TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
PARIVISIONof PARIVISION, Tundra Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$848,310
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$931,343

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $848,310 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 448 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa5ea…d96abacked PARIVISION57c411,254$236,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175,194.0628748.8%140 W · 147 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Tundra Esports43c187,016$80,356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80,355.616147.2%76 W · 85 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Tundra Esports42c70,000$29,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,4003525.7%9 W · 26 L-6.9wins-0.20per pick46cpaid-43.1%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x9eca…5a59backed Tundra Esports44c38,805$17,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,001.2440051.5%206 W · 194 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe16d…5e30backed PARIVISION55c37,923$21,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,922.821,21057.1%691 W · 519 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed PARIVISION56c29,850$16,703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,146.5856955.5%316 W · 253 L+22.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2307…3934backed Tundra Esports42c25,000$10,596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,595.7322848.2%110 W · 118 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef62…cf76backed Tundra Esports42c23,853$10,135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,135.2243344.8%194 W · 239 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba38…e406backed Tundra Esports42c21,250$9,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,0001855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Tundra Esports34c17,665$5,967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,967.145750.8%232 W · 225 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x95f6…e764backed Tundra Esports0c12,567$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8479…40dfbacked Tundra Esports42c11,499$4,789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,789.2810751.4%55 W · 52 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed PARIVISION55c10,612$5,834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,777.3296557.4%554 W · 411 L+49.5wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Tundra Esports43c9,890$4,253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,252.772,37847.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L+15.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe872…819abacked Tundra Esports43c9,840$4,235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,23522340.4%90 W · 133 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa88…85a5backed Tundra Esports46c9,223$4,262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,262.4869644.5%310 W · 386 L-3.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb234…1c20backed Tundra Esports44c8,919$3,896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,895.8529042.1%122 W · 168 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55d9…832cbacked Tundra Esports43c8,035$3,466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,466.2641944.2%185 W · 234 L-1.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Tundra Esports40c7,647$3,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,079.721,82145%820 W · 1,001 L+33.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb635…bef0backed Tundra Esports46c7,567$3,465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,464.8130336.6%111 W · 192 L-18.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked PARIVISION69c7,330$5,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,276.2796645.1%436 W · 530 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked PARIVISION56c6,471$3,604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,867.6334544.3%153 W · 192 L-15.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed PARIVISION60c6,325$3,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,555.1529348.5%142 W · 151 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Tundra Esports40c6,202$2,472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,471.991,03647.2%489 W · 547 L+15.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Tundra Esports42c6,013$2,527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,526.561,15547.8%552 W · 603 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Tundra Esports42c5,813$2,425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,425.1289749.6%445 W · 452 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x19b6…ad8ebacked Tundra Esports40c5,628$2,232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,232.432652.1%170 W · 156 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Tundra Esports42c5,493$2,323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,322.651,57743.9%692 W · 885 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked Tundra Esports42c5,397$2,284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,28426843.7%117 W · 151 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3ce…a57abacked Tundra Esports42c5,367$2,254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2541,20259.3%713 W · 489 L+64.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd06c…cdafbacked Tundra Esports40c5,119$2,049 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,048.81,18643.2%512 W · 674 L+42.2wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xda34…01a8backed Tundra Esports42c5,020$2,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,086.953644.4%16 W · 20 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x183f…85e3backed PARIVISION60c5,017$2,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,017.815848.1%76 W · 82 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd9d…f409backed Tundra Esports43c5,005$2,159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,159.222751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97fd…3313backed Tundra Esports44c5,000$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,20011547%54 W · 61 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xad69…7397backed Tundra Esports44c4,771$2,084 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,083.5451140.3%206 W · 305 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked PARIVISION56c4,750$2,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,110.3180256%449 W · 353 L+22.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb35…b62abacked Tundra Esports43c4,651$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00039343.3%170 W · 223 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e62…f6ffbacked Tundra Esports45c4,500$2,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,018.5210646.2%49 W · 57 L-0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4667…cab0backed PARIVISION58c4,291$2,489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,802.213951.3%20 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed Tundra Esports41c4,112$1,704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,703.6968649.7%341 W · 345 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed PARIVISION59c4,055$2,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,674.2441351.8%214 W · 199 L+1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cd1…285dbacked Tundra Esports41c4,000$1,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,640.325154.9%28 W · 23 L+4.7wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+15.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9867…ea53backed PARIVISION59c3,985$2,335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,649.551450%7 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc75a…1ab2backed Tundra Esports3c3,948$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.6640014.8%59 W · 341 L+11.2wins+0.03per pick12cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03f8…d85abacked PARIVISION56c3,936$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,736.454951%25 W · 24 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x31a4…7afcbacked Tundra Esports42c3,711$1,559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,558.6495342.2%402 W · 551 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbff7…92fbbacked Tundra Esports32c3,654$1,183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,183.0527143.5%118 W · 153 L-10.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5054…0aafbacked PARIVISION56c3,263$1,815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,448.5413851.4%71 W · 67 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb517…434bbacked PARIVISION59c3,240$1,904 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,336.5222842.1%96 W · 132 L-25.3wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-23.