Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: ex-HEROIC vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5a469f22172c20726e1f945b14d40b7f03c181aa225d9cbcc985e54c8668e2a2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ex-HEROICof ex-HEROIC, GamerLegion
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $79,821
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $86,738
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,821 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked ex-HEROIC | 51c | 8,500$4,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,162.16 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed ex-HEROIC | 54c | 6,332$3,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,943.83 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed GamerLegion | 48c | 6,023$2,878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,877.57 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…8d75backed ex-HEROIC | 50c | 5,176$2,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,610.16 | 242 | 51.7%125 W · 117 L | +21.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked GamerLegion | 50c | 4,894$2,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,445.43 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked GamerLegion | 33c | 3,295$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed GamerLegion | 44c | 3,044$1,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,337.67 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd206…bd2abacked ex-HEROIC | 51c | 2,663$1,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,292.97 | 159 | 57.2%91 W · 68 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3af1…d739backed GamerLegion | 52c | 2,604$1,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,353.85 | 226 | 44.7%101 W · 125 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed GamerLegion | 47c | 2,575$1,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,213.15 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked GamerLegion | 42c | 2,548$1,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,074.28 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed ex-HEROIC | 51c | 2,280$1,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.27 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked GamerLegion | 44c | 2,040$897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897.1 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed GamerLegion | 46c | 1,527$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.28 | 446 | 45.7%204 W · 242 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed ex-HEROIC | 54c | 1,500$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.27 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed GamerLegion | 40c | 1,405$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.82 | 330 | 41.8%138 W · 192 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked GamerLegion | 47c | 1,294$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.46 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed ex-HEROIC | 47c | 1,200$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636 | 259 | 35.5%92 W · 167 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed GamerLegion | 51c | 1,200$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked ex-HEROIC | 50c | 1,170$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585 | 379 | 45.9%174 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked ex-HEROIC | 52c | 1,024$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.42 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…92fbbacked GamerLegion | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed ex-HEROIC | 57c | 999.99$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.89 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed ex-HEROIC | 51c | 982.77$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.77 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked ex-HEROIC | 51c | 855.26$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.16 | 326 | 52.1%170 W · 156 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62a9…3bb6backed ex-HEROIC | 61c | 821.37$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.37 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed GamerLegion | 44c | 740$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.97 | 565 | 48%271 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked ex-HEROIC | 59c | 720.65$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.69 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed ex-HEROIC | 51c | 708.9$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.36 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed GamerLegion | 48c | 695.53$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.46 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked GamerLegion | 40c | 666.81$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.82 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked ex-HEROIC | 60c | 657.32$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.91 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked GamerLegion | 41c | 650.11$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268 | 223 | 40.4%90 W · 133 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9958…b9acbacked ex-HEROIC | 54c | 634.52$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.26 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked GamerLegion | 11c | 615.23$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.27 | 683 | 45.8%313 W · 370 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked GamerLegion | 32c | 598.45$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.19 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x009b…26dabacked ex-HEROIC | 53c | 574.13$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.13 | 211 | 44.1%93 W · 118 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked ex-HEROIC | 58c | 566.52$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.47 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed GamerLegion | 24c | 550$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.5 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed GamerLegion | 42c | 525$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.49 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed GamerLegion | 42c | 504.2$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.29 | 201 | 45.3%91 W · 110 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…5539backed GamerLegion | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 174 | 54%94 W · 80 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…a7abbacked ex-HEROIC | 49c | 431.82$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.31 | 165 | 41.2%68 W · 97 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed GamerLegion | 39c | 423.38$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.55 | 547 | 53.6%293 W · 254 L | +22.