TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: LOUD vs Cloud9 (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alpha

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
LOUDof LOUD, Cloud9
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$479,430
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$501,178

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $479,430 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 409 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3c3f…75cfbacked LOUD46c70,534$32,477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,056.7813651.5%70 W · 66 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xba38…e406backed LOUD54c56,966$30,676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,290.0154751.2%280 W · 267 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee8e…0a7bbacked LOUD44c49,342$21,777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,565.5678162%484 W · 297 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Cloud954c24,300$13,168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,167.8933153.5%177 W · 154 L-0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44d3…e454backed Cloud936c19,985$7,211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,211.085263.5%33 W · 19 L+7.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+25.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x30c7…ac3bbacked Cloud955c19,027$10,545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,544.7328955.7%161 W · 128 L+10.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Cloud939c16,629$6,465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,464.5668949.5%341 W · 348 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed Cloud953c12,821$6,752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,751.8224946.2%115 W · 134 L-0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7df…5eeebacked Cloud956c11,420$6,381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,380.875358.5%31 W · 22 L+5.9wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+20.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed Cloud944c11,305$5,026 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,026.4826050%130 W · 130 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed Cloud955c11,111$6,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,111.1110455.8%58 W · 46 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f63…f247backed Cloud951c9,777$4,986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,986.265151%26 W · 25 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+23.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf054…eae7backed Cloud931c7,921$2,449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,448.57475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+23.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdee3…6fe5backed Cloud957c7,187$4,097 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,096.598934.8%31 W · 58 L-11.5wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-29.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Cloud959c7,000$4,119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,118.7952155.5%289 W · 232 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x880b…c98bbacked LOUD63c6,871$4,327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,544.3126650.8%135 W · 131 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed LOUD48c6,366$3,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,334.0532462.7%203 W · 121 L+31.7wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+10%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8adc…bafcbacked Cloud953c5,083$2,694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,694.083751.4%19 W · 18 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Cloud944c5,080$2,211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,210.7546326.6%123 W · 340 L-26.0wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-38.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x70d8…a237backed Cloud956c5,000$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,8003650%18 W · 18 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Cloud943c4,463$1,935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,935.0177744%342 W · 435 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3450…6793backed LOUD56c4,389$2,464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,925.422100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+98%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe153…ba59backed LOUD47c4,197$1,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,237.02837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-30%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5c8…84a6backed LOUD45c4,106$1,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,255.623151.9%120 W · 111 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x05df…e268backed Cloud957c3,852$2,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,198.992138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-30.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed LOUD36c3,532$1,277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,254.8553159.1%314 W · 217 L+41.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed LOUD55c3,270$1,798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,471.3312951.2%66 W · 63 L+7.8wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2418…66c8backed Cloud956c3,224$1,805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,805.1918457.1%105 W · 79 L+11.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbd31…8004backed Cloud960c2,904$1,737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,737.3522047.7%105 W · 115 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked Cloud952c2,843$1,478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,478.3615342.5%65 W · 88 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc866…8c6dbacked Cloud947c2,636$1,226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,226.4916442.1%69 W · 95 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Cloud947c2,626$1,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,224.8426932.3%87 W · 182 L-25.7wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-42.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x013d…0574backed Cloud92c2,550$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45260%0 W · 26 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb829…4f5ebacked Cloud92c2,550$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454020%8 W · 32 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-46.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0580…f78bbacked Cloud92c2,550$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45120%0 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x196b…4151backed Cloud92c2,550$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45521.9%1 W · 51 L-0.1wins0.00per pick2cpaid-61.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked Cloud92c2,550$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45630%0 W · 63 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe872…819abacked Cloud952c2,550$1,326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3269340.9%38 W · 55 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x32bf…ec60backed LOUD54c2,294$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,044.0419847%93 W · 105 L-0.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Cloud955c2,258$1,232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,23215343.8%67 W · 86 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked Cloud955c2,204$1,207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,207.528747.4%136 W · 151 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed Cloud92c2,150$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36790%0 W · 79 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9597…efcabacked Cloud956c2,143$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,200540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+29.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6cba…5b14backed LOUD60c2,076$1,256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$819.97366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66fe…2d87backed Cloud953c2,069$1,094 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,094.24520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick54cpaid-45.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Cloud951c2,050$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,050.2530835.4%109 W · 199 L-23.8wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-40.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked LOUD52c2,041$1,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$975.8394361.2%577 W · 366 L+58.2wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xedd1…45a9backed Cloud91c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201127.3%3 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick15cpaid+92.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3cd3…bd26backed LOUD50c1,953$981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$971.671861.1%11 W · 7 L+3.7wins+0.21per pick41cpaid+69.