Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: ex-HEROIC vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6545a8595ec2e6987f3a92ae6c6f0110a061bc19f7e4834e058034f6d4b0ff5a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ex-HEROICof ex-HEROIC, GamerLegion
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $85,304
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $93,333
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,304 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked GamerLegion | 39c | 12,323$4,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,820.18 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked ex-HEROIC | 55c | 5,127$2,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,318.48 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked ex-HEROIC | 53c | 4,316$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,016.07 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked GamerLegion | 48c | 4,204$2,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,018.43 | 326 | 52.1%170 W · 156 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…92fbbacked ex-HEROIC | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked ex-HEROIC | 65c | 1,984$1,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.49 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x009b…26dabacked GamerLegion | 32c | 1,713$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.41 | 211 | 44.1%93 W · 118 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe077…f5eebacked GamerLegion | 48c | 1,445$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.35 | 134 | 42.5%57 W · 77 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed ex-HEROIC | 64c | 1,399$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.28 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed ex-HEROIC | 50c | 1,100$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed ex-HEROIC | 63c | 980.36$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.99 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked GamerLegion | 36c | 976.64$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0738…6392backed ex-HEROIC | 65c | 976$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.84 | 212 | 64.2%136 W · 76 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked ex-HEROIC | 69c | 970.3$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.93 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed GamerLegion | 34c | 950$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked GamerLegion | 26c | 941.35$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.31 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed ex-HEROIC | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.09 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed ex-HEROIC | 70c | 845.83$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.61 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed ex-HEROIC | 66c | 800$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed GamerLegion | 39c | 770.72$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 330 | 41.8%138 W · 192 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked ex-HEROIC | 70c | 750$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed GamerLegion | 33c | 680.98$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.66 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed GamerLegion | 48c | 670.5$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.84 | 446 | 45.7%204 W · 242 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed ex-HEROIC | 61c | 600$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked GamerLegion | 51c | 509.17$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.68 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked GamerLegion | 31c | 504.27$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.85 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6db2…1338backed GamerLegion | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde3c…9656backed ex-HEROIC | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked ex-HEROIC | 62c | 454.64$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.76 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked ex-HEROIC | 52c | 454.49$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.16 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed ex-HEROIC | 62c | 428.63$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.38 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…a7abbacked ex-HEROIC | 49c | 407.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.07 | 165 | 41.2%68 W · 97 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed GamerLegion | 31c | 399.99$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 615 | 48.8%300 W · 315 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…8d75backed ex-HEROIC | 49c | 393.09$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.48 | 242 | 51.7%125 W · 117 L | +21.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed ex-HEROIC | 62c | 379.66$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.72 | 500 | 53%265 W · 235 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed ex-HEROIC | 59c | 320$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.2 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked ex-HEROIC | 63c | 306.65$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.76 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked GamerLegion | 50c | 304.34$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.44 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed ex-HEROIC | 64c | 300$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9345…3869backed GamerLegion | 48c | 281.25$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed GamerLegion | 13c | 277$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.74 | 83 | 28.9%24 W · 59 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed GamerLegion | 50c | 240$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2831…8fabbacked GamerLegion | 32c | 228.13$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x443c…d83abacked GamerLegion | 48c | 225.64$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.11 | 258 | 51.2%132 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked ex-HEROIC | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed GamerLegion | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25c5…0031backed GamerLegion | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 89 | 18%16 W · 73 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb8…6b51backed GamerLegion | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 420 | 53.6%225 W · 195 L | +16.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked ex-HEROIC | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…6dc8backed ex-HEROIC | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 480 | 54%259 W · 221 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed ex-HEROIC | 69c | 185$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.76 | 565 | 48%271 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf34b…bcb3backed ex-HEROIC | 53c | 185$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.95 | 583 | 56.8%331 W · 252 L | +28.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed GamerLegion | 46c | 180$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.8 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…f7dbbacked ex-HEROIC | 49c | 150$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked ex-HEROIC | 68c | 147.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.53 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48ba…d81dbacked GamerLegion | 27c | 144.97$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.54 | 563 | 43.9%247 W · 316 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked ex-HEROIC | 63c | 124.75$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.72 | 372 | 23.1%86 W · 286 L | -38.2wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd206…bd2abacked ex-HEROIC | 50c | 113.6$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.8 | 159 | 57.2%91 W · 68 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48f7…3aebbacked GamerLegion | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 668 | 48.5%324 W · 344 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed GamerLegion | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 360 | 44.2%159 W · 201 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38c5…0f5cbacked GamerLegion | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 582 | 50.5%294 W · 288 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked GamerLegion | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 683 | 45.8%313 W · 370 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…d8c0backed ex-HEROIC | 54c | 98.15$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.15 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed GamerLegion | 41c | 94.12$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.57 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked ex-HEROIC | 67c | 86.08$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.26 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked GamerLegion | 37c | 86$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.77 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…b387backed ex-HEROIC | 49c | 84$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.84 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.8wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1863…6174backed ex-HEROIC | 63c | 80$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 304 | 60.2%183 W · 121 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed GamerLegion | 29c | 73.56$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.33 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed GamerLegion | 38c | 70$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.83 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed GamerLegion | 31c | 70$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 547 | 53.6%293 W · 254 L | +22.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked GamerLegion | 40c | 65.21$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.91 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x268e…dfaebacked ex-HEROIC | 70c | 63.86$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.46 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed GamerLegion | 32c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 410 | 37.3%153 W · 257 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a37…4daebacked GamerLegion | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd4…7401backed ex-HEROIC | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 354 | 30.5%108 W · 246 L | -27.2wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…9867backed ex-HEROIC | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 925 | 61.2%566 W · 359 L | +53.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4802…c8e1backed ex-HEROIC | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 180 | 63.9%115 W · 65 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…fb60backed ex-HEROIC | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 504 | 44%222 W · 282 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…cca4backed ex-HEROIC | 63c | 35.37$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.18 | 162 | 42.6%69 W · 93 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked ex-HEROIC | 54c | 35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…1bfebacked ex-HEROIC | 67c | 33.55$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 123 | 57.7%71 W · 52 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e47…bdbfbacked ex-HEROIC | 68c | 30.65$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.81 | 149 | 63.1%94 W · 55 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e1…fbc8backed ex-HEROIC | 65c | 26.29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed ex-HEROIC | 72c | 25.92$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.34 | 173 | 38.7%67 W · 106 L | -9.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked ex-HEROIC | 67c | 22.37$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 913 | 56.1%512 W · 401 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1153…868bbacked ex-HEROIC | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 313 | 57.2%179 W · 134 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: ex-HEROIC vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: ex-HEROIC vs GamerLegion (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Aex-HEROIC won
- Dota 2: ex-HEROIC vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winnerex-HEROIC won
- Game Handicap: ex-HEROIC (-1.5) vs GamerLegion (+1.5)ex-HEROIC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.