Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7e44168c262b363782626911a9f3a7469b6f19d6aa9e34eb497a52105330789b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Auroraof Team Liquid, Aurora
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $400,034
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $441,102
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $400,034 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 273 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Aurora | 53c | 76,153$40,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,439.29 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Aurora | 56c | 28,739$16,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,731.2 | 287 | 48.8%140 W · 147 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Aurora | 57c | 25,760$14,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,174.26 | 119 | 53.8%64 W · 55 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4c…ac04backed Aurora | 48c | 23,209$11,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,004.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Liquid | 36c | 21,066$7,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,645.75 | 1,179 | 43.1%508 W · 671 L | +41.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Team Liquid | 51c | 19,370$9,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,815.88 | 281 | 59.8%168 W · 113 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x009b…26dabacked Team Liquid | 23c | 15,285$3,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,511.08 | 211 | 44.1%93 W · 118 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Team Liquid | 45c | 15,000$6,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,750 | 963 | 57.3%552 W · 411 L | +48.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Team Liquid | 47c | 14,611$6,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,911.2 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed Aurora | 53c | 13,132$6,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,166.76 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Team Liquid | 43c | 12,343$5,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,348.16 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed Aurora | 75c | 11,278$8,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,853.54 | 344 | 68.9%237 W · 107 L | +26.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Liquid | 49c | 11,234$5,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,462.48 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Team Liquid | 42c | 11,074$4,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,651.07 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f5…f3b5backed Team Liquid | 44c | 10,000$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,399.89 | 183 | 51.9%95 W · 88 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9c…4cb4backed Team Liquid | 17c | 9,626$1,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620.7 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Team Liquid | 49c | 9,532$4,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,655.66 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Aurora | 53c | 9,467$5,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,449.49 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Team Liquid | 49c | 8,727$4,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,253.81 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb11…8f3fbacked Team Liquid | 50c | 7,870$3,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,933.69 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Team Liquid | 29c | 6,360$1,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,836.54 | 485 | 39.2%190 W · 295 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed Aurora | 60c | 5,995$3,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,370.18 | 474 | 57.4%272 W · 202 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed Aurora | 67c | 5,688$3,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,849.41 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e62…f6ffbacked Team Liquid | 45c | 5,603$2,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,518.95 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf054…eae7backed Team Liquid | 57c | 5,600$3,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,197.5 | 125 | 57.6%72 W · 53 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…6ed0backed Aurora | 80c | 5,018$4,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,003.54 | 19 | 89.5%17 W · 2 L | +4.5wins | +0.24per pick | 66cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed Team Liquid | 43c | 4,837$2,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,074.36 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed Aurora | 49c | 4,800$2,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,471.74 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc62d…74fcbacked Team Liquid | 37c | 4,544$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed Team Liquid | 45c | 4,373$1,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,961.46 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2a…5ae1backed Team Liquid | 46c | 4,348$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x500f…94bfbacked Aurora | 57c | 4,330$2,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,861.87 | 135 | 58.5%79 W · 56 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97fd…3313backed Team Liquid | 43c | 4,300$1,849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,849 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb55…51ddbacked Team Liquid | 44c | 4,196$1,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,860.07 | 353 | 61.2%216 W · 137 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Team Liquid | 50c | 3,971$1,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,984.42 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaf…d959backed Team Liquid | 45c | 3,504$1,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,578.23 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Aurora | 47c | 3,238$1,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,716.12 | 254 | 46.1%117 W · 137 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd525…1815backed Team Liquid | 51c | 3,038$1,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,535.06 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Team Liquid | 42c | 3,000$1,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,254 | 791 | 59.4%470 W · 321 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebe…5e6fbacked Team Liquid | 45c | 2,844$1,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,273.09 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked Team Liquid | 46c | 2,707$1,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,251.37 | 326 | 52.1%170 W · 156 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Aurora | 54c | 2,700$1,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,242.6 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…cf14backed Aurora | 58c | 2,687$1,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,128.4 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…9945backed Team Liquid | 46c | 2,628$1,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,221.42 | 84 | 59.5%50 W · 34 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…d450backed Team Liquid | 44c | 2,600$1,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,144 | 211 | 46.9%99 W · 112 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x581f…9d8ebacked Team Liquid | 51c | 2,566$1,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,312.23 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Team Liquid | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5257…f324backed Team Liquid | 46c | 2,486$1,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,143.7 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.6wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Aurora | 58c | 2,217$1,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$938.75 