Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Team Heretics - Map 1 Winner

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbed7a3516515436bcb3c5f8527123f9fefdfafd9301ee9da6111b888478bf616

Rebuilt 14 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Team Hereticsof Eternal Fire, Team Heretics
Resolved: May 7, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $41,136
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $41,918

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,136 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Valorant
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x3833…33d1backed Team Heretics	66c	20,000$13,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,800	104	55.8%58 W · 46 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba38…e406backed Eternal Fire	34c	15,264$5,190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,189.59	547	51.2%280 W · 267 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee8e…0a7bbacked Team Heretics	56c	3,373$1,887 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,485.88	781	62%484 W · 297 L	+16.8wins	+0.02per pick	60cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Eternal Fire	27c	2,648$726 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$726.06	684	58.3%399 W · 285 L	+56.5wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Eternal Fire	27c	1,676$458 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$458.24	533	55.3%295 W · 238 L	+24.0wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	-2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked Eternal Fire	34c	1,177$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400.18	191	57.1%109 W · 82 L	+23.4wins	+0.12per pick	45cpaid	+26.3%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Eternal Fire	34c	1,002$340 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$339.69	931	48.1%448 W · 483 L	-11.0wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4031…92c8backed Eternal Fire	34c	882.35$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	146	45.2%66 W · 80 L	-4.9wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-14%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Eternal Fire	39c	750$290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$290	534	42.1%225 W · 309 L	-15.0wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb57d…07bfbacked Eternal Fire	30c	694.78$209 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$209.11	145	34.5%50 W · 95 L	-7.6wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed Eternal Fire	9c	632.53$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.34	563	57.9%326 W · 237 L	+36.3wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb963…3fa0backed Eternal Fire	39c	599.99$234 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$234	31	38.7%12 W · 19 L	-1.9wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b9b…3de2backed Eternal Fire	39c	493.02$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192.28	21	38.1%8 W · 13 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xacab…4e20backed Eternal Fire	40c	437.5$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.7wins	+0.14per pick	46cpaid	+27.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2bee…e55cbacked Team Heretics	67c	399.72$267 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$132.65	182	61%111 W · 71 L	-6.8wins	-0.04per pick	65cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x02c7…0927backed Team Heretics	74c	393.74$290 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$103.74	64	50%32 W · 32 L	-3.3wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1bcc…0d8abacked Eternal Fire	5c	390$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	152	17.8%27 W · 125 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-42.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed Eternal Fire	20c	329.55$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.55	409	44.3%181 W · 228 L	-6.0wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5c8…84a6backed Eternal Fire	37c	324.32$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	231	51.9%120 W · 111 L	+6.7wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Eternal Fire	17c	299.25$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.87	63	36.5%23 W · 40 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x880b…c98bbacked Eternal Fire	22c	289.43$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.34	266	50.8%135 W · 131 L	+7.0wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc064…6fa8backed Team Heretics	72c	272.81$197 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.09	144	54.2%78 W · 66 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Eternal Fire	33c	214.36$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.67	291	51.5%150 W · 141 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x83ce…835cbacked Eternal Fire	13c	190.79$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.73	121	47.1%57 W · 64 L	-3.8wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb829…4f5ebacked Eternal Fire	24c	180$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	40	20%8 W · 32 L	-2.1wins	-0.05per pick	25cpaid	-46.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Eternal Fire	27c	178.81$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.65	84	44%37 W · 47 L	+6.4wins	+0.08per pick	36cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Eternal Fire	10c	169.13$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.33	1,376	47.1%648 W · 728 L	+10.6wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe7a…a930backed Eternal Fire	36c	166.66$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	20	50%10 W · 10 L	+1.2wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf29…834cbacked Team Heretics	61c	163.93$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.93	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-18%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87c0…244ebacked Eternal Fire	37c	162.16$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	83	43.4%36 W · 47 L	-2.3wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed Team Heretics	63c	156.87$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.14	452	50%226 W · 226 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Team Heretics	80c	147.42$118 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.54	1,608	45.2%727 W · 881 L	-24.0wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5341…92d6backed Eternal Fire	19c	131.82$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.71	19	63.2%12 W · 7 L	+2.2wins	+0.12per pick	51cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Eternal Fire	39c	125$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.75	271	45%122 W · 149 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Team Heretics	80c	117.77$94 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.74	1,746	46.2%806 W · 940 L	-3.2wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc236…e3d3backed Eternal Fire	29c	103.45$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	31	32.3%10 W · 21 L	-1.6wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0096…2a83backed Eternal Fire	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	52	38.5%20 W · 32 L	-3.0wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e2f…febcbacked Eternal Fire	36c	83.33$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	211	44.1%93 W · 118 L	-13.9wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf21d…2e9abacked Eternal Fire	29c	80$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.4	267	58.8%157 W · 110 L	+18.8wins	+0.07per pick	52cpaid	+16.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Eternal Fire	25c	61.53$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.31	450	33.8%152 W · 298 L	-35.6wins	-0.08per pick	42cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xc866…8c6dbacked Eternal Fire	25c	60$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	164	42.1%69 W · 95 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-23%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Eternal Fire	35c	58.91$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.61	575	17.7%102 W · 473 L	-71.7wins	-0.12per pick	30cpaid	-42.2%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0x2f4b…69debacked Eternal Fire	37c	54.05$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	519	48.4%251 W · 268 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6f2…1183backed Team Heretics	63c	49.99$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.5	90	50%45 W · 45 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38c5…0f5cbacked Eternal Fire	34c	49.99$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Team Heretics	70c	48.25$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.27	322	61.5%198 W · 124 L	+24.5wins	+0.08per pick	54cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2aa5…ff32backed Eternal Fire	34c	40.68$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.83	208	40.9%85 W · 123 L	-12.7wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b60…76d5backed Eternal Fire	37c	40.57$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.01	54	42.6%23 W · 31 L	-3.0wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-26.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ee6…07cabacked Eternal Fire	37c	40.54$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	151	60.3%91 W · 60 L	+4.5wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	+10%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x349e…867bbacked Team Heretics	55c	40.45$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.01	158	42.4%67 W · 91 L	-10.4wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa79a…d72abacked Eternal Fire	38c	39.29$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.83	306	52.3%160 W · 146 L	-9.1wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3162…d515backed Eternal Fire	33c	39.17$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.89	189	48.7%92 W · 97 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7242…ac6fbacked Team Heretics	64c	39.06$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.06	70	47.1%33 W · 37 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Eternal Fire	50c	35$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.5	636	52.7%335 W · 301 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x4651…be66backed Team Heretics	66c	33.56$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.56	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ee8…7406backed Eternal Fire	37c	31.53$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.52	225	42.7%96 W · 129 L	-9.8wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e53…5c9dbacked Team Heretics	52c	31.35$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.05	66	71.2%47 W · 19 L	+3.1wins	+0.05per pick	67cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa820…2dcebacked Team Heretics	66c	30.3$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.3	55	69.1%38 W · 17 L	+12.2wins	+0.22per pick	47cpaid	+69.3%equal weight	67+0.15 edge/pick
0x1445…614abacked Team Heretics	68c	23.12$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.29	125	52.8%66 W · 59 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Team Heretics	59c	22.44$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.25	264	50%132 W · 132 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x648d…2d10backed Team Heretics	65c	21.75$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.56	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed Team Heretics	63c	20.03$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.41	249	46.2%115 W · 134 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Team Heretics	76c	15.38$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.69	666	50.8%338 W · 328 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Team Heretics - Map 1 Winnerthis page
Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT EMEA PlayoffsEternal Fire won
Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Team Heretics - Map 2 WinnerEternal Fire won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Team Heretics - Map 1 Winner

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event