TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Disguised vs Dignitas (BO3) - LCS Regular Season

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Disguisedof Disguised, Dignitas
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$144,292
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$160,206

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $144,292 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 219 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4713…4d21backed Disguised74c18,086$13,346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,740.753,13133.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L-150.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Dignitas21c11,343$2,432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,432.161,09834.8%382 W · 716 L-17.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bac…6fb7backed Disguised50c10,600$5,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,300.0318633.3%62 W · 124 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40ea…832fbacked Dignitas50c6,001$3,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,000.5520339.9%81 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b59…3aa6backed Dignitas49c5,000$2,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,449.957958.2%46 W · 33 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Disguised70c4,735$3,337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,398.1267931.8%216 W · 463 L-31.9wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-35.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8261…a3f1backed Dignitas53c3,766$1,978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,978.218467.9%125 W · 59 L+11.8wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Dignitas50c3,500$1,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,75091854%496 W · 422 L-1.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd57b…c48fbacked Disguised78c3,423$2,686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$736.742065%13 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick73cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Dignitas26c3,014$769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$768.521,59842.4%677 W · 921 L-17.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cd1…285dbacked Disguised50c3,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5009750.5%49 W · 48 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Disguised59c2,966$1,741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,224.7520826.9%56 W · 152 L-13.2wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-48.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Dignitas22c2,918$642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$642.011,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x687f…da05backed Dignitas24c2,870$697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$696.61711.8%2 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick20cpaid-53.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0352…86b0backed Disguised61c2,836$1,724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,112.13862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick44cpaid+49.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd23c…07cebacked Disguised51c2,370$1,209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,161.263836.8%14 W · 24 L-4.8wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-28.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Dignitas52c2,343$1,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,219.5564749.9%323 W · 324 L-24.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x689c…6b1ebacked Dignitas50c2,323$1,161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,161.2621754.8%119 W · 98 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Dignitas32c2,168$689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689.391,00342.5%426 W · 577 L-24.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf268…960fbacked Disguised70c1,865$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565.4547453.4%253 W · 221 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Dignitas37c1,829$686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$685.991,59343.8%697 W · 896 L-74.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Dignitas14c1,785$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.181,05746.1%487 W · 570 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd80a…5874backed Disguised48c1,750$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9101250%6 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e32…ab65backed Disguised51c1,501$764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$736.342,15653.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed Dignitas22c1,430$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.131,52150.6%769 W · 752 L+3.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Dignitas29c1,413$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.2585442.7%365 W · 489 L-14.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Disguised73c1,382$1,013 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.6185742.7%366 W · 491 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-23.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed Dignitas23c1,273$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.776142%320 W · 441 L-23.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Dignitas25c1,255$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.7595041.6%395 W · 555 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Disguised64c1,203$765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.491,94048.1%934 W · 1,006 L+22.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Dignitas27c1,202$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.332,49547.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58e3…c540backed Dignitas27c1,201$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.3715146.4%70 W · 81 L+8.0wins+0.05per pick41cpaid-0.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Disguised74c1,092$805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.292,90538.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L-118.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-27.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbbb…3df5backed Dignitas51c1,062$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.6230151.5%155 W · 146 L+11.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Dignitas14c1,059$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.6122234.7%77 W · 145 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-24.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x709e…ef0cbacked Dignitas52c1,054$548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547.852454.2%13 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb11…66cbbacked Disguised50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5001,01955.8%569 W · 450 L+22.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked Disguised64c1,000$636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.771,15568.1%786 W · 369 L+35.1wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd04…a64abacked Dignitas50c992.35$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50011959.7%71 W · 48 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Disguised50c907$454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453.560347.9%289 W · 314 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked Dignitas30c889.59$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.9242941.5%178 W · 251 L-24.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-20%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Disguised50c888$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4441,60948.4%779 W · 830 L+24.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x768f…8a9bbacked Disguised50c833.4$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.750956.2%286 W · 223 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Dignitas49c799.98$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.9943539.5%172 W · 263 L-24.9wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6202…8872backed Disguised78c797.35$625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.2739859.8%238 W · 160 L+31.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0f01…0d90backed Dignitas52c717.45$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.074126.8%11 W · 30 L-8.0wins-0.20per pick46cpaid-52.1%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Dignitas20c671.1$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.4678043.1%336 W · 444 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c4c…9f95backed Disguised79c620.65$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.0921249.5%105 W · 107 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked Disguised50c604.88$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.3890537.5%339 W · 566 L-18.