Lol · resolved market
LoL: Disguised vs Dignitas - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd3f8b4d1c18bf141736eef231b343d75bb98b3ae3cabba516e8993734e92d6c6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Disguisedof Disguised, Dignitas
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $244,755
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $264,297
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $244,755 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 270 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Dignitas | 45c | 16,911$7,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,596.69 | 1,635 | 40.2%657 W · 978 L | +48.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Disguised | 54c | 16,500$8,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,605.89 | 922 | 54%498 W · 424 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed Disguised | 57c | 11,091$6,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,718.12 | 1,203 | 54%650 W · 553 L | +28.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…122bbacked Dignitas | 53c | 10,000$5,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,310.16 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Dignitas | 48c | 9,200$4,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,460.37 | 597 | 50.4%301 W · 296 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Dignitas | 50c | 6,897$3,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,447.17 | 1,267 | 37.7%478 W · 789 L | +35.3wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Disguised | 51c | 6,631$3,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,235.57 | 1,965 | 48.4%951 W · 1,014 L | +27.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…c67ebacked Dignitas | 47c | 6,531$3,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,059.94 | 677 | 60.4%409 W · 268 L | +42.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50b1…861bbacked Dignitas | 57c | 6,166$3,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,502.71 | 344 | 48.8%168 W · 176 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bac…6fb7backed Dignitas | 51c | 6,000$3,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,060 | 186 | 33.3%62 W · 124 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9024…a444backed Dignitas | 1c | 5,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 48 | 2.1%1 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -74%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Disguised | 43c | 4,940$2,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,791.75 | 1,008 | 42.5%428 W · 580 L | -24.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62c6…ab7bbacked Dignitas | 49c | 4,924$2,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,434.95 | 843 | 60.7%512 W · 331 L | +44.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed Dignitas | 54c | 4,796$2,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,593.78 | 259 | 52.9%137 W · 122 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…5fa2backed Dignitas | 45c | 4,487$2,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,004.91 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed Dignitas | 46c | 4,250$1,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,952.5 | 310 | 36.1%112 W · 198 L | -18.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x000e…f7e9backed Disguised | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,879.96 | 904 | 43.6%394 W · 510 L | +23.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Disguised | 45c | 3,387$1,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,851.89 | 859 | 42.7%367 W · 492 L | -14.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Disguised | 48c | 3,276$1,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,695.13 | 3,159 | 33.8%1,068 W · 2,091 L | -152.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cad…eb66backed Disguised | 57c | 3,078$1,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,324.82 | 481 | 57.6%277 W · 204 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked Dignitas | 39c | 3,056$1,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,191.81 | 237 | 51.5%122 W · 115 L | +11.7wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Disguised | 44c | 2,961$1,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,657.13 | 955 | 41.7%398 W · 557 L | -31.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7553…65cabacked Dignitas | 46c | 2,655$1,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,221.3 | 672 | 50.9%342 W · 330 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Disguised | 48c | 2,554$1,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320.6 | 1,603 | 42.4%679 W · 924 L | -18.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfae6…ab69backed Dignitas | 47c | 2,236$1,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050.7 | 542 | 46.3%251 W · 291 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb11…66cbbacked Disguised | 53c | 2,163$1,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,016.61 | 1,019 | 55.8%569 W · 450 L | +22.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…1305backed Disguised | 54c | 2,121$1,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975.66 | 1,469 | 61.4%902 W · 567 L | -20.4wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Disguised | 51c | 2,096$1,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.27 | 1,258 | 38.6%485 W · 773 L | -61.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04bd…39a0backed Disguised | 40c | 2,077$829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,247.57 | 1,229 | 45.1%554 W · 675 L | +48.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa941…ec2ebacked Disguised | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 511 | 60.3%308 W · 203 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Dignitas | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.99 | 637 | 46.5%296 W · 341 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3186…e9cabacked Dignitas | 39c | 1,854$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.08 | 1,540 | 62.6%964 W · 576 L | +158.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Disguised | 42c | 1,771$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,027.48 | 2,521 | 47.3%1,193 W · 1,328 L | -34.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Disguised | 46c | 1,712$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.41 | 874 | 43.1%377 W · 497 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Disguised | 52c | 1,668$866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.75 | 429 | 41.5%178 W · 251 L | -24.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Disguised | 46c | 1,652$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$895.16 | 2,330 | 39.4%919 W · 1,411 L | -83.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Disguised | 46c | 1,510$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.7 | 766 | 42%322 W · 444 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3248…aad4backed Disguised | 69c | 1,500$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465 | 126 | 61.9%78 W · 48 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Disguised | 50c | 1,486$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.9 | 1,232 | 49.4%609 W · 623 L | +13.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Disguised | 58c | 1,457$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.92 | 869 | 43.2%375 W · 494 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…2748backed Disguised | 54c | 1,400$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.87 | 321 | 60.7%195 W · 126 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c66…c204backed Dignitas | 54c | 1,250$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.21 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…930fbacked Dignitas | 47c | 1,200$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564 | 1,216 | 44.4%540 W · 676 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Disguised | 50c | 1,145$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.28 | 1,525 | 50.6%771 W · 754 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8290…d896backed Dignitas | 49c | 1,088$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.01 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Disguised | 46c | 1,037$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.83 | 2,910 | 38.5%1,120 W · 1,790 L | -120.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Dignitas | 39c | 1,025$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.25 | 2,237 | 33.3%745 W · 1,492 L | -71.