Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: LOUD vs Cloud9 - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x208f498e0870bc3d010be4982a4edf90033e84c684c3811da86e0690c0bb127a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LOUDof LOUD, Cloud9
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,346
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,190
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,346 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked LOUD | 54c | 2,215$1,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.76 | 655 | 59.4%389 W · 266 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb515…cd6bbacked Cloud9 | 54c | 1,823$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.05 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77f6…dbd1backed LOUD | 50c | 1,792$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$904.7 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Cloud9 | 45c | 1,616$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.15 | 153 | 42.5%65 W · 88 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Cloud9 | 14c | 710.63$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.5 | 450 | 33.8%152 W · 298 L | -35.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x681b…3d79backed Cloud9 | 33c | 600$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7767…4fb2backed LOUD | 52c | 557.85$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.87 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbec5…8f77backed Cloud9 | 25c | 530$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.1 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked LOUD | 74c | 502.55$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.66 | 684 | 58.3%399 W · 285 L | +56.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…8796backed Cloud9 | 39c | 419.23$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.1 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed LOUD | 60c | 399.96$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161 | 531 | 59.1%314 W · 217 L | +41.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba38…e406backed LOUD | 47c | 376.39$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.49 | 547 | 51.2%280 W · 267 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Cloud9 | 49c | 335.73$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.2 | 409 | 44.3%181 W · 228 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcc…9f91backed Cloud9 | 8c | 314.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.34 | 600 | 22.7%136 W · 464 L | -26.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11b4…7e7bbacked Cloud9 | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked LOUD | 68c | 260.08$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.28 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed LOUD | 68c | 201.43$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.59 | 291 | 51.5%150 W · 141 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f4…88e6backed Cloud9 | 26c | 188.46$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Cloud9 | 27c | 150.62$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.01 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c2…eef4backed Cloud9 | 20c | 147.35$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.47 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc056…e188backed LOUD | 76c | 132.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.21 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…b497backed Cloud9 | 53c | 125$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.25 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…85f9backed Cloud9 | 52c | 124.14$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 428 | 40%171 W · 257 L | -22.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Cloud9 | 33c | 121.1$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.63 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Cloud9 | 15c | 111.95$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.19 | 575 | 17.7%102 W · 473 L | -71.7wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Cloud9 | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 264 | 50%132 W · 132 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Cloud9 | 48c | 99.96$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.98 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed LOUD | 48c | 75.28$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.14 | 256 | 60.9%156 W · 100 L | +22.5wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Cloud9 | 14c | 74.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 155 | 12.3%19 W · 136 L | -27.4wins | -0.18per pick | 30cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x3e51…71d4backed LOUD | 52c | 73.73$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.73 | 96 | 54.2%52 W · 44 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…bf81backed LOUD | 72c | 69.51$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.46 | 279 | 56.6%158 W · 121 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16f8…31e9backed LOUD | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2460…e144backed Cloud9 | 53c | 55.19$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 281 | 51.6%145 W · 136 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a20…2881backed Cloud9 | 35c | 42.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked LOUD | 65c | 30.84$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.84 | 519 | 48.4%251 W · 268 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c02…44e5backed LOUD | 66c | 28.79$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.79 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1445…614abacked LOUD | 68c | 26.43$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b58…3474backed LOUD | 52c | 23.15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.15 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1a…af56backed LOUD | 52c | 23.15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.15 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0181…9b5fbacked LOUD | 67c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.51 | 278 | 50%139 W · 139 L | +21.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e1…fbc8backed LOUD | 76c | 22.37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.37 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab05…8a4abacked Cloud9 | 52c | 20.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76de…85ccbacked LOUD | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: LOUD vs Cloud9 - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: C9 (-1.5) vs LOUD (+1.5)LOUD won
- Valorant: LOUD vs Cloud9 (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group AlphaLOUD won
- Valorant: LOUD vs Cloud9 - Map 2 WinnerCloud9 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.