Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Team Vitality - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa9ded70fdd8e6f4e502c54d2ba0098a6f0d755e997730a7be5f08e6b88df5fd7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Vitalityof Team Liquid, Team Vitality
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,716
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,947
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,716 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x880b…c98bbacked Team Liquid | 60c | 3,724$2,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,217.48 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Team Vitality | 55c | 2,309$1,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,042.31 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Vitality | 48c | 1,560$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.02 | 931 | 48.1%448 W · 483 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac9c…50d8backed Team Liquid | 1c | 1,355$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.55 | 102 | 17.6%18 W · 84 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1032…c372backed Team Vitality | 45c | 1,251$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.49 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed Team Vitality | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.04 | 260 | 50%130 W · 130 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Team Liquid | 55c | 730.83$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.49 | 563 | 57.9%326 W · 237 L | +36.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa11…e3c0backed Team Liquid | 13c | 692.31$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8227…0bccbacked Team Vitality | 37c | 500$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Team Vitality | 56c | 456.73$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.42 | 785 | 62.8%493 W · 292 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xacab…4e20backed Team Vitality | 49c | 445.98$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.98 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc236…e3d3backed Team Liquid | 35c | 312.29$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Team Liquid | 55c | 300$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Team Liquid | 39c | 299.98$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -5.2wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Team Liquid | 41c | 285.39$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.74 | 452 | 50%226 W · 226 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Team Liquid | 52c | 249.98$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.99 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.35per pick | 47cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed Team Liquid | 53c | 244$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.32 | 147 | 50.3%74 W · 73 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b1…ca10backed Team Liquid | 68c | 217.74$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.9 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff17…0c49backed Team Vitality | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb963…3fa0backed Team Vitality | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe881…fb3dbacked Team Vitality | 50c | 148.57$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.8 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea86…6fb4backed Team Liquid | 66c | 143.39$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.04 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Team Liquid | 52c | 138.71$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.66 | 509 | 44.6%227 W · 282 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Team Vitality | 39c | 135.85$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.56 | 689 | 49.5%341 W · 348 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Team Liquid | 55c | 135.63$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.71 | 533 | 55.3%295 W · 238 L | +24.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d43…3f6cbacked Team Vitality | 37c | 135.3$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.3 | 99 | 65.7%65 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Team Vitality | 42c | 125.57$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.27 | 164 | 42.1%69 W · 95 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Team Liquid | 33c | 122.65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.23 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked Team Vitality | 45c | 109$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.67 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0e…b0babacked Team Vitality | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Team Vitality | 48c | 102.08$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.08 | 420 | 51.9%218 W · 202 L | -21.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…12ebbacked Team Vitality | 50c | 101.48$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.05 | 212 | 40.1%85 W · 127 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x389d…995fbacked Team Liquid | 34c | 98.51$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.04 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e1…fbc8backed Team Liquid | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86e6…e722backed Team Vitality | 47c | 85$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.3 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…85f9backed Team Liquid | 53c | 84.91$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 428 | 40%171 W · 257 L | -22.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ad…be4ebacked Team Liquid | 54c | 84$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.36 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Team Vitality | 48c | 80.31$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.76 | 271 | 45%122 W · 149 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Vitality | 60c | 80.12$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.04 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2f…febcbacked Team Vitality | 51c | 78.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.73 | 211 | 44.1%93 W · 118 L | -13.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61ad…a0c8backed Team Vitality | 71c | 78.54$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.68 | 60 | 61.7%37 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed Team Liquid | 29c | 75$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Team Liquid | 50c | 70.52$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.26 | 129 | 48.1%62 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Team Vitality | 54c | 70.22$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.25 | 210 | 48.1%101 W · 109 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee8…7406backed Team Liquid | 52c | 65$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.8 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48ac…b7c9backed Team Vitality | 74c | 63.28$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.75 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Team Liquid | 32c | 58.83$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.53 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0f…8175backed Team Vitality | 51c | 55$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Team Liquid | 40c | 54.17$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.55 | 575 | 17.7%102 W · 473 L | -71.7wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x317f…3a7abacked Team Liquid | 52c | 53.85$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b60…76d5backed Team Vitality | 57c | 49.56$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.45 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Team Liquid | 52c | 46.17$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.82 | 291 | 51.5%150 W · 141 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Team Vitality | 39c | 44.19$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.12 | 779 | 29.5%230 W · 549 L | -72.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf1…ffbdbacked Team Liquid | 53c | 41.51$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20bf…2be9backed Team Vitality | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…a8e7backed Team Liquid | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked Team Vitality | 43c | 34.9$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 519 | 48.4%251 W · 268 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e5…c8d1backed Team Liquid | 56c | 30.76$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.32 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…279bbacked Team Vitality | 36c | 29.16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.56 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +8.3wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Vitality | 70c | 27.72$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.42 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed Team Vitality | 48c | 21.4$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.13 | 237 | 32.9%78 W · 159 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0181…9b5fbacked Team Vitality | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 278 | 50%139 W · 139 L | +21.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Team Liquid | 54c | 18.71$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 241 | 40.2%97 W · 144 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Team Liquid vs Team Vitality - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs Team Vitality (+1.5)Team Vitality won
- Valorant: Team Liquid vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT EMEA PlayoffsTeam Vitality won
- Valorant: Team Liquid vs Team Vitality - Map 2 WinnerTeam Liquid won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.