Lol · resolved market
LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Disguised - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xce8ac49a74cdb3e7210dc55b974b301c23bb4753ed8586167948460b4fe1cb0e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Shopify Rebellionof Shopify Rebellion, Disguised
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $205,408
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $224,209
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $205,408 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 212 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf201…527ebacked Shopify Rebellion | 62c | 9,128$5,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,425.26 | 1,295 | 45.1%584 W · 711 L | +49.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Shopify Rebellion | 54c | 8,943$4,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,096.86 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Shopify Rebellion | 49c | 7,965$3,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,062.68 | 1,630 | 40.1%654 W · 976 L | +48.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Disguised | 15c | 7,600$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140.07 | 273 | 53.1%145 W · 128 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed Disguised | 50c | 5,500$2,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,754.98 | 1,200 | 54.1%649 W · 551 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Disguised | 58c | 4,999$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,899.66 | 918 | 54%496 W · 422 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…ae44backed Disguised | 45c | 3,650$1,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,626.02 | 893 | 47%420 W · 473 L | +44.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Disguised | 28c | 3,525$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.86 | 190 | 41.1%78 W · 112 L | +9.1wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Disguised | 24c | 3,321$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.04 | 1,158 | 42.6%493 W · 665 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8756…3c83backed Disguised | 52c | 3,189$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,649.83 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Disguised | 50c | 2,875$1,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,424.89 | 761 | 42%320 W · 441 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Disguised | 44c | 2,562$1,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,123.01 | 950 | 41.6%395 W · 555 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Disguised | 57c | 2,050$1,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,167 | 635 | 46.6%296 W · 339 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x000e…f7e9backed Shopify Rebellion | 45c | 2,030$914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,116.65 | 899 | 43.4%390 W · 509 L | +22.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Disguised | 50c | 1,976$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.16 | 1,598 | 42.4%677 W · 921 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…c67ebacked Disguised | 30c | 1,891$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.69 | 677 | 60.4%409 W · 268 L | +42.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…8a71backed Disguised | 40c | 1,760$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.26 | 479 | 33.6%161 W · 318 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd458…1c90backed Disguised | 50c | 1,736$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.91 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Shopify Rebellion | 60c | 1,468$876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.98 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Disguised | 49c | 1,385$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.96 | 1,940 | 48.1%934 W · 1,006 L | +22.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Shopify Rebellion | 56c | 1,242$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.21 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…ac2bbacked Shopify Rebellion | 41c | 1,200$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712 | 151 | 47%71 W · 80 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53a5…55dfbacked Shopify Rebellion | 58c | 1,192$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.12 | 433 | 58.2%252 W · 181 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Shopify Rebellion | 28c | 1,143$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.27 | 2,679 | 35.7%957 W · 1,722 L | -153.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Disguised | 58c | 1,092$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.85 | 1,435 | 57.4%824 W · 611 L | +36.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe74b…ee88backed Shopify Rebellion | 54c | 1,088$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.81 | 862 | 51.3%442 W · 420 L | +51.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Disguised | 43c | 1,087$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.03 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Shopify Rebellion | 42c | 1,035$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.3 | 478 | 38.7%185 W · 293 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf06…c9ffbacked Shopify Rebellion | 79c | 1,000$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.09 | 633 | 52%329 W · 304 L | +39.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49a6…a658backed Shopify Rebellion | 46c | 966.76$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.85 | 500 | 51.6%258 W · 242 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…930fbacked Disguised | 59c | 900$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531 | 1,216 | 44.4%540 W · 676 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Shopify Rebellion | 44c | 888$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.28 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x984c…e508backed Shopify Rebellion | 46c | 878.77$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.54 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Shopify Rebellion | 71c | 833.19$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.76 | 1,155 | 68.1%786 W · 369 L | +35.1wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a1…d6ecbacked Disguised | 58c | 788.33$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.7 | 466 | 50.9%237 W · 229 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23d8…f6b9backed Shopify Rebellion | 80c | 749.99$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.5 | 274 | 65.7%180 W · 94 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf29…da00backed Shopify Rebellion | 66c | 749.98$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.64 | 219 | 48.4%106 W · 113 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8430…3961backed Disguised | 48c | 742.28$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.31 | 377 | 54.1%204 W · 173 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Shopify Rebellion | 73c | 731.49$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.5 | 528 | 48.9%258 W · 270 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd2…648cbacked Shopify Rebellion | 42c | 720.43$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.83 | 950 | 48.5%461 W · 489 L | +26.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Disguised | 40c | 716.61$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.6 | 1,258 | 38.6%485 W · 773 L | -61.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Shopify Rebellion | 45c | 714.21$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.01 | 1,521 | 50.6%769 W · 752 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Shopify Rebellion | 71c | 704.39$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.72 | 1,922 | 42.2%811 W · 1,111 L | -45.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67be…6e09backed Disguised | 2c | 700$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 941 | 44.6%420 W · 521 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4967…4292backed Shopify Rebellion | 46c | 700$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379 | 302 | 31.1%94 W · 208 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Shopify Rebellion | 62c | 688.78$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.49 | 1,899 | 37.1%705 W · 1,194 L | -113.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed Shopify Rebellion | 41c | 667.99$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.11 | 248 | 35.1%87 W · 161 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked Shopify Rebellion | 71c | 667.77$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.73 | 1,663 | 59.5%990 W · 673 L | +98.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Disguised | 58c | 619.66$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.4 | 695 | 39.1%272 W · 423 L | -36.