Lol · resolved market
LoL: Disguised vs Dignitas - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x20bf29ff48fd61f0e9f07cf93d44ef2a8eb6e2dca5f473e72c20332356c2a223
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Disguisedof Disguised, Dignitas
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $136,165
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $145,844
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $136,165 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 215 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe405…c67ebacked Disguised | 51c | 12,134$6,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,993.6 | 677 | 60.4%409 W · 268 L | +42.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Dignitas | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,900 | 1,630 | 40.1%654 W · 976 L | +48.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9024…a444backed Dignitas | 1c | 10,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 2.1%1 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -74%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93f6…4814backed Dignitas | 27c | 9,549$2,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,611.37 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed Dignitas | 46c | 7,329$3,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,401.18 | 1,200 | 54.1%649 W · 551 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Disguised | 56c | 6,885$3,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,043.41 | 1,940 | 48.1%934 W · 1,006 L | +22.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Disguised | 74c | 5,097$3,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,311.23 | 761 | 42%320 W · 441 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Disguised | 73c | 4,771$3,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,278.61 | 950 | 41.6%395 W · 555 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Disguised | 49c | 4,244$2,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,146.97 | 854 | 42.7%365 W · 489 L | -14.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Dignitas | 53c | 4,013$2,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,126.95 | 1,259 | 37.6%473 W · 786 L | +34.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Dignitas | 53c | 3,950$2,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,097.28 | 918 | 54%496 W · 422 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34f2…3bc2backed Dignitas | 52c | 3,689$1,918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,918.02 | 530 | 47.5%252 W · 278 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Disguised | 49c | 3,209$1,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,645.96 | 1,598 | 42.4%677 W · 921 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3186…e9cabacked Dignitas | 14c | 3,188$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.09 | 1,536 | 62.6%961 W · 575 L | +157.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7553…65cabacked Dignitas | 54c | 2,989$1,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,614.06 | 672 | 50.9%342 W · 330 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Disguised | 47c | 2,926$1,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,562.95 | 1,258 | 38.6%485 W · 773 L | -61.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40ea…832fbacked Dignitas | 52c | 2,901$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 203 | 39.9%81 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x681b…3d79backed Dignitas | 53c | 2,870$1,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,521.03 | 177 | 49.7%88 W · 89 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Disguised | 52c | 2,635$1,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,265.82 | 1,003 | 42.5%426 W · 577 L | -24.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed Disguised | 48c | 2,611$1,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,369.89 | 354 | 31.1%110 W · 244 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Disguised | 48c | 2,332$1,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,212.99 | 572 | 46%263 W · 309 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e53…bf9abacked Disguised | 46c | 2,090$961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,128.57 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Disguised | 47c | 2,014$952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,061.54 | 484 | 48.6%235 W · 249 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c66…c204backed Disguised | 63c | 2,011$1,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.34 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x000e…f7e9backed Dignitas | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 899 | 43.4%390 W · 509 L | +22.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Dignitas | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 1,435 | 57.4%824 W · 611 L | +36.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Dignitas | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 635 | 46.6%296 W · 339 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed Disguised | 47c | 1,972$927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,044.95 | 310 | 36.1%112 W · 198 L | -18.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf70f…3c97backed Dignitas | 55c | 1,881$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026.13 | 164 | 56.7%93 W · 71 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa941…ec2ebacked Dignitas | 45c | 1,705$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.48 | 511 | 60.3%308 W · 203 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cad…eb66backed Disguised | 74c | 1,567$1,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.81 | 481 | 57.6%277 W · 204 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…1305backed Dignitas | 37c | 1,555$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.35 | 1,463 | 61.4%899 W · 564 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e62…f6ffbacked Disguised | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Disguised | 57c | 1,390$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.38 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed Dignitas | 44c | 1,330$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.07 | 1,180 | 44.5%525 W · 655 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d2…fe85backed Dignitas | 53c | 1,284$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.81 | 155 | 43.9%68 W · 87 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Disguised | 47c | 1,260$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.61 | 507 | 49.7%252 W · 255 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfae6…ab69backed Disguised | 48c | 1,250$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.99 | 542 | 46.3%251 W · 291 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04bd…39a0backed Disguised | 47c | 1,189$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.26 | 1,229 | 45.1%554 W · 675 L | +48.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa497…7891backed Disguised | 52c | 1,182$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.66 | 109 | 59.6%65 W · 44 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Dignitas | 45c | 1,168$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.38 | 857 | 42.7%366 W · 491 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Disguised | 47c | 987$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.98 | 429 | 41.5%178 W · 251 L | -24.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3072…4ca9backed Dignitas | 10c | 962.18$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.89 | 136 | 47.1%64 W · 72 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fa…44e5backed Dignitas | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53a5…55dfbacked Dignitas | 25c | 949.23$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.96 | 433 | 58.2%252 W · 181 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed Dignitas | 53c | 891.96$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.44 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +10.7wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Dignitas | 34c | 860.79$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.09 | 190 | 41.1%78 W · 112 L | +9.1wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…ae44backed Disguised | 75c | 844.49$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.12 | 893 | 47%420 W · 473 L | +44.