Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Heroic vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x80230c2b05107ad4a05f5bc2f348ac13e85b0c7066a0147c4e7548c3bde2f0ce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Heroicof Heroic, Virtus.pro
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $618,353
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $722,363
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $618,353 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 319 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Virtus.pro | 43c | 201,796$86,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86,104.15 | 287 | 48.8%140 W · 147 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Virtus.pro | 44c | 76,654$33,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,429.71 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Heroic | 62c | 45,638$28,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,332.28 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Heroic | 56c | 40,000$22,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,600 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Heroic | 56c | 36,447$20,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,098.91 | 125 | 60%75 W · 50 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Heroic | 64c | 31,737$20,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,358.17 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Heroic | 58c | 24,897$14,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,493.53 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed Virtus.pro | 43c | 19,469$8,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,371.65 | 271 | 53.5%145 W · 126 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed Heroic | 57c | 17,748$10,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,614.16 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Heroic | 57c | 15,587$8,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,702.5 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…1c20backed Heroic | 57c | 15,000$8,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,450 | 290 | 42.1%122 W · 168 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Heroic | 62c | 13,079$8,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,924.19 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed Heroic | 58c | 11,127$6,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,667.35 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…cf14backed Virtus.pro | 43c | 9,980$4,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,291.23 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Heroic | 58c | 9,748$5,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,094.4 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Heroic | 57c | 9,563$5,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,097.18 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Virtus.pro | 43c | 9,404$4,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,043.55 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Virtus.pro | 43c | 9,341$4,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,056.97 | 345 | 44.3%153 W · 192 L | -15.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Heroic | 58c | 8,509$4,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,615.41 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fac…1feebacked Heroic | 58c | 8,492$4,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,567.97 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked Heroic | 57c | 7,921$4,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,435.15 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Heroic | 58c | 7,869$4,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,270.8 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70c1…dba0backed Heroic | 58c | 7,519$4,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,173.54 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Heroic | 58c | 7,044$4,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,982.82 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Heroic | 58c | 7,030$4,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,936.67 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Heroic | 56c | 7,000$3,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,060 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Virtus.pro | 44c | 6,933$3,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,050.42 | 293 | 48.5%142 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x124e…6802backed Heroic | 77c | 6,549$5,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,531.61 | 130 | 68.5%89 W · 41 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Virtus.pro | 43c | 6,000$2,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,579.99 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed Virtus.pro | 12c | 5,649$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.44 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Heroic | 57c | 5,649$3,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,447.58 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65b9…ff15backed Heroic | 58c | 5,637$3,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,386.43 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Heroic | 78c | 5,414$4,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,183.96 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9031…554bbacked Heroic | 73c | 5,200$3,814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,386.12 | 102 | 62.7%64 W · 38 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Heroic | 58c | 5,047$2,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,141.71 | 268 | 43.7%117 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Heroic | 57c | 5,015$2,837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,177.69 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Heroic | 62c | 4,439$2,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,708.75 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Heroic | 57c | 4,378$2,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,889.37 | 255 | 49%125 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Virtus.pro | 43c | 4,249$1,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,811.44 | 413 | 51.8%214 W · 199 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed Heroic | 56c | 4,022$2,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,769.67 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Heroic | 57c | 4,000$2,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,720 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed Virtus.pro | 44c | 3,807$1,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,689.71 | 183 | 56.8%104 W · 79 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b89…1069backed Heroic | 55c | 3,703$2,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,651.8 | 156 | 53.8%84 W · 72 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb635…bef0backed Heroic | 58c | 3,580$2,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,521.53 | 303 | 36.6%111 W · 192 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf67d…c986backed Virtus.pro | 45c | 3,369$1,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500.85 | 390 | 42.1%164 W · 226 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Heroic | 77c | 3,255$2,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.15 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed Virtus.pro | 43c | 3,098$1,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,332.16 | 335 | 41.2%138 W · 197 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7756…d00abacked Virtus.pro | 39c | 3,000$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170 | 251 | 47.4%119 W · 132 L | +12.