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked ex-HEROIC | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 462 | 40.7%188 W · 274 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25c5…0031backed GamerLegion | 7c | 400$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 89 | 18%16 W · 73 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9852…111abacked GamerLegion | 47c | 382.98$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 204 | 52.5%107 W · 97 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3304…8313backed ex-HEROIC | 66c | 368.59$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.32 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed GamerLegion | 46c | 302.21$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.9 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed ex-HEROIC | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.12 | 500 | 53%265 W · 235 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked ex-HEROIC | 75c | 272.57$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.34 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf629…38d5backed GamerLegion | 41c | 247.06$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.29 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf34b…bcb3backed ex-HEROIC | 50c | 227.5$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.75 | 583 | 56.8%331 W · 252 L | +28.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed GamerLegion | 34c | 221.05$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.47 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed ex-HEROIC | 45c | 221$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.54 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked ex-HEROIC | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5839…3fa8backed ex-HEROIC | 58c | 168.04$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.05 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked GamerLegion | 42c | 162.33$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.94 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…fbfabacked ex-HEROIC | 56c | 161.6$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.6 | 302 | 55.3%167 W · 135 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed GamerLegion | 43c | 160.54$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.03 | 656 | 47.3%310 W · 346 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed GamerLegion | 50c | 140$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked GamerLegion | 39c | 138.24$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.38 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked ex-HEROIC | 62c | 130.27$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.47 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked GamerLegion | 46c | 123.19$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.61 | 372 | 23.1%86 W · 286 L | -38.2wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed GamerLegion | 52c | 100.26$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.14 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48f7…3aebbacked GamerLegion | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 668 | 48.5%324 W · 344 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed ex-HEROIC | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 197 | 56.9%112 W · 85 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked GamerLegion | 55c | 98.18$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 735 | 54.7%402 W · 333 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked GamerLegion | 41c | 96$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.88 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…7f73backed ex-HEROIC | 52c | 84.99$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 261 | 54.8%143 W · 118 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7be8…0f50backed ex-HEROIC | 50c | 79.84$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.85 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9aee…8c24backed ex-HEROIC | 51c | 77.69$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.69 | 182 | 56%102 W · 80 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…9acfbacked GamerLegion | 44c | 77$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.99 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71ff…6465backed ex-HEROIC | 51c | 76.13$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.03 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…eec6backed GamerLegion | 51c | 68.63$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 554 | 57.8%320 W · 234 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed GamerLegion | 43c | 64.47$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.72 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed GamerLegion | 45c | 60$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 410 | 37.3%153 W · 257 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a37…4daebacked GamerLegion | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd439…21d3backed ex-HEROIC | 54c | 55.16$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.16 | 316 | 44.9%142 W · 174 L | -18.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4802…c8e1backed ex-HEROIC | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 180 | 63.9%115 W · 65 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x422d…7e39backed GamerLegion | 50c | 54.41$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 124 | 52.4%65 W · 59 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…9867backed GamerLegion | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 925 | 61.2%566 W · 359 L | +53.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3162…d515backed ex-HEROIC | 49c | 48.11$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.34 | 359 | 48.2%173 W · 186 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x787d…aecdbacked ex-HEROIC | 65c | 47.18$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.42 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa836…753fbacked ex-HEROIC | 66c | 45.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.47 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed GamerLegion | 40c | 39.14$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.65 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0e24…b6d5backed ex-HEROIC | 51c | 38.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ffd…08fabacked GamerLegion | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 140 | 52.9%74 W · 66 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6933…7ea3backed ex-HEROIC | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafb4…ebf7backed GamerLegion | 47c | 34.26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa6…dbd6backed ex-HEROIC | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 229 | 61.1%140 W · 89 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…cca4backed GamerLegion | 47c | 30.72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 162 | 42.6%69 W · 93 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed GamerLegion | 44c | 28.58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked ex-HEROIC | 53c | 28.35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.37 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed GamerLegion | 45c | 25.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 173 | 38.7%67 W · 106 L | -9.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa516…235cbacked ex-HEROIC | 56c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 306 | 43.5%133 W · 173 L | -22.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked ex-HEROIC | 58c | 22.41$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc646…e394backed ex-HEROIC | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 376 | 55.1%207 W · 169 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28dd…f376backed ex-HEROIC | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: ex-HEROIC vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: ex-HEROIC vs GamerLegion (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Aex-HEROIC won
- Dota 2: ex-HEROIC vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winnerex-HEROIC won
- Game Handicap: ex-HEROIC (-1.5) vs GamerLegion (+1.5)ex-HEROIC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.