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Dignitas | 36c | 812.25$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.02 | 2,905 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L | -118.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Dignitas | 47c | 767.18$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.26 | 401 | 45.4%182 W · 219 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Disguised | 74c | 763.19$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.43 | 230 | 47%108 W · 122 L | -15.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…f4e0backed Disguised | 55c | 750$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.5 | 642 | 47.4%304 W · 338 L | +24.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e69…7f76backed Dignitas | 50c | 649.43$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.2 | 284 | 48.6%138 W · 146 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Dignitas | 39c | 640.98$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Dignitas | 42c | 602$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.35 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Disguised | 49c | 600$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306 | 1,599 | 46.8%748 W · 851 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…930fbacked Disguised | 47c | 600$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318 | 1,216 | 44.4%540 W · 676 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73ad…fb53backed Disguised | 54c | 559.38$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.38 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcfad…fa05backed Dignitas | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,218 | 58.1%708 W · 510 L | +44.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Dignitas | 55c | 526.84$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.95 | 962 | 50.1%482 W · 480 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c5…378abacked Disguised | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 158 | 60.8%96 W · 62 L | +12.3wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Disguised | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 145 | 47.6%69 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c67…9896backed Dignitas | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 506 | 46%233 W · 273 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x024c…5fa1backed Disguised | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 1,208 | 35.8%432 W · 776 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3e…88a4backed Disguised | 46c | 499.99$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa844…83b8backed Dignitas | 15c | 499.99$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.91 | 621 | 58.8%365 W · 256 L | +32.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked Dignitas | 51c | 486.05$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1,185 | 48.1%570 W · 615 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e4…65e7backed Dignitas | 16c | 449.5$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.16 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee8…b7b6backed Disguised | 56c | 428.37$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.37 | 103 | 47.6%49 W · 54 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a1…d6ecbacked Disguised | 61c | 424.99$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.25 | 466 | 50.9%237 W · 229 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c6…d14dbacked Disguised | 48c | 411$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.74 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +7.1wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7cba…3ec4backed Dignitas | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,545 | 43.7%675 W · 870 L | -18.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd1…17ccbacked Dignitas | 4c | 390.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 601 | 24.1%145 W · 456 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Disguised | 77c | 385.26$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.67 | 1,922 | 42.2%811 W · 1,111 L | -45.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked Dignitas | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,663 | 59.5%990 W · 673 L | +98.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…5fa2backed Disguised | 51c | 381.62$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.32 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb37…7d86backed Dignitas | 27c | 377.62$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.96 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | -6.0wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Disguised | 47c | 377$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.81 | 311 | 53.4%166 W · 145 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked Dignitas | 54c | 371.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.68 | 388 | 50.8%197 W · 191 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Disguised | 56c | 370$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.61 | 742 | 50.5%375 W · 367 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…10e3backed Dignitas | 55c | 363.76$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3f…6941backed Dignitas | 54c | 355$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.7 | 394 | 47.2%186 W · 208 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Disguised | 73c | 333.83$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.25 | 1,899 | 37.1%705 W · 1,194 L | -113.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31d1…a9f7backed Dignitas | 41c | 310$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.1 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7e…cbbdbacked Dignitas | 41c | 305.98$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 116 | 59.5%69 W · 47 L | +12.7wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc400…21a7backed Disguised | 65c | 301.54$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.54 | 231 | 49.8%115 W · 116 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ef…4a40backed Dignitas | 38c | 300$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 88 | 34.1%30 W · 58 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…ea90backed Dignitas | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 1,110 | 49%544 W · 566 L | +42.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Disguised | 43c | 296.21$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.84 | 2,341 | 40.3%943 W · 1,398 L | -61.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfb…980cbacked Dignitas | 45c | 291.36$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.11 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Disguised | 59c | 289.41$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.61 | 312 | 44.6%139 W · 173 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Dignitas | 30c | 286.57$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.67 | 828 | 36.4%301 W · 527 L | -41.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Disguised | 49c | 275$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.25 | 1,826 | 39.9%728 W · 1,098 L | -61.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4449…5095backed Dignitas | 40c | 265.79$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x135f…528cbacked Dignitas | 37c | 260.33$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.33 | 172 | 28.5%49 W · 123 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Disguised | 47c | 250$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.5 | 1,156 | 45.1%521 W · 635 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51f0…3651backed Disguised | 46c | 250$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc952…ef7cbacked Disguised | 46c | 250$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +68.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8049…05babacked Disguised | 45c | 250$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 55cpaid | +89.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…e969backed Disguised | 77c | 244.32$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.32 | 1,241 | 52.7%654 W · 587 L | +5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Disguised vs Dignitas - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: DSG (-1.5) vs Dignitas (+1.5)Disguised won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Disguised vs Dignitas (BO3) - LCS Regular SeasonDisguised won
- LoL: Disguised vs Dignitas - Game 2 WinnerDisguised won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.