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c75…1b0dbacked Heroic | 58c | 3,000$1,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,259.99 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b63…4acdbacked Heroic | 57c | 2,994$1,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,275.02 | 162 | 48.8%79 W · 83 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…92fbbacked Heroic | 55c | 2,965$1,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,333.8 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked Virtus.pro | 45c | 2,822$1,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,270.02 | 365 | 47.7%174 W · 191 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Heroic | 54c | 2,755$1,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,267.1 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Virtus.pro | 11c | 2,715$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.56 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Heroic | 69c | 2,662$1,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.43 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Heroic | 59c | 2,536$1,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,041.03 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Virtus.pro | 45c | 2,535$1,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,137.27 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Virtus.pro | 45c | 2,513$1,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,118.83 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Virtus.pro | 43c | 2,487$1,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,069.45 | 197 | 42.1%83 W · 114 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3601…44fbbacked Heroic | 63c | 2,346$1,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.32 | 169 | 54.4%92 W · 77 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Virtus.pro | 40c | 2,085$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$841.5 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c6…d14dbacked Heroic | 57c | 2,074$1,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884.78 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf8…2f4abacked Virtus.pro | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | +5.7wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed Heroic | 72c | 1,955$1,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.58 | 450 | 61.6%277 W · 173 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dde…cff5backed Virtus.pro | 21c | 1,810$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.05 | 336 | 44%148 W · 188 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…8d75backed Heroic | 57c | 1,696$965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.13 | 242 | 51.7%125 W · 117 L | +21.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…4d12backed Heroic | 58c | 1,689$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.28 | 350 | 62.6%219 W · 131 L | +44.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1193…d9c4backed Heroic | 63c | 1,563$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.71 | 78 | 59%46 W · 32 L | +7.1wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Heroic | 58c | 1,551$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.91 | 565 | 48%271 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa8…cae6backed Virtus.pro | 45c | 1,547$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.24 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed Heroic | 58c | 1,393$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.08 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Heroic | 64c | 1,384$881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.13 | 340 | 51.5%175 W · 165 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83d1…555dbacked Virtus.pro | 39c | 1,342$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.1 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked Virtus.pro | 10c | 1,300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 378 | 11.1%42 W · 336 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked Virtus.pro | 30c | 1,295$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.06 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Virtus.pro | 7c | 1,277$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.4 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e11…e1f5backed Heroic | 60c | 1,254$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.53 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed Virtus.pro | 51c | 1,250$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 450 | 46.7%210 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f73…1b52backed Heroic | 56c | 1,250$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb53a…e694backed Virtus.pro | 34c | 1,223$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.35 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | -7.9wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Virtus.pro | 17c | 1,058$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.11 | 793 | 41.7%331 W · 462 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe999…12bdbacked Heroic | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 181 | 56.4%102 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Heroic | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 324 | 41.7%135 W · 189 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b3…f473backed Virtus.pro | 50c | 970$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked Heroic | 50c | 942$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471 | 379 | 45.9%174 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf29…da00backed Virtus.pro | 44c | 901.01$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.45 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x930e…38cfbacked Virtus.pro | 9c | 841.34$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.01 | 370 | 18.9%70 W · 300 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Virtus.pro | 18c | 803.24$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.81 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60e3…57b5backed Virtus.pro | 44c | 800$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352 | 348 | 60.1%209 W · 139 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Heroic | 70c | 782.36$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.6 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Heroic | 56c | 774.99$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Heroic | 55c | 766$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.7 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb05…ed70backed Virtus.pro | 45c | 743.85$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.73 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Heroic | 59c | 735.49$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.08 | 507 | 49.7%252 W · 255 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf7…6d62backed Heroic | 47c | 713.52$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.85 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Heroic | 70c | 701.43$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.43 | 194 | 58.8%114 W · 80 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed Virtus.pro | 31c | 686.48$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.81 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad8f…6b52backed Heroic | 60c | 660.26$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.11 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd83…7d7cbacked Heroic | 64c | 652.69$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.26 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb278…3ba6backed Virtus.pro | 41c | 642.48$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.33 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Heroic vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Heroic vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group StageHeroic won
- Dota 2: Heroic vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 WinnerHeroic won
- Game Handicap: HEROIC (-1.5) vs Virtus.pro (+1.5)Heroic won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.