Lol · resolved market
LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Disguised (BO3) - LCS Regular Season
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0dad7a817c16a1683798b559e73cd2852b5155b190cca07c97e6834f77070abb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Shopify Rebellionof Shopify Rebellion, Disguised
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $137,660
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $139,961
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $137,660 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 238 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4337…8882backed Shopify Rebellion | 42c | 13,357$5,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,769.34 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed Disguised | 29c | 9,225$2,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,633.16 | 434 | 42.4%184 W · 250 L | +18.6wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Disguised | 59c | 8,500$5,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,053.74 | 918 | 54%496 W · 422 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Disguised | 57c | 7,796$4,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,444 | 592 | 48.3%286 W · 306 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Disguised | 56c | 6,024$3,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,381.23 | 1,258 | 38.6%485 W · 773 L | -61.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Shopify Rebellion | 49c | 5,350$2,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,738.45 | 1,259 | 37.6%473 W · 786 L | +34.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7df…5eeebacked Shopify Rebellion | 43c | 5,000$2,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,850 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40ea…832fbacked Disguised | 58c | 5,000$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,899.98 | 203 | 39.9%81 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed Shopify Rebellion | 44c | 4,611$2,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,582.18 | 79 | 58.2%46 W · 33 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Shopify Rebellion | 43c | 4,000$1,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,294.99 | 704 | 56.4%397 W · 307 L | +39.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…3e8fbacked Disguised | 45c | 3,680$1,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,660.5 | 135 | 38.5%52 W · 83 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…8d0fbacked Disguised | 57c | 3,578$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,039.53 | 244 | 45.1%110 W · 134 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8688…9d8cbacked Disguised | 56c | 3,451$1,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,934.44 | 160 | 47.5%76 W · 84 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Disguised | 23c | 2,689$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.99 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Disguised | 5c | 2,630$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.9 | 1,058 | 23.5%249 W · 809 L | -75.8wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Shopify Rebellion | 40c | 2,085$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,244.41 | 950 | 41.6%395 W · 555 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x456a…6a90backed Disguised | 57c | 2,045$1,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,165.45 | 169 | 42%71 W · 98 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…235bbacked Disguised | 4c | 2,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.7 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 24cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2db…2f89backed Shopify Rebellion | 43c | 2,000$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,134.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Shopify Rebellion | 40c | 1,940$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,155.42 | 761 | 42%320 W · 441 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51d9…cb1abacked Disguised | 59c | 1,500$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885 | 481 | 43.2%208 W · 273 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x709e…ef0cbacked Disguised | 59c | 1,488$878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$877.65 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked Shopify Rebellion | 45c | 1,467$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$806.67 | 217 | 54.8%119 W · 98 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Disguised | 59c | 1,396$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$823.64 | 1,092 | 52.4%572 W · 520 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4e…b690backed Disguised | 59c | 1,200$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708 | 825 | 54.8%452 W · 373 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28a3…f681backed Shopify Rebellion | 42c | 1,200$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.98 | 370 | 39.5%146 W · 224 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Shopify Rebellion | 42c | 1,198$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.84 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0960…5adcbacked Shopify Rebellion | 42c | 1,190$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.48 | 126 | 42.1%53 W · 73 L | -7.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Shopify Rebellion | 42c | 1,113$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.03 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Shopify Rebellion | 46c | 1,085$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.01 | 194 | 37.6%73 W · 121 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Shopify Rebellion | 43c | 1,039$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.29 | 386 | 40.4%156 W · 230 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Disguised | 59c | 1,012$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.35 | 1,521 | 50.6%769 W · 752 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae1…1e7ebacked Shopify Rebellion | 43c | 1,003$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.77 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Shopify Rebellion | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 89 | 22.5%20 W · 69 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x65ce…b90bbacked Disguised | 30c | 999.99$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed Disguised | 56c | 999.94$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.97 | 1,151 | 56%644 W · 507 L | +25.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Disguised | 35c | 999.52$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.18 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dad…4855backed Shopify Rebellion | 44c | 950$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked Disguised | 2c | 900$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 148 | 7.4%11 W · 137 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf268…960fbacked Disguised | 56c | 895.23$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 474 | 53.4%253 W · 221 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49a6…a658backed Disguised | 61c | 819.79$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 500 | 51.6%258 W · 242 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Shopify Rebellion | 41c | 789.95$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.05 | 401 | 45.4%182 W · 219 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Shopify Rebellion | 44c | 784.41$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.75 | 1,003 | 42.5%426 W · 577 L | -24.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…ea90backed Shopify Rebellion | 42c | 769.97$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.58 | 1,110 | 49%544 W · 566 L | +42.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbb…3df5backed Shopify Rebellion | 42c | 763$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.54 | 301 | 51.5%155 W · 146 L | +11.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Shopify Rebellion | 77c | 712.49$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.59 | 290 | 38.6%112 W · 178 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed Shopify Rebellion | 47c | 704.61$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.7 | 1,477 | 48.3%713 W · 764 L | +45.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Shopify Rebellion | 77c | 666.97$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.86 | 1,063 | 47.2%502 W · 561 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Shopify Rebellion | 72c | 607.07$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.16 | 1,922 | 42.2%811 W · 1,111 L | -45.