Valorant · resolved market
Map Handicap: KRÜ (-1.5) vs 100 Thieves (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa4ecd5da5292bc07324bc4b80c461b40268a1b60103b0c64be1039ffdc51eacd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 100 Thievesof KRÜ Esports, 100 Thieves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,597
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,559
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,597 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed 100 Thieves | 64c | 2,000$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.99 | 169 | 52.1%88 W · 81 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc3…5827backed KRÜ Esports | 36c | 1,485$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd3…bd26backed KRÜ Esports | 36c | 1,174$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked 100 Thieves | 64c | 888$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.68 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked 100 Thieves | 58c | 508.85$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.72 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed KRÜ Esports | 42c | 508.85$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.72 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +9.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2409…c116backed KRÜ Esports | 36c | 400$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed 100 Thieves | 63c | 273.58$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.29 | 163 | 45.4%74 W · 89 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf04…ad65backed KRÜ Esports | 40c | 143.58$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.43 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -26.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked 100 Thieves | 60c | 131.67$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.67 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…85f9backed KRÜ Esports | 38c | 129.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 428 | 40%171 W · 257 L | -22.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba58…6d74backed KRÜ Esports | 36c | 110$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 255 | 55.7%142 W · 113 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked KRÜ Esports | 33c | 91.04$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.04 | 366 | 48.4%177 W · 189 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…b497backed 100 Thieves | 64c | 89$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.04 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed 100 Thieves | 65c | 80$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc671…b0c7backed KRÜ Esports | 35c | 76.11$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 98 | 59.2%58 W · 40 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d8…e2e8backed KRÜ Esports | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed 100 Thieves | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 51 | 70.6%36 W · 15 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed 100 Thieves | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 271 | 45%122 W · 149 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce42…5cddbacked KRÜ Esports | 36c | 43.78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5410…dcc7backed KRÜ Esports | 44c | 42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.64 | 159 | 31.4%50 W · 109 L | -10.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6933…7ea3backed KRÜ Esports | 38c | 34.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x429a…c211backed KRÜ Esports | 46c | 32.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -22%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed KRÜ Esports | 35c | 32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 141 | 58.2%82 W · 59 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked 100 Thieves | 67c | 26.04$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.59 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3892…4093backed 100 Thieves | 59c | 24.82$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.06 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x642c…21a7backed 100 Thieves | 51c | 20.31$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.95 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: KRÜ (-1.5) vs 100 Thieves (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omega100 Thieves won
- Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs 100 Thieves - Map 1 Winner100 Thieves won
- Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 WinnerKRÜ Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.