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Team Liquid | 44c | 2,136$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.79 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Liquid | 47c | 2,061$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964.38 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Team Liquid | 50c | 2,057$1,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,021.5 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Team Liquid | 45c | 1,961$878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$877.82 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2deb…2b13backed Team Liquid | 53c | 1,876$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…8d0fbacked Team Liquid | 35c | 1,719$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Team Liquid | 35c | 1,701$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.48 | 138 | 54.3%75 W · 63 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Aurora | 48c | 1,618$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837.03 | 893 | 41.5%371 W · 522 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed Team Liquid | 47c | 1,508$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.2 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Aurora | 74c | 1,500$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3135…f6c3backed Team Liquid | 42c | 1,429$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 120 | 65.8%79 W · 41 L | +15.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +25%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Team Liquid | 43c | 1,407$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 464 | 51.5%239 W · 225 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked Aurora | 50c | 1,340$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.89 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a5…518abacked Team Liquid | 43c | 1,330$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.9 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -68.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…510bbacked Aurora | 57c | 1,292$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.06 | 359 | 51.3%184 W · 175 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa14c…23a1backed Aurora | 55c | 1,287$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.74 | 351 | 51.3%180 W · 171 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Aurora | 53c | 1,273$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.82 | 795 | 59.4%472 W · 323 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb69…cfd1backed Aurora | 79c | 1,266$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.82 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe6f…b760backed Aurora | 54c | 1,179$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.29 | 255 | 47.8%122 W · 133 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47bd…bc9dbacked Team Liquid | 43c | 1,170$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.1 | 410 | 55.6%228 W · 182 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked Aurora | 50c | 1,166$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583 | 379 | 45.9%174 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e4…2c05backed Aurora | 79c | 1,140$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.13 | 117 | 77.8%91 W · 26 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 72cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Liquid | 30c | 1,080$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.83 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Team Liquid | 51c | 1,079$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.46 | 610 | 57.9%353 W · 257 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked Aurora | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.18 | 365 | 47.7%174 W · 191 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Team Liquid | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 201 | 45.3%91 W · 110 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddc6…13c4backed Team Liquid | 51c | 981.59$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Team Liquid | 19c | 957.15$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.62 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Aurora | 53c | 944.72$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.72 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Team Liquid | 44c | 902.73$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.15 | 547 | 53.6%293 W · 254 L | +22.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…db99backed Team Liquid | 51c | 900$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459 | 363 | 43.3%157 W · 206 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff4…d731backed Team Liquid | 47c | 897.38$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.96 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26c6…1e14backed Aurora | 53c | 865.02$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.39 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe3…ca9dbacked Aurora | 51c | 784.31$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.31 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18f3…0c20backed Team Liquid | 57c | 750$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.5 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1b…de56backed Aurora | 56c | 729.11$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.2 | 153 | 38.6%59 W · 94 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcdd…73a5backed Team Liquid | 2c | 711.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 157 | 39.5%62 W · 95 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed Team Liquid | 44c | 700.73$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.65 | 276 | 37.3%103 W · 173 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Team Liquid | 50c | 700$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60f…1490backed Aurora | 52c | 675.51$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.51 | 55 | 78.2%43 W · 12 L | +5.7wins | +0.10per pick | 68cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Aurora | 55c | 662.38$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.2 | 410 | 50.2%206 W · 204 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x941f…bac9backed Team Liquid | 28c | 660$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.43 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Team Liquid | 47c | 644.08$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.72 | 131 | 57.3%75 W · 56 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa949…7f5bbacked Team Liquid | 50c | 602.38$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b12…5f8fbacked Team Liquid | 46c | 589.11$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.99 | 295 | 48.5%143 W · 152 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a01…c89ebacked Team Liquid | 42c | 577.42$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.52 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe748…d3d4backed Aurora | 59c | 576.89$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.12 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bcc…b4fabacked Aurora | 72c | 570.72$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.02 | 169 | 59.2%100 W · 69 L | +14.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed Team Liquid | 41c | 549.99$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.3 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Team Liquid | 48c | 545.1$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.39 | 1,270 | 45.1%573 W · 697 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9941…158fbacked Team Liquid | 23c | 529.91$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.37 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Aurora - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Last Chance QualifierAurora won
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Aurora - Game 1 WinnerAurora won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.