Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 Winner

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3356ea4d501d97075664ffd800fd46147659c8087d0032bd0716c3e49fd1816f

Rebuilt 6 hours ago.

Winning outcome: KRÜ Esportsof KRÜ Esports, 100 Thieves
Resolved: May 2, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $111,092
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $144,143

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $111,092 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Valorant
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xee8e…0a7bbacked KRÜ Esports	73c	29,157$21,396 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,761.25	781	62%484 W · 297 L	+16.8wins	+0.02per pick	60cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x880b…c98bbacked 100 Thieves	39c	17,816$7,002 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,001.74	266	50.8%135 W · 131 L	+7.0wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f4e…9557backed 100 Thieves	39c	10,144$4,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,000	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.39per pick	39cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed KRÜ Esports	67c	9,000$6,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,000	521	55.5%289 W · 232 L	-11.1wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked KRÜ Esports	67c	5,170$3,449 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,721.22	689	49.5%341 W · 348 L	+15.4wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed 100 Thieves	21c	3,745$773 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$773.26	531	59.1%314 W · 217 L	+41.6wins	+0.08per pick	51cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked 100 Thieves	22c	3,515$756 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$756.48	684	58.3%399 W · 285 L	+56.5wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked 100 Thieves	21c	2,986$641 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$640.58	655	59.4%389 W · 266 L	+50.5wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed 100 Thieves	29c	2,604$752 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$752.36	563	57.9%326 W · 237 L	+36.3wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed 100 Thieves	25c	2,505$635 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$635.44	301	47.2%142 W · 159 L	-5.8wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked KRÜ Esports	63c	2,502$1,577 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$924.36	1,309	43.8%573 W · 736 L	-44.5wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked 100 Thieves	28c	2,341$652 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$651.75	533	55.3%295 W · 238 L	+24.0wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	-2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3542…c3c8backed KRÜ Esports	62c	1,400$868 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$532	285	48.4%138 W · 147 L	+14.4wins	+0.05per pick	43cpaid	+16%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc2e5…b3a5backed 100 Thieves	30c	1,361$413 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$413.29	147	50.3%74 W · 73 L	+4.4wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x421e…1e47backed 100 Thieves	22c	1,353$296 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$296.03	35	37.1%13 W · 22 L	-1.5wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e15…7531backed KRÜ Esports	61c	1,000$610 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$390	333	48.3%161 W · 172 L	+13.2wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x483a…01d6backed KRÜ Esports	75c	933.33$697 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$236.1	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.6wins	-0.26per pick	60cpaid	-52%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7756…d00abacked KRÜ Esports	59c	800$472 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$328	141	52.5%74 W · 67 L	+7.1wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+21.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a7e…b805backed 100 Thieves	18c	756.93$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133	33	45.5%15 W · 18 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x41bb…26e8backed 100 Thieves	43c	663.28$285 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$285	34	50%17 W · 17 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked KRÜ Esports	74c	620.31$456 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$163.82	888	44.4%394 W · 494 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed 100 Thieves	23c	598.84$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138.79	291	51.5%150 W · 141 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed 100 Thieves	20c	592.41$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.3	418	35.6%149 W · 269 L	-19.8wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2409…c116backed KRÜ Esports	62c	500$310 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$190	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+0.7wins	+0.08per pick	54cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7de…5f66backed 100 Thieves	42c	476.19$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-1.9wins	-0.17per pick	45cpaid	-51.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked KRÜ Esports	70c	470.57$328 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$142.54	1,376	47.1%648 W · 728 L	+10.6wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1552…2735backed KRÜ Esports	62c	434.41$268 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$166.43	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.21per pick	54cpaid	-46%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcfbc…dcdbbacked 100 Thieves	32c	423.07$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.38	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.32per pick	32cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x473f…9892backed 100 Thieves	36c	417.83$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	90	41.1%37 W · 53 L	-7.0wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9c4b…8a81backed KRÜ Esports	76c	373.03$282 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90.95	621	56.4%350 W · 271 L	+13.0wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1aee…8796backed KRÜ Esports	70c	356.29$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.29	40	55%22 W · 18 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	58cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0b0…ab95backed KRÜ Esports	69c	345$238 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.8	22	50%11 W · 11 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9227…7cedbacked 100 Thieves	14c	332.43$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46	57	50.9%29 W · 28 L	+1.8wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e51…71d4backed KRÜ Esports	61c	327.18$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$127.18	96	54.2%52 W · 44 L	+2.8wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xba58…6d74backed KRÜ Esports	60c	310$186 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$124	255	55.7%142 W · 113 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4031…92c8backed KRÜ Esports	73c	300$219 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81	146	45.2%66 W · 80 L	-4.9wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-14%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe132…abf3backed 100 Thieves	38c	296.19$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.41	99	52.5%52 W · 47 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2460…e144backed KRÜ Esports	62c	241.94$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$91.94	281	51.6%145 W · 136 L	-10.4wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked KRÜ Esports	74c	236.01$175 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.65	450	33.8%152 W · 298 L	-35.6wins	-0.08per pick	42cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xdaee…5ec9backed 100 Thieves	25c	200$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-33.