Lol · resolved market
LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Disguised - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x04022694faafdfd67aecea918423c5b605a285ab0272f31252f45b18c17f2d99
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Shopify Rebellionof Shopify Rebellion, Disguised
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $139,096
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $162,884
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $139,096 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 178 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf201…527ebacked Shopify Rebellion | 54c | 15,962$8,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,332.6 | 1,295 | 45.1%584 W · 711 L | +49.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed Disguised | 51c | 9,119$4,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,614.7 | 1,200 | 54.1%649 W · 551 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Shopify Rebellion | 56c | 7,481$4,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,300.05 | 1,259 | 37.6%473 W · 786 L | +34.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Shopify Rebellion | 55c | 6,256$3,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,807.2 | 1,630 | 40.1%654 W · 976 L | +48.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x500f…94bfbacked Disguised | 44c | 6,142$2,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,702.5 | 189 | 61.4%116 W · 73 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Disguised | 37c | 4,789$1,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,779.97 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Shopify Rebellion | 54c | 4,700$2,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,169.06 | 1,158 | 42.6%493 W · 665 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Disguised | 41c | 4,284$1,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,745.68 | 854 | 42.7%365 W · 489 L | -14.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Disguised | 41c | 3,732$1,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,540.16 | 1,598 | 42.4%677 W · 921 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Disguised | 55c | 3,500$1,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,924.88 | 918 | 54%496 W · 422 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…ae44backed Shopify Rebellion | 75c | 2,803$2,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.17 | 893 | 47%420 W · 473 L | +44.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd458…1c90backed Shopify Rebellion | 77c | 2,800$2,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.24 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…1305backed Disguised | 50c | 2,207$1,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,095.24 | 1,463 | 61.4%899 W · 564 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x000e…f7e9backed Disguised | 58c | 2,015$1,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,168.53 | 899 | 43.4%390 W · 509 L | +22.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Shopify Rebellion | 57c | 1,976$1,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858.2 | 303 | 57.1%173 W · 130 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Shopify Rebellion | 46c | 1,845$845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.43 | 635 | 46.6%296 W · 339 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Shopify Rebellion | 47c | 1,795$844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$951.32 | 507 | 49.7%252 W · 255 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Disguised | 48c | 1,761$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842.26 | 1,003 | 42.5%426 W · 577 L | -24.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…8a71backed Disguised | 35c | 1,702$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588 | 479 | 33.6%161 W · 318 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Disguised | 36c | 1,698$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.78 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8756…3c83backed Disguised | 50c | 1,562$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.4 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62c6…ab7bbacked Shopify Rebellion | 55c | 1,336$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.69 | 835 | 60.8%508 W · 327 L | +45.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Shopify Rebellion | 41c | 1,325$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.53 | 1,258 | 38.6%485 W · 773 L | -61.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Disguised | 44c | 1,281$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.11 | 761 | 42%320 W · 441 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…ea47backed Disguised | 2c | 1,100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,294 | 26.6%344 W · 950 L | +65.3wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Shopify Rebellion | 41c | 1,004$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.64 | 401 | 45.4%182 W · 219 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Shopify Rebellion | 41c | 918.6$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.98 | 1,435 | 57.4%824 W · 611 L | +36.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Disguised | 45c | 896.47$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.36 | 950 | 41.6%395 W · 555 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0960…5adcbacked Shopify Rebellion | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.86 | 126 | 42.1%53 W · 73 L | -7.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb11…66cbbacked Shopify Rebellion | 55c | 740$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333 | 1,019 | 55.8%569 W · 450 L | +22.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Shopify Rebellion | 53c | 700.27$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.7 | 1,310 | 37.3%489 W · 821 L | -86.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Disguised | 39c | 685.14$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.81 | 1,671 | 57.9%968 W · 703 L | +70.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Shopify Rebellion | 42c | 668.68$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.83 | 311 | 53.4%166 W · 145 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed Shopify Rebellion | 59c | 632.09$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.95 | 1,477 | 48.3%713 W · 764 L | +45.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56ae…9badbacked Disguised | 21c | 609.98$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.2 | 331 | 25.7%85 W · 246 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfae6…ab69backed Disguised | 50c | 600.59$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 542 | 46.3%251 W · 291 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Disguised | 46c | 579.76$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.62 | 742 | 50.5%375 W · 367 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2be…ff33backed Disguised | 34c | 567.18$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.7 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3186…e9cabacked Disguised | 46c | 551$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.85 | 1,536 | 62.6%961 W · 575 L | +157.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Disguised | 41c | 540.73$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.19 | 828 | 36.4%301 W · 527 L | -41.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Disguised | 42c | 528$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.09 | 753 | 42.5%320 W · 433 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca0…38babacked Disguised | 44c | 521.45$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 1,443 | 43.4%626 W · 817 L | +105.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x49a6…a658backed Disguised | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 500 | 51.6%258 W · 242 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7329…bebdbacked Disguised | 43c | 510.23$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 434 | 53.5%232 W · 202 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c4e…6c11backed Disguised | 3c | 510$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 367 | 49.9%183 W · 184 L | +15.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked Disguised | 58c | 500$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 1,185 | 48.1%570 W · 615 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed Disguised | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,180 | 44.5%525 W · 655 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a1…d6ecbacked Shopify Rebellion | 44c | 499.98$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.49 | 466 | 50.9%237 W · 229 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8430…3961backed Disguised | 45c | 484.19$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.89 | 377 | 54.1%204 W · 173 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7230…4033backed Shopify Rebellion | 63c | 481.42$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Shopify Rebellion | 54c | 477.33$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.86 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed Disguised | 48c | 454.6$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.53 | 698 | 41.8%292 W · 406 L | +46.