Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Team Heretics - Map 2 Winner

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x42f987a81b59fd3aef220504707760c145ecec808985c11232c57d6443426187

Rebuilt 4 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Eternal Fireof Eternal Fire, Team Heretics
Resolved: May 7, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $43,786
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $45,750

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,786 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Valorant
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x5d34…7c8cbacked Eternal Fire	39c	3,000$1,170 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,830	46	30.4%14 W · 32 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Team Heretics	45c	1,676$747 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$747.25	943	61.2%577 W · 366 L	+58.2wins	+0.06per pick	55cpaid	+3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Team Heretics	46c	1,662$756 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$756.14	540	55.4%299 W · 241 L	+24.2wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	-2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c93…33d5backed Team Heretics	23c	1,506$352 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$352.44	79	34.2%27 W · 52 L	-2.5wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Team Heretics	25c	1,104$274 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$273.81	556	37.6%209 W · 347 L	-11.5wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19b6…ad8ebacked Eternal Fire	44c	1,091$480 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$610.96	118	54.2%64 W · 54 L	+11.0wins	+0.09per pick	45cpaid	+19.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x880b…c98bbacked Team Heretics	39c	782.58$304 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$304.36	266	50.8%135 W · 131 L	+7.0wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Eternal Fire	54c	755$409 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$346.1	788	62.8%495 W · 293 L	+56.6wins	+0.07per pick	56cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc8ad…be4ebacked Team Heretics	65c	723$468 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$468.33	211	55.5%117 W · 94 L	+10.4wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+17.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdef2…98e0backed Team Heretics	71c	707.4$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	28	50%14 W · 14 L	-1.8wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4031…92c8backed Team Heretics	60c	700$420 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$420	146	45.2%66 W · 80 L	-4.9wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-14%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Team Heretics	7c	631.5$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.57	63	36.5%23 W · 40 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed Team Heretics	42c	603$251 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250.96	452	50%226 W · 226 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb57d…07bfbacked Team Heretics	42c	535.21$224 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$224.33	145	34.5%50 W · 95 L	-7.6wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x13c7…11d9backed Eternal Fire	29c	506.46$147 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$359.59	155	53.5%83 W · 72 L	+9.0wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Eternal Fire	39c	487.7$190 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$297.5	540	41.9%226 W · 314 L	-16.5wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Team Heretics	39c	472.44$185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$185.31	686	58.3%400 W · 286 L	+56.4wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9c4b…8a81backed Eternal Fire	78c	456.41$356 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100.16	621	56.4%350 W · 271 L	+13.0wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Eternal Fire	66c	415.79$274 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$141.71	1,619	45.1%730 W · 889 L	-25.5wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e04…28a9backed Eternal Fire	40c	412.41$165 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$247.45	78	47.4%37 W · 41 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x180c…cd04backed Eternal Fire	73c	400$292 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108	229	49.8%114 W · 115 L	+14.2wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc064…6fa8backed Team Heretics	53c	394.83$211 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$211	145	54.5%79 W · 66 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Eternal Fire	33c	363$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$243.13	84	44%37 W · 47 L	+6.4wins	+0.08per pick	36cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Eternal Fire	48c	324.93$156 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$168.88	1,386	47.3%655 W · 731 L	+11.6wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7756…d00abacked Eternal Fire	40c	309.96$124 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$185.98	141	52.5%74 W · 67 L	+7.1wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+21.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Team Heretics	30c	300$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-2.8wins	-0.35per pick	47cpaid	-71.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb963…3fa0backed Team Heretics	52c	276.61$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143.84	31	38.7%12 W · 19 L	-1.9wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Eternal Fire	74c	269.62$201 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.07	1,748	46.2%808 W · 940 L	-2.7wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf21d…922bbacked Eternal Fire	76c	262.77$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.77	60	63.3%38 W · 22 L	+3.3wins	+0.05per pick	58cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Eternal Fire	68c	261.81$177 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84.95	291	51.5%150 W · 141 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed Team Heretics	58c	261.34$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152.21	253	46.6%118 W · 135 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xce39…04d6backed Eternal Fire	46c	249.98$114 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$135.49	27	33.3%9 W · 18 L	-5.2wins	-0.19per pick	53cpaid	-37.9%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3013…279bbacked Eternal Fire	43c	244.67$105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$139.46	105	52.4%55 W · 50 L	+8.3wins	+0.08per pick	44cpaid	+20.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Eternal Fire	43c	233.46$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$133.07	1,428	51.2%731 W · 697 L	+48.8wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e8d…febfbacked Team Heretics	67c	231.99$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155.01	43	53.5%23 W · 20 L	-2.3wins	-0.05per pick	59cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x87c0…244ebacked Eternal Fire	44c	227.27$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$127.27	83	43.4%36 W · 47 L	-2.3wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba50…ad0bbacked Team Heretics	26c	219.23$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57	244	57.8%141 W · 103 L	+14.8wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2bee…e55cbacked Team Heretics	64c	211.59$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134.5	182	61%111 W · 71 L	-6.8wins	-0.04per pick	65cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc236…e3d3backed Eternal Fire	38c	209.92$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$129.45	31	32.3%10 W · 21 L	-1.6wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a6b…66b6backed Eternal Fire	52c	203$106 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.54	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x31d1…a9f7backed Eternal Fire	38c	189.16$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$116.36	28	32.1%9 W · 19 L	-2.6wins	-0.09per pick	41cpaid	-24.