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xdfaf…d959backed Tundra Esports41c3,000$1,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2306541.5%27 W · 38 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7600…4478backed Tundra Esports43c2,980$1,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,279.7222647.3%107 W · 119 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e44…21bcbacked PARIVISION66c2,959$1,948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,011.1479859%471 W · 327 L+16.1wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa557…6e77backed Tundra Esports44c2,952$1,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,309.719850%49 W · 49 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Tundra Esports20c2,874$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$574.7217133.9%58 W · 113 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60d0…e05fbacked Tundra Esports43c2,772$1,192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,191.9641242.2%174 W · 238 L-0.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2775…3652backed Tundra Esports39c2,675$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,05033041.8%138 W · 192 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb83e…0619backed PARIVISION61c2,233$1,372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$860.721040%4 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.24per pick64cpaid-38.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xeebb…0b96backed Tundra Esports20c2,215$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44312740.2%51 W · 76 L+0.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d85…c436backed PARIVISION63c2,061$1,308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$753.1850832.9%167 W · 341 L-14.8wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-26.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a38…fee0backed Tundra Esports40c2,055$831 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$831.1760349.9%301 W · 302 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Tundra Esports36c2,000$727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$726.791,16447.2%549 W · 615 L-29.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2146…d41bbacked Tundra Esports18c1,941$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35089741.5%372 W · 525 L+22.7wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Tundra Esports41c1,930$801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800.9429143.6%127 W · 164 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2761…4d95backed Tundra Esports42c1,876$788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$787.9744645.7%204 W · 242 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26d6…56efbacked Tundra Esports42c1,850$777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77756542.8%242 W · 323 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb665…ed24backed Tundra Esports33c1,801$602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601.558540%34 W · 51 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed PARIVISION59c1,788$1,057 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$730.8637832.5%123 W · 255 L-12.7wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-35.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x08cf…22b9backed PARIVISION59c1,766$1,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$719.3653758.8%316 W · 221 L+0.2wins0.00per pick59cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa97f…a818backed Tundra Esports47c1,750$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82058744%258 W · 329 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Tundra Esports41c1,750$717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$717.4981029.4%238 W · 572 L-23.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Tundra Esports42c1,725$728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$728.4256548%271 W · 294 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8756…3c83backed PARIVISION53c1,698$906 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$792.593545.7%16 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6239…1d79backed PARIVISION59c1,697$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$698.326160.7%37 W · 24 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x03a2…7e3ebacked PARIVISION80c1,576$1,261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.1712248.4%59 W · 63 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13c7…11d9backed PARIVISION57c1,535$879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$656.6833541.2%138 W · 197 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2662…3f84backed PARIVISION65c1,529$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.6514562.1%90 W · 55 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b4a…8060backed Tundra Esports9c1,500$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1403514.3%5 W · 30 L-3.7wins-0.10per pick25cpaid-56.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Tundra Esports41c1,453$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60048539.2%190 W · 295 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32e3…3a5cbacked PARIVISION66c1,392$922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.6212146.3%56 W · 65 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-18.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc1c4…bbfbbacked PARIVISION80c1,358$1,086 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.614158.5%24 W · 17 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xef70…eb8dbacked Tundra Esports44c1,288$567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566.9360%0 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x5c93…2079backed Tundra Esports43c1,264$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538.953562.9%22 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Tundra Esports42c1,261$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.3712536%45 W · 80 L-11.6wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-23.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa35c…a113backed Tundra Esports40c1,242$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.9961745.7%282 W · 335 L-12.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8aa6…83f9backed Tundra Esports37c1,217$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.7320145.3%91 W · 110 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed PARIVISION57c1,165$661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.17152.1%37 W · 34 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe807…307cbacked PARIVISION56c1,145$645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.16475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+35.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ee5…e798backed Tundra Esports40c1,138$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45572035.1%253 W · 467 L-24.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3865…fcbebacked Tundra Esports42c1,132$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.424654.3%25 W · 21 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked Tundra Esports43c1,111$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.7336851.6%190 W · 178 L+25.7wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+16.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5839…3fa8backed Tundra Esports44c1,079$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4796758.2%39 W · 28 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfee…ed1fbacked Tundra Esports37c1,048$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.4510618.9%20 W · 86 L-14.0wins-0.13per pick32cpaid-52%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x3c1e…9514backed PARIVISION58c1,028$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.5286451.7%447 W · 417 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Tundra Esports41c1,024$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.991,90147.6%905 W · 996 L+4.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Tundra Esports41c1,000$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41089440.3%360 W · 534 L+1.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed PARIVISION79c1,000$795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20580443.9%353 W · 451 L-1.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe361…ae44backed Tundra Esports42c1,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42031547.6%150 W · 165 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fbc…f944backed PARIVISION71c999.99$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29020767.1%139 W · 68 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x89bd…cc95backed Tundra Esports41c991.5$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.593844.7%17 W · 21 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.