TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: B8 vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
BetBoom Teamof B8, BetBoom Team
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$517,157
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$593,401

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $517,157 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 464 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x67bb…b6efbacked BetBoom Team54c39,924$21,407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,517.5176058%441 W · 319 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x21ec…5348backed B844c28,488$12,535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,535.0972453.7%389 W · 335 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed B832c20,469$6,597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,596.685,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed B845c20,367$9,178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,178.3222049.1%108 W · 112 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed B824c15,487$3,771 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,771.2510044%44 W · 56 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick39cpaid-21%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x30c7…ac3bbacked B866c14,279$9,424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,424.0775652.6%398 W · 358 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed B844c11,111$4,845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,844.5933343.8%146 W · 187 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked B816c10,692$1,758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,757.75,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked B857c10,487$5,954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,954.452,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked BetBoom Team55c9,855$5,391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,464.755,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3936…366dbacked B844c9,614$4,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,2302944.8%13 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-19%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed BetBoom Team33c9,598$3,126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,471.3967041.8%280 W · 390 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked BetBoom Team52c8,984$4,636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,347.1184454.3%458 W · 386 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93f6…4814backed B844c8,825$3,883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,883.166126.2%16 W · 45 L-7.9wins-0.13per pick39cpaid-31%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x98fc…6e31backed B850c7,516$3,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,7501936.8%7 W · 12 L-3.3wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-25.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd123…d341backed BetBoom Team58c7,500$4,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,1501656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed BetBoom Team63c6,376$4,041 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,334.3788746.7%414 W · 473 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6902…b4cabacked B848c6,255$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00025751.8%133 W · 124 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked B846c6,000$2,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,759.9928538.2%109 W · 176 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe2a5…391cbacked BetBoom Team56c5,766$3,229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,537.2210550.5%53 W · 52 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f9…bb8fbacked BetBoom Team56c5,685$3,184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,501.5710138.6%39 W · 62 L-6.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x24c7…77c4backed BetBoom Team57c5,224$2,978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,246.318846.3%87 W · 101 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked BetBoom Team54c5,043$2,723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,319.7147147.3%223 W · 248 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcaf…e271backed B850c5,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50037946.4%176 W · 203 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97fd…3313backed BetBoom Team56c5,000$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,20011439.5%45 W · 69 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked BetBoom Team59c4,200$2,489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,711.431,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked BetBoom Team80c4,097$3,265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$832.0244957.5%258 W · 191 L-19.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-5.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfee…ed1fbacked B851c4,014$2,064 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,063.9116920.1%34 W · 135 L-16.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-46.2%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked BetBoom Team66c3,857$2,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,327.261,05449%516 W · 538 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed BetBoom Team52c3,434$1,799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,635.317045.9%78 W · 92 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed BetBoom Team54c3,351$1,809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,541.310850%54 W · 54 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed BetBoom Team51c3,324$1,709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,614.776,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f1…fee6backed B843c3,227$1,393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,392.7416051.3%82 W · 78 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2687…1363backed BetBoom Team64c3,193$2,053 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,140.5238868.3%265 W · 123 L+25.7wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+3.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3bae…885abacked BetBoom Team34c3,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,98027658%160 W · 116 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x890b…97bebacked BetBoom Team34c2,935$998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,937.09850%4 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+31%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed BetBoom Team49c2,926$1,424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,501.9142154.6%230 W · 191 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked BetBoom Team45c2,786$1,262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,524.751,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17fe…b0cabacked B836c2,765$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00015838%60 W · 98 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa557…6e77backed BetBoom Team57c2,703$1,537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,165.4625248.8%123 W · 129 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed BetBoom Team48c2,669$1,284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,385.4437646.3%174 W · 202 L-17.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked B843c2,625$1,139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,139.4566446.4%308 W · 356 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe169…4653backed B843c2,459$1,057 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,057.2811253.6%60 W · 52 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed BetBoom Team55c2,416$1,329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,087.1248240%193 W · 289 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked BetBoom Team62c2,386$1,479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$906.851,39365.9%918 W · 475 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31d4…a7abbacked BetBoom Team38c2,377$902 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,475.2716447%77 W · 87 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+18.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfaf1…795fbacked BetBoom Team56c2,300$1,288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,01229046.9%136 W · 154 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked B849c2,228$1,081 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,08164852%337 W · 311 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked B862c2,173$1,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,34053545%241 W · 294 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked B828c2,142$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60052837.1%196 W · 332 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0cef…fa91backed BetBoom Team53c2,032$1,077 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$955.255251.9%27 W · 25 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+21.