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xac9c…50d8backed Team Heretics	10c	175$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.5	102	17.6%18 W · 84 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Team Heretics	30c	174.15$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.6	450	33.8%152 W · 298 L	-35.6wins	-0.08per pick	42cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x9233…b93abacked Eternal Fire	36c	150$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.35	17	64.7%11 W · 6 L	+1.8wins	+0.11per pick	54cpaid	+31.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Eternal Fire	35c	135.89$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.33	409	31.8%130 W · 279 L	-12.7wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e2f…febcbacked Team Heretics	47c	128.79$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	211	44.1%93 W · 118 L	-13.9wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x94f1…b9e7backed Team Heretics	12c	127$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.24	321	52.6%169 W · 152 L	+6.8wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb238…4961backed Eternal Fire	67c	122$82 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.96	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+1.7wins	+0.34per pick	46cpaid	+64.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2f4b…69debacked Team Heretics	50c	119.76$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	519	48.4%251 W · 268 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d87…8dbbbacked Eternal Fire	33c	110.07$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.61	168	42.3%71 W · 97 L	-6.6wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Eternal Fire	38c	105.01$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.9	938	48%450 W · 488 L	-12.4wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Team Heretics	29c	105$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.45	636	52.7%335 W · 301 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x413d…d704backed Team Heretics	58c	100$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58	5	60%3 W · 2 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	59cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Team Heretics	60c	100$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	266	50%133 W · 133 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0b60…5c4ebacked Team Heretics	11c	100$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.82	103	33%34 W · 69 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Team Heretics	62c	96.42$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	420	51.9%218 W · 202 L	-21.1wins	-0.05per pick	57cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed Team Heretics	60c	91.24$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.51	279	47.7%133 W · 146 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x300a…4c94backed Eternal Fire	36c	81$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.6	9	88.9%8 W · 1 L	+3.8wins	+0.43per pick	46cpaid	+99.2%equal weight	63+0.11 edge/pick
0xe7e1…fbc8backed Team Heretics	65c	76.92$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	20	50%10 W · 10 L	-2.8wins	-0.14per pick	64cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1bf1…ffbdbacked Team Heretics	63c	74$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.62	19	52.6%10 W · 9 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcae6…6a5ebacked Team Heretics	28c	71.88$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	12	50%6 W · 6 L	-1.7wins	-0.14per pick	64cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Eternal Fire	38c	67.58$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.58	575	17.7%102 W · 473 L	-71.7wins	-0.12per pick	30cpaid	-42.2%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Eternal Fire	30c	59$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.3	1,614	37.5%605 W · 1,009 L	-75.9wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-27%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x61ad…a0c8backed Eternal Fire	75c	54.67$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.67	60	61.7%37 W · 23 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	63cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f08…e919backed Team Heretics	35c	52.86$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.5	106	30.2%32 W · 74 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe7a…a930backed Eternal Fire	41c	50$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.5	20	50%10 W · 10 L	+1.2wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Eternal Fire	27c	49$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.77	1,370	39%534 W · 836 L	-59.1wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e53…5c9dbacked Eternal Fire	64c	48.05$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.3	66	71.2%47 W · 19 L	+3.1wins	+0.05per pick	67cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b60…76d5backed Eternal Fire	55c	43.67$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.51	54	42.6%23 W · 31 L	-3.0wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-26.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Eternal Fire	54c	41.23$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.13	902	44.3%400 W · 502 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed Eternal Fire	40c	40.82$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.49	153	37.9%58 W · 95 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	+2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd1c…9bb3backed Eternal Fire	31c	39.44$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.21	30	30%9 W · 21 L	-4.8wins	-0.16per pick	46cpaid	-44.5%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0096…2a83backed Team Heretics	61c	37.7$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	52	38.5%20 W · 32 L	-3.0wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc1be…6471backed Eternal Fire	40c	37.5$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.5	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+0.7wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc8b…d3d6backed Team Heretics	28c	36.59$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.08	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-2.4wins	-0.22per pick	49cpaid	-55.5%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Eternal Fire	45c	32.99$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.03	1,318	43.9%578 W · 740 L	-44.7wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed Eternal Fire	60c	32.95$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.19	174	48.3%84 W · 90 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Eternal Fire	63c	30$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.1	322	61.5%198 W · 124 L	+24.5wins	+0.08per pick	54cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x978f…e14dbacked Eternal Fire	41c	30$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.7	55	54.5%30 W · 25 L	+4.9wins	+0.09per pick	46cpaid	+25.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf3ac…c9f4backed Eternal Fire	78c	21.79$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.79	72	54.2%39 W · 33 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb702…d5cbbacked Team Heretics	59c	20.34$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.59per pick	59cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc18c…63dabacked Team Heretics	60c	20$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	52	59.6%31 W · 21 L	+1.3wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1445…614abacked Team Heretics	51c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.24	125	52.8%66 W · 59 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Team Heretics - Map 2 Winnerthis page
Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT EMEA PlayoffsEternal Fire won
Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Team Heretics - Map 1 WinnerTeam Heretics won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Team Heretics - Map 2 Winner

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event