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ce8…fc49backed 100 Thieves	38c	197.37$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.8wins	+0.12per pick	45cpaid	+20.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc056…e188backed KRÜ Esports	60c	167.25$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.25	45	64.4%29 W · 16 L	+3.9wins	+0.09per pick	56cpaid	+23.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x04a7…164bbacked 100 Thieves	38c	165$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.85	126	50.8%64 W · 62 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed 100 Thieves	31c	164.23$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.69	1,746	46.2%806 W · 940 L	-3.2wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked 100 Thieves	37c	160.79$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	253	36.4%92 W · 161 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7055…49bbbacked KRÜ Esports	64c	155.17$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.17	31	38.7%12 W · 19 L	-2.1wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-10%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x87ed…b497backed 100 Thieves	39c	136$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.04	34	41.2%14 W · 20 L	-2.7wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8e5e…0381backed KRÜ Esports	70c	127.77$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.77	58	55.2%32 W · 26 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	58cpaid	-9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed KRÜ Esports	64c	127.7$82 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.43	1,490	46.6%695 W · 795 L	-16.1wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-12%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05a5…c142backed 100 Thieves	40c	125$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.40per pick	40cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked KRÜ Esports	59c	113.56$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.56	1,601	37.5%600 W · 1,001 L	-75.0wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3f08…e919backed 100 Thieves	18c	111.5$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.5	106	30.2%32 W · 74 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5cbb…75a1backed 100 Thieves	44c	106.91$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47	26	34.6%9 W · 17 L	-1.7wins	-0.07per pick	41cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked KRÜ Esports	65c	105$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37	1,358	39%530 W · 828 L	-57.9wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-17%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked 100 Thieves	38c	100$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38	264	50%132 W · 132 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6628…05aebacked KRÜ Esports	54c	100$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46	74	37.8%28 W · 46 L	-3.3wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b60…5c4ebacked 100 Thieves	46c	100$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46	103	33%34 W · 69 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce39…04d6backed KRÜ Esports	64c	97$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.69	27	33.3%9 W · 18 L	-5.2wins	-0.19per pick	53cpaid	-37.9%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7b74…cbaebacked KRÜ Esports	71c	95.99$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.28	73	65.8%48 W · 25 L	+4.0wins	+0.05per pick	60cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x52ee…9684backed 100 Thieves	18c	94.44$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.88	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.12per pick	38cpaid	+58.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd63…a39abacked 100 Thieves	27c	92.59$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	64	32.8%21 W · 43 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked 100 Thieves	33c	89.13$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.73	210	48.1%101 W · 109 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe136…6d09backed 100 Thieves	26c	88.46$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-1.8wins	-0.22per pick	35cpaid	-69.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed 100 Thieves	35c	84.12$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.62	636	52.7%335 W · 301 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked 100 Thieves	38c	77$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.26	1,608	45.2%727 W · 881 L	-24.0wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d87…8dbbbacked 100 Thieves	32c	74$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.62	168	42.3%71 W · 97 L	-6.6wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb92f…58c4backed KRÜ Esports	72c	69.44$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.44	77	59.7%46 W · 31 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbaa5…a51abacked KRÜ Esports	61c	68.85$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.85	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.04per pick	63cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed KRÜ Esports	70c	65.9$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.77	409	44.3%181 W · 228 L	-6.0wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed KRÜ Esports	70c	62$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.46	322	61.5%198 W · 124 L	+24.5wins	+0.08per pick	54cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbbf3…aa3abacked 100 Thieves	33c	54.55$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	29	41.4%12 W · 17 L	-1.1wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f59…bd2dbacked KRÜ Esports	72c	54.17$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.17	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed 100 Thieves	28c	49.76$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.76	575	17.7%102 W · 473 L	-71.7wins	-0.12per pick	30cpaid	-42.2%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed 100 Thieves	30c	46.75$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.06	664	38.1%253 W · 411 L	-31.8wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked 100 Thieves	27c	46.68$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.78	155	12.3%19 W · 136 L	-27.4wins	-0.18per pick	30cpaid	-62.7%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed KRÜ Esports	60c	42.4$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.92	779	29.5%230 W · 549 L	-72.4wins	-0.09per pick	39cpaid	-39%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0181…9b5fbacked KRÜ Esports	65c	35$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.24	278	50%139 W · 139 L	+21.8wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xba38…e406backed 100 Thieves	36c	31.51$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.34	547	51.2%280 W · 267 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20bf…2be9backed KRÜ Esports	74c	30$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.8	26	50%13 W · 13 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f4b…69debacked 100 Thieves	39c	25.38$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	519	48.4%251 W · 268 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c5d…d5dfbacked 100 Thieves	40c	25$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	63	55.6%35 W · 28 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked KRÜ Esports	74c	24$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.24	1,417	51.3%727 W · 690 L	+49.9wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1445…614abacked KRÜ Esports	74c	14.99$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.94	125	52.8%66 W · 59 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 Winnerthis page
Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Map Handicap: KRÜ (-1.5) vs 100 Thieves (+1.5)100 Thieves won
Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omega100 Thieves won
Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs 100 Thieves - Map 1 Winner100 Thieves won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 Winner

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event