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5cab…a8cfbacked BetBoom Team72c2,006$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566.2925070.8%177 W · 73 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick70cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x449c…eaf5backed BetBoom Team56c2,000$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$879.994052.5%21 W · 19 L+3.9wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+23.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b1e…65c1backed B847c2,000$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$939.998938.2%34 W · 55 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa113…284ebacked B841c1,948$793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$793.0520935.4%74 W · 135 L-21.5wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-27.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8f0b…eb6dbacked BetBoom Team56c1,750$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77016343.6%71 W · 92 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1dfa…190bbacked BetBoom Team33c1,715$573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,142.451172.7%8 W · 3 L+3.4wins+0.31per pick42cpaid+117.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1661…4b37backed BetBoom Team34c1,694$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,118.317349.3%36 W · 37 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked B817c1,691$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.4761228.9%177 W · 435 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked BetBoom Team70c1,678$1,172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.151,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked B88c1,652$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.782,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x83b3…b3a2backed B846c1,550$718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71818547%87 W · 98 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked BetBoom Team72c1,533$1,101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.233,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x483a…01d6backed B853c1,532$812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$812.1920349.3%100 W · 103 L-12.9wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-14.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed B847c1,524$716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$716.3978639.4%310 W · 476 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2614…4442backed B867c1,489$998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$997.5420949.3%103 W · 106 L-1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed BetBoom Team67c1,486$997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.891,10950.5%560 W · 549 L-3.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa88…85a5backed B841c1,451$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598.8523243.5%101 W · 131 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked BetBoom Team55c1,429$781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$648.0540140.6%163 W · 238 L-10.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+8.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked BetBoom Team64c1,414$903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.622,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed BetBoom Team53c1,394$737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$656.031,08854.2%590 W · 498 L+39.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf7e3…22cbbacked BetBoom Team41c1,380$567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$812.923438.2%13 W · 21 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-26.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2761…4d95backed BetBoom Team49c1,348$666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$682.7552951.4%272 W · 257 L+23.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x13c7…11d9backed B846c1,300$598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598.0926743.1%115 W · 152 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f25…51f3backed BetBoom Team58c1,284$744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.033966.7%26 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf6a…925fbacked BetBoom Team34c1,256$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$829.155742.1%24 W · 33 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x300b…8e51backed B812c1,250$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15041716.5%69 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-31.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60b6…eb2bbacked BetBoom Team57c1,224$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.1126438.6%102 W · 162 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04e3…69d1backed BetBoom Team34c1,200$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7924454.5%24 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…7c04backed B853c1,200$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6301855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e69…7f76backed B825c1,200$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.9932346.1%149 W · 174 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6bd…b05abacked B868c1,160$789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$788.819834.8%69 W · 129 L-11.9wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-21.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x03f8…d85abacked BetBoom Team50c1,157$582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575.266464.1%41 W · 23 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed B859c1,118$655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$654.752,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe72b…3c9cbacked BetBoom Team58c1,100$638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46228657.7%165 W · 121 L+14.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa066…d240backed B82c1,077$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204219%8 W · 34 L+3.8wins+0.09per pick10cpaid+232.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x26f8…3452backed B855c1,070$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$588.1219949.7%99 W · 100 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+14.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed BetBoom Team58c1,041$606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.952,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c48…eba9backed BetBoom Team39c1,026$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$625.651070%7 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.23per pick47cpaid+40.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf36e…f91cbacked B844c1,017$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.5229839.3%117 W · 181 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b21…4b63backed BetBoom Team41c1,005$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.9411947.9%57 W · 62 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked BetBoom Team54c1,000$542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.743,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed BetBoom Team53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47057641.1%237 W · 339 L-21.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e36…8463backed B859c1,000$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$590366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+17.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04d3…cdacbacked B844c1,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4401442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40ce…bf90backed BetBoom Team54c999.99$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46026054.2%141 W · 119 L-0.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked BetBoom Team49c985.23$478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.423653.8%127 W · 109 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0cc…ce77backed BetBoom Team54c925.93$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.9311435.1%40 W · 74 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked BetBoom Team55c899.36$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.22,60452.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L+98.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b67…e56cbacked B846c898.22$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.182445.8%11 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.