TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
PARIVISIONof PARIVISION, Tundra Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$185,205
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$194,326

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $185,205 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 186 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe16d…5e30backed PARIVISION57c19,410$11,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,410.151,21057.1%691 W · 519 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2307…3934backed PARIVISION56c15,506$8,682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,824.2622848.2%110 W · 118 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Tundra Esports43c12,161$5,288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,288.082,01244.2%889 W · 1,123 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2586…f071backed Tundra Esports10c11,314$1,147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,146.734468.9%237 W · 107 L+26.3wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+2.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Tundra Esports44c10,776$4,723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,722.6656955.5%316 W · 253 L+22.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Tundra Esports44c10,700$4,755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,754.9934544.3%153 W · 192 L-15.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Tundra Esports38c8,443$3,208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,208.396645.1%436 W · 530 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked PARIVISION60c7,924$4,724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,200.1389749.6%445 W · 452 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed PARIVISION56c7,411$4,158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,252.8845750.8%232 W · 225 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa88…85a5backed PARIVISION55c7,399$4,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,329.7569644.5%310 W · 386 L-3.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3ce…a57abacked PARIVISION58c7,349$4,296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,053.021,20259.3%713 W · 489 L+64.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd06c…cdafbacked PARIVISION54c6,119$3,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,818.71,18643.2%512 W · 674 L+42.2wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed Tundra Esports44c5,689$2,503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,503.1696557.4%554 W · 411 L+49.5wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Tundra Esports44c5,687$2,502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,502.0829348.5%142 W · 151 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x183f…85e3backed Tundra Esports45c5,069$2,265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,264.9315848.1%76 W · 82 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed PARIVISION58c4,883$2,837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,046.4668649.7%341 W · 345 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed Tundra Esports45c4,750$2,137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,137.4827153.5%145 W · 126 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7dfd…8d75backed Tundra Esports42c4,380$1,833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,833.1224251.7%125 W · 117 L+21.0wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+15.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked PARIVISION55c3,900$2,145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,75580256%449 W · 353 L+22.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked PARIVISION60c3,796$2,297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,499.531,15547.8%552 W · 603 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e62…f6ffbacked Tundra Esports45c3,100$1,395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,394.9910646.2%49 W · 57 L-0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Tundra Esports43c2,880$1,243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,243.0141351.8%214 W · 199 L+1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed PARIVISION62c2,861$1,773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,088.061,03647.2%489 W · 547 L+15.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9867…ea53backed Tundra Esports44c2,685$1,184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,183.731450%7 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x500f…94bfbacked Tundra Esports44c2,558$1,126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,125.5513558.5%79 W · 56 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed PARIVISION56c2,546$1,418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,127.931,57743.9%692 W · 885 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked PARIVISION65c2,515$1,646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8691,82145%820 W · 1,001 L+33.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05a7…42e6backed Tundra Esports44c2,464$1,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,090.1741056.8%233 W · 177 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8479…40dfbacked Tundra Esports42c2,261$946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$945.9110751.4%55 W · 52 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbff7…92fbbacked PARIVISION57c2,250$1,282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$967.4327143.5%118 W · 153 L-10.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x31a4…7afcbacked Tundra Esports42c2,151$903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$903.2995342.2%402 W · 551 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf29…da00backed Tundra Esports45c2,051$919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$919.3210751.4%55 W · 52 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed Tundra Esports44c2,000$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88049455.1%272 W · 222 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed PARIVISION60c1,841$1,111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$729.881,16447.2%549 W · 615 L-29.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c8f…4d12backed PARIVISION56c1,786$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785.7135062.6%219 W · 131 L+44.4wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+26.9%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x13c7…11d9backed Tundra Esports44c1,759$771 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$771.2633541.2%138 W · 197 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked PARIVISION60c1,677$998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$678.4677256.5%436 W · 336 L+30.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc75a…1ab2backed Tundra Esports2c1,563$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.2640014.8%59 W · 341 L+11.2wins+0.03per pick12cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d85…c436backed Tundra Esports40c1,325$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532.8750832.9%167 W · 341 L-14.8wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-26.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba50…ad0bbacked Tundra Esports45c1,293$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$576.1139550.1%198 W · 197 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa97f…a818backed PARIVISION56c1,250$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549.9958744%258 W · 329 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd206…bd2abacked Tundra Esports43c1,173$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.3115957.2%91 W · 68 L+8.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xab04…a00abacked PARIVISION50c1,170$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58537945.9%174 W · 205 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5054…0aafbacked Tundra Esports44c1,162$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511.4113851.4%71 W · 67 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x491d…f42bbacked PARIVISION73c1,162$848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.7939660.1%238 W · 158 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e44…21bcbacked PARIVISION55c1,109$609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.179859%471 W · 327 L+16.1wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa14c…23a1backed Tundra Esports44c1,105$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.235151.3%180 W · 171 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x149a…49d0backed Tundra Esports45c1,100$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49550769.2%351 W · 156 L+33.7wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+10.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa35c…a113backed PARIVISION56c1,071$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.4361745.7%282 W · 335 L-12.