Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs 100 Thieves - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xae5d21ecb7c893eed79aaa4fa8a0e0a966866270ea5fcdda355079a5d201b397
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 100 Thievesof KRÜ Esports, 100 Thieves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,814
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,915
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,814 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6628…05aebacked KRÜ Esports | 0c | 32,220$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked 100 Thieves | 55c | 1,990$1,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.36 | 655 | 59.4%389 W · 266 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked 100 Thieves | 72c | 1,777$1,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.52 | 684 | 58.3%399 W · 285 L | +56.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed 100 Thieves | 57c | 1,714$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.57 | 531 | 59.1%314 W · 217 L | +41.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x41bb…26e8backed KRÜ Esports | 27c | 1,459$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked 100 Thieves | 71c | 1,299$923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.28 | 533 | 55.3%295 W · 238 L | +24.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked KRÜ Esports | 43c | 1,226$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.13 | 153 | 42.5%65 W · 88 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked KRÜ Esports | 27c | 1,158$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.98 | 689 | 49.5%341 W · 348 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed KRÜ Esports | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed 100 Thieves | 63c | 793.18$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.01 | 563 | 57.9%326 W · 237 L | +36.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…c98bbacked 100 Thieves | 68c | 683.11$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.99 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e51…71d4backed KRÜ Esports | 41c | 541.96$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221 | 96 | 54.2%52 W · 44 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd3…bd26backed KRÜ Esports | 28c | 540.24$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xba58…6d74backed KRÜ Esports | 51c | 360$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.1 | 255 | 55.7%142 W · 113 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7de…5f66backed KRÜ Esports | 60c | 308.33$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked KRÜ Esports | 26c | 299.99$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 366 | 48.4%177 W · 189 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…12ebbacked KRÜ Esports | 19c | 293.16$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.3 | 212 | 40.1%85 W · 127 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked 100 Thieves | 77c | 270.5$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.29 | 888 | 44.4%394 W · 494 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed KRÜ Esports | 28c | 225$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.19 | 174 | 48.3%84 W · 90 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed 100 Thieves | 70c | 206.54$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.56 | 291 | 51.5%150 W · 141 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked KRÜ Esports | 26c | 201.37$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.96 | 168 | 42.3%71 W · 97 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked KRÜ Esports | 55c | 188.8$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.09 | 450 | 33.8%152 W · 298 L | -35.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x429a…c211backed KRÜ Esports | 20c | 182.49$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.9 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -22%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked 100 Thieves | 70c | 170.9$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.5 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x59e2…1c55backed KRÜ Esports | 41c | 169.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.7 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe132…abf3backed 100 Thieves | 75c | 160$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.77 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed KRÜ Esports | 34c | 153.08$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.66 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7055…49bbbacked KRÜ Esports | 22c | 142.05$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked KRÜ Esports | 28c | 140.01$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…b497backed 100 Thieves | 39c | 128$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.08 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed KRÜ Esports | 19c | 125.21$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.17 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2460…e144backed KRÜ Esports | 60c | 118.5$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 281 | 51.6%145 W · 136 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked KRÜ Esports | 50c | 115.49$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.36 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed KRÜ Esports | 23c | 108.54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.81 | 779 | 29.5%230 W · 549 L | -72.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce8…fc49backed 100 Thieves | 74c | 101.35$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.35 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked KRÜ Esports | 54c | 101.05$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.82 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…46e5backed KRÜ Esports | 42c | 93.51$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.27 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf21d…2e9abacked KRÜ Esports | 29c | 88$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.68 | 267 | 58.8%157 W · 110 L | +18.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed 100 Thieves | 72c | 84.63$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed KRÜ Esports | 26c | 76.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 575 | 17.7%102 W · 473 L | -71.7wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed KRÜ Esports | 23c | 71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 418 | 35.6%149 W · 269 L | -19.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca5…9988backed KRÜ Esports | 30c | 64.55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked KRÜ Esports | 25c | 61.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 155 | 12.3%19 W · 136 L | -27.4wins | -0.18per pick | 30cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed 100 Thieves | 47c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.73 | 998 | 46%459 W · 539 L | -27.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf5…e7c3backed KRÜ Esports | 60c | 49.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.66 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f68…3e9cbacked KRÜ Esports | 22c | 48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…67cbbacked KRÜ Esports | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed KRÜ Esports | 27c | 42.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 175 | 55.4%97 W · 78 L | +12.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed KRÜ Esports | 41c | 40.39$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 264 | 36%95 W · 169 L | -15.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked KRÜ Esports | 51c | 37.96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 219 | 51.6%113 W · 106 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x39a9…c69ebacked KRÜ Esports | 32c | 36.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed 100 Thieves | 79c | 35.48$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed 100 Thieves | 80c | 35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 636 | 52.7%335 W · 301 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76de…85ccbacked KRÜ Esports | 46c | 32.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf885…d719backed 100 Thieves | 74c | 32.51$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.53 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e1…fbc8backed 100 Thieves | 59c | 28.81$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.81 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs 100 Thieves - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: KRÜ (-1.5) vs 100 Thieves (+1.5)100 Thieves won
- Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omega100 Thieves won
- Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 WinnerKRÜ Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.