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Dignitas | 46c | 1,015$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.9 | 401 | 45.4%182 W · 219 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Dignitas | 56c | 1,015$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.38 | 528 | 48.9%258 W · 270 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Disguised | 48c | 1,000$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519 | 1,182 | 44.8%530 W · 652 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e69…7f76backed Disguised | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 284 | 48.6%138 W · 146 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d22…4b50backed Dignitas | 46c | 999.99$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Disguised | 54c | 999.98$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.99 | 575 | 46.3%266 W · 309 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Dignitas | 44c | 980.26$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.86 | 329 | 41%135 W · 194 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Disguised | 54c | 963.27$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.44 | 742 | 50.5%375 W · 367 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71ce…cc35backed Disguised | 44c | 956.87$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.62 | 125 | 52%65 W · 60 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked Dignitas | 47c | 942.47$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.96 | 217 | 54.8%119 W · 98 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc0…6139backed Disguised | 53c | 900$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423 | 355 | 46.8%166 W · 189 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3072…4ca9backed Disguised | 54c | 895.81$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.07 | 136 | 47.1%64 W · 72 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Disguised | 67c | 828.14$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.38 | 151 | 49%74 W · 77 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Disguised | 49c | 792.25$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.05 | 507 | 49.7%252 W · 255 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Disguised | 51c | 711$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.09 | 311 | 53.4%166 W · 145 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Dignitas | 57c | 696.73$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.14 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…f4e0backed Dignitas | 52c | 676$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.18 | 650 | 47.4%308 W · 342 L | +24.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa497…7891backed Dignitas | 47c | 646.88$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.87 | 109 | 59.6%65 W · 44 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cba…3ec4backed Dignitas | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,545 | 43.7%675 W · 870 L | -18.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Disguised | 44c | 599.76$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.51 | 1,599 | 46.8%748 W · 851 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36ad…2267backed Disguised | 40c | 582$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.31 | 171 | 50.9%87 W · 84 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc733…4f14backed Disguised | 56c | 578.57$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.57 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…fa24backed Dignitas | 56c | 570.05$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.23 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Disguised | 48c | 552.68$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.08 | 1,310 | 37.3%489 W · 821 L | -86.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Disguised | 56c | 527.18$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.23 | 1,671 | 57.9%968 W · 703 L | +70.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb361…34a0backed Dignitas | 45c | 512.92$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c67…9896backed Disguised | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 509 | 45.8%233 W · 276 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7771…009fbacked Disguised | 60c | 499.99$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 1,009 | 48.2%486 W · 523 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Disguised | 53c | 499.98$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.99 | 145 | 47.6%69 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Disguised | 52c | 499.94$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.97 | 963 | 50.2%483 W · 480 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Disguised | 51c | 493.72$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.49 | 404 | 64.4%260 W · 144 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf268…960fbacked Disguised | 61c | 492.34$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.34 | 474 | 53.4%253 W · 221 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Dignitas | 49c | 485$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.73 | 1,658 | 46.9%777 W · 881 L | -25.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe625…94c0backed Disguised | 45c | 484.98$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.44 | 743 | 44%327 W · 416 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe74b…ee88backed Disguised | 45c | 480$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 864 | 51.4%444 W · 420 L | +52.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked Disguised | 54c | 462.96$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.96 | 1,189 | 48.1%572 W · 617 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e4…65e7backed Dignitas | 62c | 455.84$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.62 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53a5…55dfbacked Dignitas | 56c | 453.84$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.87 | 433 | 58.2%252 W · 181 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Disguised | 66c | 450$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 303 | 57.1%173 W · 130 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e1…e05cbacked Disguised | 46c | 449.99$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.5 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7329…bebdbacked Disguised | 55c | 448.14$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.55 | 441 | 53.3%235 W · 206 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2987…bfe9backed Dignitas | 53c | 440.74$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.39 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf06…c9ffbacked Disguised | 40c | 435.85$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.11 | 635 | 51.8%329 W · 306 L | +39.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…10e3backed Dignitas | 45c | 435.19$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.87 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49a6…a658backed Disguised | 69c | 434.78$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.78 | 500 | 51.6%258 W · 242 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c43…97f8backed Disguised | 74c | 405.51$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.51 | 52 | 71.2%37 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb953…5393backed Disguised | 40c | 400$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 571 | 51.5%294 W · 277 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x681b…3d79backed Dignitas | 55c | 400$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 177 | 49.7%88 W · 89 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b60…5c4ebacked Disguised | 55c | 399.93$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.97 | 205 | 42.9%88 W · 117 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4449…5095backed Disguised | 37c | 376.55$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.59 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4910…2ae7backed Disguised | 53c | 374.54$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.54 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Disguised | 53c | 361.31$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.61 | 1,571 | 55.1%866 W · 705 L | +80.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea86…090dbacked Disguised | 51c | 360$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.4 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Disguised vs Dignitas - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: DSG (-1.5) vs Dignitas (+1.5)Disguised won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Disguised vs Dignitas (BO3) - LCS Regular SeasonDisguised won
- LoL: Disguised vs Dignitas - Game 1 WinnerDisguised won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.