TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe7e1…fbc8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
122
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Us Midterms, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Us Midterms at 55 out of 100; worst Valorant at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT3964.1%25 W · 14 L+0.2wins0.00per pick64cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$9.96
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.09
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+25%+$4.27
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+37%+$6.32
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$8.42
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$10.47
LoL: Cloud9 vs FlyQuest - Game 1 Winnerbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.09
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX - Game 2 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.09
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.8
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$10.93
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$9.61
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$9.61
LoL: Disguised vs Dignitas - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dignitas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.09
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.11
LoL: KT Rolster vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.11
LoL: KT Rolster vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.11
LoL: KT Rolster vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.11
LoL: GIANTX vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winnerbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$10.05
LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.35
LoL: T1 vs DN SOOPers - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$9.09
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: Dplus KIA vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
LoL: Dplus KIA vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: Dplus KIA vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$39.29
LoL: Fnatic vs Team Vitality - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$8
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT3366.7%22 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick67cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Liquid - Map 2 Winnerbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+79.5%+$16.84
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Liquid - Map 1 Winnerbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.81
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Bbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$18.51
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs paiN - Map 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$6.65
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.82
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.09
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs GamerLegion - Map 2 Winnerbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$8.42
Counter-Strike: NRG vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Abacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$7.32
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs GamerLegion - Map 1 Winnerbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.09
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Passion UA - Map 1 Winnerbacked Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.09
Counter-Strike: B8 vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Abacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.09
Counter-Strike: paiN vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Abacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+50.8%+$8.6
Counter-Strike: B8 vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winnerbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$10.04
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$6.65
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 9z - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$7.68
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 9z - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.09
Counter-Strike: Monte vs magic - Map 1 Winnerbacked Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$9.61
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$8.42
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.09
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.09
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs G2 - Map 1 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$9.2
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Gentle Mates - Map 1 Winnerbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$7.68
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.11
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 1 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+25%+$4.28
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs K27 - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+26.7%+$4.58
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT2050%10 W · 10 L-2.8wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-22.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Valorant — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Sentinels vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omegabacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$7.32
Valorant: LOUD vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$9.2
Valorant: G2 Esports vs Cloud9 - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$7.32
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omegabacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.11
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 Winnerbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$10.05
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs 100 Thieves - Map 1 Winnerbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.11
Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omegabacked KRÜ Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$5.4
Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs Evil Geniuses - Map 2 Winnerbacked KRÜ Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$5.4
Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs Evil Geniuses - Map 1 Winnerbacked KRÜ Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.11
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.91
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Team Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffsbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Team Heretics - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Valorant: LOUD vs Cloud9 - Map 2 Winnerbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$13.36
Valorant: LOUD vs Cloud9 - Map 1 Winnerbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$5.37
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Sentinels (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omegabacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.09
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Sentinels - Map 2 Winnerbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$19.17
Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omegabacked KRÜ Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs 100 Thieves - Map 1 Winnerbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$11.81
All 20 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Aurora - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$14.64
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Aurora - Game 1 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+69%+$17.64
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+70.1%+$9.57
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$12.34
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.5
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$11.27
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$9.61
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$11.54
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+25%+$3.02
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winnerbacked PlayTime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.09
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Bbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.09
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$12.38
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.09
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.09
Dota 2: ex-HEROIC vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winnerbacked ex-HEROIC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$9.2
All 15 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+52.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Flyersbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$6.86
Ducks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$9.72
All 3 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+212.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
All 2 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$27.17
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 209.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.