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8d87…8dbbbacked Cloud945c1,934$875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$874.5716842.3%71 W · 97 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-20.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d43…ce68backed Cloud945c1,772$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8006445.3%29 W · 35 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed Cloud955c1,683$925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925.4112138.8%47 W · 74 L-8.3wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-22.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x988d…9899backed Cloud960c1,649$982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$982.469644.8%43 W · 53 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-10.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Cloud914c1,642$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.0141537.1%154 W · 261 L-26.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-31.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Cloud964c1,566$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.3210455.8%58 W · 46 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+17.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x48b8…4b69backed Cloud956c1,520$851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$851.2311255.4%62 W · 50 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x13c7…11d9backed Cloud949c1,516$748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$748.3315553.5%83 W · 72 L+9.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Cloud91c1,500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20701.4%1 W · 69 L0.0wins0.00per pick1cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Cloud955c1,500$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$824.9916952.1%88 W · 81 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3090…be73backed Cloud954c1,470$799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.22152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62c6…ab7bbacked LOUD58c1,456$846 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$609.96450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked LOUD60c1,448$864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$584.1135142.5%149 W · 202 L-14.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked LOUD39c1,410$549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$860.7568458.3%399 W · 285 L+56.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Cloud936c1,382$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.6641835.6%149 W · 269 L-19.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-32.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Cloud944c1,295$574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$573.9274642.8%319 W · 427 L-27.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xce39…04d6backed Cloud959c1,272$752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752.242733.3%9 W · 18 L-5.2wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-37.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Cloud917c1,261$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.6955637.6%209 W · 347 L-11.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed LOUD52c1,202$621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581.0245250%226 W · 226 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8aa0…1160backed Cloud951c1,200$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6123743.2%16 W · 21 L-4.9wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-25.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9c4b…8a81backed LOUD60c1,194$712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.2462156.4%350 W · 271 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3af1…d739backed Cloud955c1,164$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$640.071376.9%10 W · 3 L+3.1wins+0.24per pick53cpaid+45.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x77f6…dbd1backed LOUD49c1,122$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.453141.9%13 W · 18 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Cloud950c1,121$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$564.3142540.5%172 W · 253 L-22.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-27.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1c98…186dbacked Cloud953c1,092$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$576.326946.4%32 W · 37 L-5.0wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-12.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbdda…993cbacked Cloud956c1,077$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26d8…0175backed Cloud92c1,070$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.890%0 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed Cloud950c1,067$529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.4640944.3%181 W · 228 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd9d…f409backed Cloud952c1,015$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.61040%4 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-29.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed LOUD36c1,013$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$649.2939042.6%166 W · 224 L+19.3wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc8df…4b48backed Cloud953c1,000$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5301656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd7e4…15eebacked Cloud92c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201225%3 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.16per pick9cpaid+53.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked LOUD43c999.98$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.9986747.5%412 W · 455 L-2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc236…e3d3backed LOUD50c972.92$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.183132.3%10 W · 21 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-2.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9876…69f7backed Cloud952c961.54$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003444.1%15 W · 19 L-4.5wins-0.13per pick57cpaid-21.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x3fcc…9f91backed Cloud938c959.05$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.9860022.7%136 W · 464 L-26.3wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-36.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked LOUD50c956.51$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.884153.7%22 W · 19 L+5.2wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+29%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7756…d00abacked Cloud952c954.96$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.5814152.5%74 W · 67 L+7.1wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+21.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6239…1d79backed Cloud968c938.73$642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641.625251.9%27 W · 25 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c48…eba9backed LOUD44c909.07$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.087045.7%32 W · 38 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2761…4d95backed LOUD46c907.36$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.8311258%65 W · 47 L+12.8wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+25.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Cloud954c888$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.5255152.5%289 W · 262 L+20.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd04…a64abacked Cloud957c878.75$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004252.4%22 W · 20 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-4.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed Cloud960c862.91$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521.7556357.9%326 W · 237 L+36.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3542…c3c8backed LOUD35c842.23$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$547.4528548.4%138 W · 147 L+14.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+16%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed Cloud965c834.54$542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542.4517640.3%71 W · 105 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed LOUD56c816.18$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.9724250.4%122 W · 120 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa535…9e5ebacked Cloud954c808$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.323770.3%26 W · 11 L+4.3wins+0.12per pick59cpaid+23.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe132…abf3backed Cloud945c793.07$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.039952.5%52 W · 47 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Cloud956c784.01$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.4623146.8%108 W · 123 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-10.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c4…3e8fbacked Cloud938c778.72$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.442748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.