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…cca4backed Disguised | 43c | 432.97$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.13 | 375 | 48%180 W · 195 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…60afbacked Shopify Rebellion | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 397 | 47.9%190 W · 207 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…930fbacked Shopify Rebellion | 42c | 400$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232 | 1,216 | 44.4%540 W · 676 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x681b…3d79backed Disguised | 41c | 400$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 177 | 49.7%88 W · 89 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe74b…ee88backed Disguised | 35c | 396.51$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.07 | 862 | 51.3%442 W · 420 L | +51.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce51…1ddbbacked Shopify Rebellion | 54c | 386.18$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.18 | 126 | 57.9%73 W · 53 L | +10.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e69…7f76backed Disguised | 56c | 380.65$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.17 | 284 | 48.6%138 W · 146 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb003…d62dbacked Shopify Rebellion | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ef…4a40backed Shopify Rebellion | 55c | 359.6$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.82 | 88 | 34.1%30 W · 58 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf06…c9ffbacked Shopify Rebellion | 57c | 350$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.5 | 633 | 52%329 W · 304 L | +39.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Shopify Rebellion | 61c | 350$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 1,155 | 68.1%786 W · 369 L | +35.1wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3b…b968backed Shopify Rebellion | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 410 | 60.5%248 W · 162 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cba…3ec4backed Disguised | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,545 | 43.7%675 W · 870 L | -18.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x828b…a13fbacked Shopify Rebellion | 60c | 331.08$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.08 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53a5…55dfbacked Disguised | 52c | 321.36$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.6 | 433 | 58.2%252 W · 181 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked Shopify Rebellion | 52c | 318.87$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.06 | 1,663 | 59.5%990 W · 673 L | +98.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Disguised | 43c | 317.34$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.41 | 1,940 | 48.1%934 W · 1,006 L | +22.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb953…5393backed Shopify Rebellion | 56c | 300$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133 | 571 | 51.5%294 W · 277 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd11d…5656backed Disguised | 44c | 299.99$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.99 | 506 | 47.2%239 W · 267 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f05…85c5backed Disguised | 57c | 270.52$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 398 | 61.8%246 W · 152 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ec…d09cbacked Disguised | 18c | 256.74$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.45 | 86 | 29.1%25 W · 61 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3911…30f3backed Shopify Rebellion | 61c | 251.97$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.27 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked Disguised | 42c | 250$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…ea90backed Shopify Rebellion | 42c | 240$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.2 | 1,110 | 49%544 W · 566 L | +42.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d51…d971backed Shopify Rebellion | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 670 | 57.5%385 W · 285 L | +24.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa430…c6f9backed Disguised | 57c | 233.33$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 261 | 50.6%132 W · 129 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Disguised | 31c | 224.52$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.67 | 1,728 | 29.5%509 W · 1,219 L | -123.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Shopify Rebellion | 48c | 224.13$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.26 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf268…960fbacked Disguised | 49c | 204.8$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 474 | 53.4%253 W · 221 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f24…b463backed Shopify Rebellion | 55c | 200.23$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.45 | 251 | 49.8%125 W · 126 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked Shopify Rebellion | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 252 | 56.3%142 W · 110 L | +14.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d07…8b9ebacked Shopify Rebellion | 43c | 199.99$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 440 | 47.5%209 W · 231 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…f1f3backed Shopify Rebellion | 55c | 195$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.75 | 246 | 48.4%119 W · 127 L | -13.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Disguised | 39c | 186.52$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.9 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8e…f9b2backed Disguised | 54c | 179.91$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.94 | 404 | 46%186 W · 218 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Disguised | 42c | 174.99$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.13 | 1,826 | 39.9%728 W · 1,098 L | -61.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x682d…4cd6backed Disguised | 19c | 170$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.05 | 456 | 18.9%86 W · 370 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe136…6d09backed Shopify Rebellion | 46c | 160.01$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.01 | 197 | 38.6%76 W · 121 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x772b…5facbacked Disguised | 39c | 160$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 855 | 54.7%468 W · 387 L | +33.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb57d…07bfbacked Shopify Rebellion | 50c | 160$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 272 | 44.1%120 W · 152 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad09…612cbacked Shopify Rebellion | 57c | 157.42$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.69 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +5.4wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb5…def4backed Shopify Rebellion | 64c | 156.02$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.02 | 112 | 58.9%66 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e2…8fb6backed Disguised | 27c | 150$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 262 | 36.6%96 W · 166 L | +24.6wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbafa…02e0backed Shopify Rebellion | 51c | 147.06$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.06 | 801 | 50.7%406 W · 395 L | +48.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee9c…c449backed Disguised | 45c | 146.8$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.06 | 527 | 43.5%229 W · 298 L | +32.8wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd43f…0bb0backed Shopify Rebellion | 47c | 140$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.2 | 1,130 | 30%339 W · 791 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed Shopify Rebellion | 51c | 139.06$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.07 | 1,372 | 48.6%667 W · 705 L | +57.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Disguised | 57c | 136.06$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.96 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Disguised - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: DSG (-1.5) vs Shopify Rebellion (+1.5)Shopify Rebellion won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Disguised (BO3) - LCS Regular SeasonShopify Rebellion won
- LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Disguised - Game 2 WinnerShopify Rebellion won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.