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked Disguised | 58c | 606$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.48 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa195…8c92backed Disguised | 33c | 600$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.04 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Shopify Rebellion | 42c | 562.36$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.87 | 1,593 | 43.8%697 W · 896 L | -74.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb28…02bbbacked Disguised | 56c | 557.94$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.66 | 230 | 57%131 W · 99 L | +13.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44aa…d1d5backed Shopify Rebellion | 41c | 550$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.5 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaaa…ca7dbacked Shopify Rebellion | 73c | 548.37$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.37 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Shopify Rebellion | 43c | 545.01$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.5 | 679 | 31.8%216 W · 463 L | -31.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8261…a3f1backed Disguised | 59c | 520$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.8 | 184 | 67.9%125 W · 59 L | +11.8wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked Disguised | 59c | 520$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.8 | 173 | 39.3%68 W · 105 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb5…7115backed Shopify Rebellion | 73c | 500.35$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.74 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Shopify Rebellion | 41c | 500$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18c6…a4dbbacked Disguised | 58c | 500$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 80 | 58.8%47 W · 33 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46fb…2b75backed Shopify Rebellion | 43c | 500$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc20f…ab16backed Shopify Rebellion | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Shopify Rebellion | 77c | 500$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4c…9f95backed Shopify Rebellion | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 212 | 49.5%105 W · 107 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed Disguised | 59c | 500$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 210 | 51.4%108 W · 102 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Shopify Rebellion | 74c | 491.72$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.37 | 1,899 | 37.1%705 W · 1,194 L | -113.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Shopify Rebellion | 56c | 490.06$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.91 | 1,940 | 48.1%934 W · 1,006 L | +22.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Shopify Rebellion | 66c | 476.69$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.48 | 1,155 | 68.1%786 W · 369 L | +35.1wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Disguised | 31c | 472.99$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.51 | 1,310 | 37.3%489 W · 821 L | -86.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…2877backed Shopify Rebellion | 45c | 450.76$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.92 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Shopify Rebellion | 74c | 447.21$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.45 | 151 | 49%74 W · 77 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfee…ed1fbacked Shopify Rebellion | 45c | 443.47$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.31 | 158 | 21.5%34 W · 124 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21b5…1db6backed Shopify Rebellion | 70c | 428.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.57 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2269…6233backed Shopify Rebellion | 71c | 422.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.54 | 250 | 65.6%164 W · 86 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cba…3ec4backed Shopify Rebellion | 70c | 409.44$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.03 | 1,545 | 43.7%675 W · 870 L | -18.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x681b…3d79backed Disguised | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 177 | 49.7%88 W · 89 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94f8…e851backed Shopify Rebellion | 71c | 385.76$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.87 | 63 | 63.5%40 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Disguised | 48c | 366$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.36 | 1,318 | 47.3%624 W · 694 L | -31.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…2075backed Disguised | 59c | 360$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.4 | 270 | 50.7%137 W · 133 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc52…dfcebacked Shopify Rebellion | 42c | 360$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.8 | 201 | 54.7%110 W · 91 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Shopify Rebellion | 43c | 358.23$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.19 | 1,598 | 42.4%677 W · 921 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Disguised | 58c | 357.55$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.38 | 498 | 47.2%235 W · 263 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…0558backed Disguised | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 182 | 36.8%67 W · 115 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c35…7764backed Disguised | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 34 | 73.5%25 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +18%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x329c…2485backed Shopify Rebellion | 43c | 353.05$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.24 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf479…2d49backed Disguised | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -3.7wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff48…e373backed Disguised | 11c | 350$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.26 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a2…b3cdbacked Disguised | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | 0%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked Disguised | 59c | 340$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.6 | 288 | 52.1%150 W · 138 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdec9…b8abbacked Shopify Rebellion | 44c | 335$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.6 | 331 | 53.2%176 W · 155 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f05…85c5backed Disguised | 31c | 316.13$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 398 | 61.8%246 W · 152 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Shopify Rebellion | 40c | 312.5$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.5 | 448 | 51.8%232 W · 216 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Disguised | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,114 | 35%390 W · 724 L | +14.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a9c…fc2bbacked Disguised | 45c | 310.85$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 253 | 32%81 W · 172 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Shopify Rebellion | 42c | 300.99$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.44 | 1,826 | 39.9%728 W · 1,098 L | -61.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca4…aa92backed Shopify Rebellion | 44c | 300$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd33a…1fe2backed Shopify Rebellion | 47c | 295.21$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.21 | 123 | 40.7%50 W · 73 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Shopify Rebellion | 43c | 288$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.16 | 329 | 41%135 W · 194 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Disguised | 25c | 260.05$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.12 | 2,905 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L | -118.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Disguised (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonthis page
- Game Handicap: DSG (-1.5) vs Shopify Rebellion (+1.5)Shopify Rebellion won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Disguised - Game 1 WinnerShopify Rebellion won
- LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Disguised - Game 2 WinnerShopify Rebellion won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.