed Heroic | 60c | 2,148$1,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba06…8024backed Heroic | 62c | 1,988$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.81 | 159 | 50.3%80 W · 79 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Heroic | 67c | 1,776$1,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.29 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Heroic | 79c | 1,741$1,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.2 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Virtus.pro | 35c | 1,726$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.39 | 713 | 42.5%303 W · 410 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfee…ed1fbacked Virtus.pro | 19c | 1,723$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.17 | 106 | 18.9%20 W · 86 L | -14.0wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -52%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb076…3b1cbacked Heroic | 60c | 1,666$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…172fbacked Heroic | 59c | 1,629$961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.08 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61a5…caa6backed Heroic | 63c | 1,552$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.26 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…30afbacked Heroic | 78c | 1,531$1,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.36 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Heroic | 66c | 1,521$1,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.53 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…f61ebacked Heroic | 60c | 1,111$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.57 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fd…a0a9backed Heroic | 80c | 1,054$843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.72 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2da2…8c2bbacked Heroic | 80c | 1,039$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.73 | 109 | 66.1%72 W · 37 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6732…d7f0backed Heroic | 59c | 999.98$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1064…f153backed Virtus.pro | 39c | 999.71$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.89 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea79…a9ccbacked Virtus.pro | 36c | 990.4$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.54 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Heroic | 80c | 988$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.6 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Virtus.pro | 2c | 964.24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.02 | 378 | 32.5%123 W · 255 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1449…5096backed Heroic | 60c | 933.66$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Heroic | 75c | 869.63$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.59 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa12f…d95ebacked Heroic | 60c | 851.16$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked Heroic | 59c | 850.34$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.64 | 236 | 53%125 W · 111 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9014…3507backed Heroic | 60c | 832.5$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +181.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8dae…125cbacked Virtus.pro | 17c | 814.85$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.33 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf016…65ffbacked Heroic | 60c | 809.5$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37bd…2559backed Heroic | 60c | 806.83$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Heroic | 62c | 788.06$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.46 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 62cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66ea…6791backed Heroic | 60c | 743.78$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.76 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Heroic | 62c | 737.7$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.8 | 507 | 49.7%252 W · 255 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c87…2461backed Heroic | 60c | 737.33$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.93 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Heroic | 61c | 713.11$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.59 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde0a…f102backed Heroic | 59c | 712.82$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.93 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3304…8313backed Heroic | 59c | 661.29$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.13 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29fe…2ebfbacked Heroic | 60c | 657.4$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4912…b76fbacked Heroic | 59c | 645.73$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.75 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Heroic | 65c | 623.27$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.91 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0caa…b2bdbacked Heroic | 59c | 595.08$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.98 | 147 | 62.6%92 W · 55 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6633…dcfebacked Virtus.pro | 41c | 593.73$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.43 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c07…5feabacked Virtus.pro | 42c | 575.93$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.28 | 179 | 54.2%97 W · 82 L | -12.6wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb29a…bbdebacked Heroic | 64c | 575.63$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.23 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x413f…47f3backed Virtus.pro | 39c | 567.44$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.3 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Heroic | 63c | 543$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.82 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Heroic | 60c | 530$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212 | 805 | 44.6%359 W · 446 L | -25.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab2…b321backed Heroic | 60c | 518$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.2 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked Virtus.pro | 39c | 517.52$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.83 | 208 | 27.9%58 W · 150 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4414…9474backed Heroic | 61c | 502.47$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.96 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked Heroic | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 162 | 43.2%70 W · 92 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc58…7894backed Heroic | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe175…4752backed Heroic | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…928dbacked Heroic | 77c | 500$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc6…cba3backed Heroic | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +85.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Virtus.pro | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f01…0d90backed Heroic | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Heroic | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 562 | 43.2%243 W · 319 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc314…3501backed Virtus.pro | 2c | 499.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -37%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…f73fbacked Virtus.pro | 40c | 498.72$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.49 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0e…35f8backed Virtus.pro | 41c | 495.81$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.28 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Heroic | 68c | 491.77$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.14 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe6b…b068backed Heroic | 61c | 482.99$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Heroic | 62c | 480.78$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.7 | 194 | 58.8%114 W · 80 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Heroic | 60c | 460.46$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.97 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd1f…2bd0backed Virtus.pro | 37c | 459$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.83 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Virtus.pro | 5c | 458.76$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.74 | 108 | 33.3%36 W · 72 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x758f…dfb7backed Heroic | 70c | 423.52$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.97 | 346 | 67.9%235 W · 111 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked Virtus.pro | 21c | 396.83$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.68 | 372 | 23.1%86 W · 286 L | -38.2wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Heroic | 75c | 390.36$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.91 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Heroic | 64c | 390.1$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.22 | 565 | 48%271 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2757…55f0backed Heroic | 75c | 389.46$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.64 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Heroic vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagethis page
- Dota 2: Heroic vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 WinnerHeroic won
- Dota 2: Heroic vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 WinnerHeroic won
- Game Handicap: HEROIC (-1.5) vs Virtus.pro (+1.5)Heroic won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.