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0862…dc29backed Dignitas29c601.02$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.1730643.1%132 W · 174 L-1.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Disguised50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3001,00747.9%482 W · 525 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8052…1124backed Disguised51c600$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29428843.8%126 W · 162 L-9.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Dignitas24c599.89$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.371,59946.8%748 W · 851 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2903…9203backed Disguised50c599.71$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.8639055.4%216 W · 174 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Disguised73c575.19$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.772,20233.3%733 W · 1,469 L-72.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Dignitas44c574.71$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.7914338.5%55 W · 88 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3865…fcbebacked Dignitas50c572.4$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.238850.8%197 W · 191 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e3f…6941backed Dignitas50c550$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27539447.2%186 W · 208 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Disguised74c519.86$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.4143837.9%166 W · 272 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Dignitas50c518.38$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.822,36232%755 W · 1,607 L+42.0wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b50…ea47backed Dignitas22c509.91$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.681,29426.6%344 W · 950 L+65.3wins+0.05per pick22cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked Disguised77c501.5$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.2466845.5%304 W · 364 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xceee…d39ebacked Disguised50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25014547.6%69 W · 76 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3248…aad4backed Disguised50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25012661.9%78 W · 48 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Disguised50c493.71$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.7674250.5%375 W · 367 L-1.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5839…3fa8backed Disguised51c490.2$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.211667.2%78 W · 38 L+5.9wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+7.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x78d9…359cbacked Dignitas20c490$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.621717.6%3 W · 14 L-2.4wins-0.14per pick32cpaid-57.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Disguised75c420.45$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.8222245.9%102 W · 120 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-25.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x906f…2877backed Dignitas50c419.91$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.967558.7%44 W · 31 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Dignitas25c415.85$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.71,31037.3%489 W · 821 L-86.3wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-26.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe90a…f6b5backed Disguised75c410$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.52871.4%20 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick65cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x28a3…f681backed Dignitas50c409.81$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.6137039.5%146 W · 224 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Disguised72c400.5$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.141,35651.1%693 W · 663 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49a6…a658backed Disguised50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20050051.6%258 W · 242 L-14.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid+1.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f41…b387backed Disguised50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2005554.5%30 W · 25 L+7.4wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+36.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Dignitas34c383.54$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.821,05823.5%249 W · 809 L-75.8wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-49.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Disguised49c382.35$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19550848.4%246 W · 262 L+13.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6aa4…236cbacked Dignitas20c360$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$723050%15 W · 15 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa40…9e37backed Disguised49c300$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15310231.4%32 W · 70 L-6.3wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-25.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9c4b…8a81backed Disguised50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15021249.1%104 W · 108 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed31…d9c8backed Disguised76c288.23$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.6446841.7%195 W · 273 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8de…44febacked Disguised78c268.71$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.12366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick74cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe9f…31e3backed Disguised50c260$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1302748.1%13 W · 14 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x156b…c533backed Disguised60c257.85$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.9121763.6%138 W · 79 L+0.6wins0.00per pick63cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5e0…457fbacked Dignitas50c257$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.510165.3%66 W · 35 L+6.6wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+15.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Dignitas50c248$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12428652.8%151 W · 135 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x059d…10e3backed Disguised56c244.32$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.826747.8%32 W · 35 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Dignitas30c241$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.31,25838.6%485 W · 773 L-61.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Disguised78c209.1$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.82,93844.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L-92.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Dignitas23c207.5$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.6886144.1%380 W · 481 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cba…3ec4backed Dignitas50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,54543.7%675 W · 870 L-18.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf29…834cbacked Dignitas50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008253.7%44 W · 38 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c47…7a9fbacked Dignitas50c200$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9929940.1%120 W · 179 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cb…f7dbbacked Dignitas50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10035045.1%158 W · 192 L+0.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe658…2c42backed Disguised50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10018141.4%75 W · 106 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2578…b2a6backed Disguised48c198.14$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.466245.2%28 W · 34 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c35…7764backed Disguised51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.083473.5%25 W · 9 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+18%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5b0b…612abacked Dignitas54c185.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10044046.4%204 W · 236 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6df…588cbacked Dignitas50c185$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.511450%57 W · 57 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Dignitas50c180.82$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.6238640.4%156 W · 230 L-17.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.