Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x579db8c22c136a5a430c8d5080f100069659ad51a3101cdfbe903c4c5913c7dd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Auroraof Team Liquid, Aurora
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $582,630
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $672,651
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $582,630 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 245 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Team Liquid | 50c | 195,771$97,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97,728.13 | 287 | 48.8%140 W · 147 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Aurora | 51c | 103,806$52,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,122.22 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Aurora | 51c | 40,000$20,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,800 | 281 | 59.8%168 W · 113 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Aurora | 56c | 25,172$13,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,195.55 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Aurora | 50c | 25,000$12,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,500 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x009b…26dabacked Team Liquid | 29c | 17,370$5,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,021.33 | 211 | 44.1%93 W · 118 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Aurora | 61c | 17,000$10,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,661.13 | 119 | 53.8%64 W · 55 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Liquid | 39c | 16,153$6,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,293.89 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x500f…94bfbacked Team Liquid | 45c | 15,875$7,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,169.92 | 135 | 58.5%79 W · 56 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f5…f3b5backed Aurora | 59c | 15,256$8,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,279.65 | 183 | 51.9%95 W · 88 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9c…4cb4backed Team Liquid | 63c | 15,103$9,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,485.18 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…1c20backed Aurora | 50c | 14,898$7,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,491.06 | 290 | 42.1%122 W · 168 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd1…285dbacked Aurora | 42c | 14,697$6,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,512.14 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed Team Liquid | 54c | 13,280$7,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,167.65 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Aurora | 50c | 10,318$5,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,208.9 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Team Liquid | 33c | 10,161$3,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,399.07 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked Team Liquid | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 360 | 41.4%149 W · 211 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Aurora | 51c | 9,999$5,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,908.28 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed Team Liquid | 43c | 9,128$3,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,902.1 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4c…ac04backed Team Liquid | 45c | 8,583$3,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,862.27 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Aurora | 51c | 7,480$3,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,663.09 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb55…51ddbacked Aurora | 68c | 6,788$4,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,168.72 | 359 | 60.4%217 W · 142 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Aurora | 56c | 6,009$3,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,625.42 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed Aurora | 63c | 5,890$3,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,166.27 | 344 | 68.9%237 W · 107 L | +26.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Team Liquid | 47c | 5,537$2,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,623.18 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Liquid | 43c | 5,476$2,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,352.44 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a01…c89ebacked Team Liquid | 3c | 5,323$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Aurora | 56c | 5,262$2,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,296.28 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked Aurora | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed Team Liquid | 42c | 4,970$2,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,091.66 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Aurora | 59c | 4,524$2,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,868.48 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5054…0aafbacked Team Liquid | 49c | 4,486$2,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,184.24 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked Aurora | 50c | 4,100$2,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,050 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Aurora | 50c | 2,998$1,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,499.14 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked Aurora | 50c | 2,979$1,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,489.98 | 223 | 40.4%90 W · 133 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed Team Liquid | 40c | 2,881$1,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,166.54 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60dd…40e5backed Aurora | 61c | 2,798$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,097.66 | 334 | 53%177 W · 157 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a6…03abbacked Team Liquid | 43c | 2,726$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,169.89 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2a…5ae1backed Aurora | 37c | 2,716$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,718.69 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed Aurora | 57c | 2,488$1,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,074.95 | 453 | 52.1%236 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked Aurora | 55c | 2,459$1,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,101.85 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…b845backed Team Liquid | 21c | 2,400$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.03 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f30…3aeebacked Aurora | 38c | 2,298$872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,425.84 | 141 | 57.4%81 W · 60 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Aurora | 51c | 2,286$1,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,122.68 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc214…105dbacked Team Liquid | 42c | 2,143$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.91 | 488 | 43.6%213 W · 275 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Team Liquid | 23c | 2,045$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5257…f324backed Team Liquid | 50c | 2,013$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.41 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.6wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed Team Liquid | 37c | 2,000$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 574 | 49%281 W · 293 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked Team Liquid | 60c | 1,902$1,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,145.25 | 365 | 47.7%174 W · 191 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked Team Liquid | 38c | 1,840$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.97 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8430…3961backed Aurora | 69c | 1,798$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.47 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74b7…8b0bbacked Aurora | 43c | 1,718$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.05 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Team Liquid | 58c | 1,666$961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961.44 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97fd…3313backed Team Liquid | 43c | 1,652$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.49 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd525…1815backed Aurora | 70c | 1,625$1,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.5 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Aurora | 50c | 1,588$794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794 | 357 | 37%132 W · 225 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Aurora | 50c | 1,520$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760 | 268 | 43.7%117 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…8d0fbacked Aurora | 79c | 1,515$1,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.16 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…b62abacked Team Liquid | 48c | 1,501$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.34 | 393 | 43.3%170 W · 223 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x483a…01d6backed Team Liquid | 54c | 1,461$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.11 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2662…3f84backed Aurora | 71c | 1,417$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.66 | 145 | 62.1%90 W · 55 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Team Liquid | 49c | 1,400$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb69…cfd1backed Team Liquid | 60c | 1,333$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked Team Liquid | 62c | 1,319$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.95 | 96 | 30.2%29 W · 67 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed Aurora | 56c | 1,250$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.5 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Liquid | 41c | 1,208$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.64 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Team Liquid | 42c | 1,191$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.78 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebe…5e6fbacked Aurora | 50c | 1,176$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.79 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…d450backed Team Liquid | 51c | 1,131$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.57 | 211 | 46.9%99 W · 112 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…ae44backed Team Liquid | 44c | 1,124$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.64 | 315 | 47.6%150 W · 165 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Aurora | 75c | 1,098$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.85 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa14c…23a1backed Team Liquid | 49c | 1,036$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.4 | 351 | 51.3%180 W · 171 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Team Liquid | 42c | 1,034$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.62 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c1…8174backed Team Liquid | 48c | 1,023$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.24 | 249 | 47.8%119 W · 130 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Team Liquid | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 201 | 45.3%91 W · 110 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…756abacked Aurora | 76c | 1,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 119 | 60.5%72 W · 47 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Aurora | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 324 | 41.7%135 W · 189 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Aurora | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Aurora | 70c | 999.99$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…92fbbacked Team Liquid | 54c | 999.99$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.99 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d18…0465backed Aurora | 55c | 999.95$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.98 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddc6…13c4backed Team Liquid | 42c | 996.22$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe3…ca9dbacked Team Liquid | 31c | 983.44$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Aurora | 61c | 972.52$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.31 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…744fbacked Team Liquid | 35c | 971.1$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.88 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x930b…0223backed Team Liquid | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 234 | 59%138 W · 96 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Aurora | 51c | 902.31$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.13 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Aurora | 57c | 849.99$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.01 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47bd…bc9dbacked Team Liquid | 59c | 849.96$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.48 | 410 | 55.6%228 W · 182 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…0f8fbacked Team Liquid | 62c | 800$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0188…91babacked Aurora | 53c | 799.98$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.99 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2b…1388backed Aurora | 79c | 764.3$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.3 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…6ed0backed Aurora | 44c | 750$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 19 | 89.5%17 W · 2 L | +4.5wins | +0.24per pick | 66cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x94f4…77a2backed Team Liquid | 41c | 734.77$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.41 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Team Liquid | 31c | 682.93$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.67 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x05d1…2bb3backed Aurora | 57c | 665.99$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.38 | 172 | 48.3%83 W · 89 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6a…4119backed Aurora | 43c | 575.41$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.41 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b12…5f8fbacked Aurora | 50c | 552.32$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.16 | 295 | 48.5%143 W · 152 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f2…cce4backed Team Liquid | 5c | 550$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 68 | 32.4%22 W · 46 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Aurora | 63c | 518.33$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.14 | 547 | 53.6%293 W · 254 L | +22.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Aurora - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Last Chance QualifierAurora won
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Aurora - Game 2 WinnerAurora won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.