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c75…de96backed PARIVISION53c1,046$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.7622461.2%137 W · 87 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Tundra Esports19c1,030$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.411,45848.5%707 W · 751 L+27.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdec9…b8abbacked Tundra Esports44c1,026$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.4414750.3%74 W · 73 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf2a…5ae1backed Tundra Esports28c1,009$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.46354%34 W · 29 L+5.3wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+12.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8aa6…83f9backed PARIVISION54c1,000$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46520145.3%91 W · 110 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed PARIVISION59c1,000$595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.556548%271 W · 294 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69bf…0c5dbacked Tundra Esports44c1,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44036547.7%174 W · 191 L-1.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe077…f5eebacked Tundra Esports44c956.82$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42113442.5%57 W · 77 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa62b…0f85backed Tundra Esports46c950.04$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.0211742.7%50 W · 67 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Tundra Esports42c925.07$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.461,28045%576 W · 704 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31d4…a7abbacked Tundra Esports45c888.39$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40016541.2%68 W · 97 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed Tundra Esports4c850$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306132.1%13 W · 600 L-23.4wins-0.04per pick6cpaid-76.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc646…e394backed PARIVISION56c800$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35237655.1%207 W · 169 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…165bbacked Tundra Esports42c726.58$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.141,27533.5%427 W · 848 L-15.6wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9eca…5a59backed Tundra Esports48c714.25$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.7840051.5%206 W · 194 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2761…4d95backed Tundra Esports49c700.27$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.6344645.7%204 W · 242 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Tundra Esports3c667.78$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.848328.9%24 W · 59 L-6.5wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-39.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed PARIVISION56c600$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26474549.3%367 W · 378 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c67…d062backed PARIVISION52c576.92$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.921,13742.3%481 W · 656 L-27.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x85d2…cc46backed Tundra Esports44c563.99$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502733.3%9 W · 18 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-19.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe84a…702dbacked PARIVISION57c519.3$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.315949.7%79 W · 80 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d93…b34dbacked PARIVISION63c500$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.763228.1%9 W · 23 L-10.4wins-0.33per pick61cpaid-57.4%equal weight30-0.18 edge/pick
0x98a7…b766backed Tundra Esports43c500$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21560251.2%308 W · 294 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x209e…8bb4backed Tundra Esports44c500$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22080544.6%359 W · 446 L-25.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Tundra Esports34c471$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.721,52137.9%576 W · 945 L-57.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1365…c82abacked PARIVISION56c467.32$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.6361456%344 W · 270 L+13.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Tundra Esports13c446.22$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.851,12036.1%404 W · 716 L-39.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-31.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x974f…cd80backed Tundra Esports42c415$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.1155147.5%262 W · 289 L+22.3wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed PARIVISION54c408.7$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1881,24844.4%554 W · 694 L+17.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03a2…7e3ebacked PARIVISION54c368.99$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.7412248.4%59 W · 63 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7d3…698bbacked Tundra Esports45c335.86$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15048053.1%255 W · 225 L+25.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2146…d41bbacked PARIVISION50c335.53$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.6789741.5%372 W · 525 L+22.7wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed PARIVISION57c330.68$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.1910546.7%49 W · 56 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96ef…cca4backed PARIVISION62c313.97$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.5316242.6%69 W · 93 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x473f…9892backed Tundra Esports48c312.5$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15050053%265 W · 235 L+14.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9958…b9acbacked PARIVISION57c301.34$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.327652.6%40 W · 36 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf49a…8981backed Tundra Esports31c288.39$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.986947.8%33 W · 36 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2920…a1d3backed PARIVISION70c288.37$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.43100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+42.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf34b…bcb3backed Tundra Esports44c286.95$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.2658356.8%331 W · 252 L+28.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb8be…3d54backed Tundra Esports51c276.28$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.769951.5%51 W · 48 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+14.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7253…5fa2backed Tundra Esports52c258.13$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.245850%29 W · 29 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+19%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed PARIVISION57c256.91$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.5565647.3%310 W · 346 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe59…0d2ebacked PARIVISION51c250$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.516243.2%70 W · 92 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed Tundra Esports46c250$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11547951.8%248 W · 231 L+17.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x93bd…bbc5backed PARIVISION75c250$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.553764.4%346 W · 191 L+26.5wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked PARIVISION57c250$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.550749.7%252 W · 255 L+15.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x703b…e371backed Tundra Esports25c250$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.551544.9%231 W · 284 L+40.9wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+3.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x73e6…eca0backed PARIVISION53c250$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.55461.1%33 W · 21 L+4.6wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+15.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3f41…b387backed PARIVISION56c249.99$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.991866.7%12 W · 6 L+3.8wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+34.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd960…1adebacked Tundra Esports12c244.96$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2933945.1%153 W · 186 L+12.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b5f…3397backed Tundra Esports44c229$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.7623746.8%111 W · 126 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.