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…b805backed Disguised | 49c | 600.51$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.25 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | -11.3wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Disguised | 63c | 600.47$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.29 | 1,061 | 54.7%580 W · 481 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e69…7f76backed Disguised | 55c | 600$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 284 | 48.6%138 W · 146 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Disguised | 23c | 600$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.73 | 600 | 53.2%319 W · 281 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Disguised | 45c | 599.9$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.96 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2be…ff33backed Disguised | 41c | 586.78$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.73 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3911…30f3backed Shopify Rebellion | 43c | 574.77$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.73 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c2…be71backed Shopify Rebellion | 41c | 535.24$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 33cpaid | +144.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa76c…9db8backed Disguised | 42c | 529.26$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Disguised | 44c | 523.94$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.91 | 2,905 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L | -118.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b8…9d1fbacked Shopify Rebellion | 45c | 506.07$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.34 | 459 | 37%170 W · 289 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…60afbacked Shopify Rebellion | 46c | 477.09$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.09 | 397 | 47.9%190 W · 207 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Disguised | 26c | 468.98$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.35 | 1,924 | 35.9%691 W · 1,233 L | -97.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf529…755fbacked Disguised | 45c | 466$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.7 | 241 | 37.8%91 W · 150 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34d5…e0c1backed Disguised | 26c | 450$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.96 | 428 | 52.3%224 W · 204 L | +19.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Disguised | 47c | 446.6$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.49 | 1,310 | 37.3%489 W · 821 L | -86.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb57d…07bfbacked Shopify Rebellion | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 272 | 44.1%120 W · 152 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…3668backed Shopify Rebellion | 62c | 434.37$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.09 | 112 | 46.4%52 W · 60 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea86…090dbacked Shopify Rebellion | 49c | 423.51$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.87 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Disguised | 26c | 409$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.34 | 828 | 36.4%301 W · 527 L | -41.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Shopify Rebellion | 44c | 403.33$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.86 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb953…5393backed Shopify Rebellion | 60c | 400$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 571 | 51.5%294 W · 277 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2266…138abacked Disguised | 55c | 399.99$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7329…bebdbacked Shopify Rebellion | 59c | 384.54$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.06 | 434 | 53.5%232 W · 202 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Disguised | 52c | 382.65$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,114 | 35%390 W · 724 L | +14.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb16…72bfbacked Shopify Rebellion | 61c | 379.14$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.04 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Shopify Rebellion | 58c | 354.3$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.11 | 151 | 49%74 W · 77 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd1…17ccbacked Disguised | 7c | 349.2$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.46 | 601 | 24.1%145 W · 456 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Shopify Rebellion | 50c | 336.73$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.68 | 753 | 42.5%320 W · 433 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e0…ffbebacked Shopify Rebellion | 67c | 336.4$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.24 | 87 | 67.8%59 W · 28 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad09…612cbacked Shopify Rebellion | 46c | 335.48$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.16 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +5.4wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe136…6d09backed Shopify Rebellion | 45c | 331.75$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.75 | 197 | 38.6%76 W · 121 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…5627backed Shopify Rebellion | 61c | 326.59$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.59 | 127 | 47.2%60 W · 67 L | -11.5wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x56ae…9badbacked Shopify Rebellion | 49c | 320.01$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.09 | 331 | 25.7%85 W · 246 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Shopify Rebellion | 52c | 318$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.64 | 603 | 47.9%289 W · 314 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3b…b968backed Shopify Rebellion | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 410 | 60.5%248 W · 162 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…e21dbacked Shopify Rebellion | 50c | 308.41$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.41 | 997 | 47.1%470 W · 527 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea7e…2c67backed Disguised | 11c | 302.91$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.25 | 450 | 51.6%232 W · 218 L | +24.7wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03f9…c50bbacked Shopify Rebellion | 41c | 300$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +25%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7771…009fbacked Shopify Rebellion | 42c | 300$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 1,007 | 48.2%485 W · 522 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f24…b463backed Shopify Rebellion | 46c | 287.63$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.95 | 251 | 49.8%125 W · 126 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83dd…6095backed Shopify Rebellion | 49c | 284.01$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.51 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked Disguised | 55c | 275.19$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.27 | 252 | 56.3%142 W · 110 L | +14.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Disguised | 50c | 253.68$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.3 | 742 | 50.5%375 W · 367 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x493a…0bd2backed Shopify Rebellion | 42c | 253.57$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.07 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Shopify Rebellion | 42c | 250$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 282 | 40.4%114 W · 168 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x847e…3c43backed Shopify Rebellion | 55c | 232.73$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.73 | 246 | 56.1%138 W · 108 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5799…db25backed Disguised | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 419 | 45.1%189 W · 230 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbd…4476backed Shopify Rebellion | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 258 | 53.5%138 W · 120 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…0924backed Shopify Rebellion | 45c | 220$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121 | 340 | 50%170 W · 170 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Disguised | 52c | 212$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.24 | 299 | 52.2%156 W · 143 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Disguised - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: DSG (-1.5) vs Shopify Rebellion (+1.5)Shopify Rebellion won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Disguised (BO3) - LCS Regular SeasonShopify Rebellion won
- LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Disguised - Game 1 WinnerShopify Rebellion won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.