Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Sentinels - Map 2 Winner

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x028a4e23c291db350022503c053752714851cfed69fc214169644c9f3efbc8c4

Rebuilt 17 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Sentinelsof FURIA Esports, Sentinels
Resolved: May 3, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $44,308
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $50,288

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,308 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Valorant
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xee8e…0a7bbacked Sentinels	48c	20,424$9,782 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,642.21	781	62%484 W · 297 L	+16.8wins	+0.02per pick	60cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x880b…c98bbacked FURIA Esports	45c	18,549$8,355 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,355.22	266	50.8%135 W · 131 L	+7.0wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed FURIA Esports	55c	3,200$1,758 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,758	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-1.5wins	-0.11per pick	50cpaid	-27%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xba38…e406backed FURIA Esports	52c	2,886$1,501 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500.93	547	51.2%280 W · 267 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked FURIA Esports	53c	2,655$1,420 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,420	287	47.4%136 W · 151 L	+9.1wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Sentinels	52c	1,843$967 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$876.66	655	59.4%389 W · 266 L	+50.5wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x77f6…dbd1backed Sentinels	48c	1,759$844 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$914.95	31	41.9%13 W · 18 L	-1.5wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Sentinels	45c	1,519$678 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$841.24	531	59.1%314 W · 217 L	+41.6wins	+0.08per pick	51cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Sentinels	45c	1,249$560 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$688.81	684	58.3%399 W · 285 L	+56.5wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x681b…3d79backed Sentinels	48c	1,016$488 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$528.24	63	39.7%25 W · 38 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed Sentinels	47c	1,002$471 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$531.06	563	57.9%326 W · 237 L	+36.3wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0ec0…5ff3backed FURIA Esports	56c	893.3$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-2.3wins	-0.32per pick	47cpaid	-79.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked FURIA Esports	53c	812$430 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$430.36	533	55.3%295 W · 238 L	+24.0wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	-2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5aa4…16e3backed FURIA Esports	54c	701.62$379 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$379.17	72	52.8%38 W · 34 L	+5.4wins	+0.07per pick	45cpaid	+16.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Sentinels	77c	400$308 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92	785	62.8%493 W · 292 L	+56.2wins	+0.07per pick	56cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3e51…71d4backed FURIA Esports	47c	391.17$183 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$183	96	54.2%52 W · 44 L	+2.8wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0b0…ab95backed FURIA Esports	53c	388.96$206 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$206.15	22	50%11 W · 11 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked FURIA Esports	53c	375.09$199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198.8	689	49.5%341 W · 348 L	+15.4wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Sentinels	59c	366.57$218 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$148.86	521	55.5%289 W · 232 L	-11.1wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3304…8313backed Sentinels	62c	323.81$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$123.81	67	55.2%37 W · 30 L	-2.8wins	-0.04per pick	59cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4031…92c8backed Sentinels	47c	299.98$141 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$158.99	146	45.2%66 W · 80 L	-4.9wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-14%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked FURIA Esports	54c	297$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159.14	331	53.5%177 W · 154 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xba58…6d74backed FURIA Esports	43c	255$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.92	255	55.7%142 W · 113 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed Sentinels	47c	212.77$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112.77	102	25.5%26 W · 76 L	-10.8wins	-0.11per pick	36cpaid	-37.4%equal weight	41-0.09 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked FURIA Esports	34c	207.39$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.13	450	33.8%152 W · 298 L	-35.6wins	-0.08per pick	42cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked FURIA Esports	53c	200.25$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.13	1,376	47.1%648 W · 728 L	+10.6wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b60…5c4ebacked Sentinels	46c	200$92 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108	103	33%34 W · 69 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Sentinels	46c	188.73$87 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102.16	129	51.2%66 W · 63 L	+7.8wins	+0.06per pick	45cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xce39…04d6backed FURIA Esports	53c	188.68$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	27	33.3%9 W · 18 L	-5.2wins	-0.19per pick	53cpaid	-37.9%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed FURIA Esports	50c	173.44$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.66	452	50%226 W · 226 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31db…c25fbacked Sentinels	61c	156.89$95 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.89	40	70%28 W · 12 L	+2.4wins	+0.06per pick	64cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b74…cbaebacked Sentinels	48c	125.61$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.78	73	65.8%48 W · 25 L	+4.0wins	+0.05per pick	60cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb0f…8175backed FURIA Esports	54c	120.37$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	64	53.1%34 W · 30 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed FURIA Esports	42c	118.82$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.4	1,746	46.2%806 W · 940 L	-3.2wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked FURIA Esports	46c	117.5$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.85	1,309	43.8%573 W · 736 L	-44.5wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Sentinels	77c	113.25$87 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.16	322	61.5%198 W · 124 L	+24.5wins	+0.08per pick	54cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb934…d9babacked Sentinels	50c	100$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	30	53.3%16 W · 14 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed FURIA Esports	29c	95.19$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.02	575	17.7%102 W · 473 L	-71.7wins	-0.12per pick	30cpaid	-42.2%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0x8c5d…d5dfbacked FURIA Esports	53c	94.34$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	63	55.6%35 W · 28 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked FURIA Esports	31c	92$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.52	943	61.2%577 W · 366 L	+58.2wins	+0.06per pick	55cpaid	+3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed FURIA Esports	46c	84.98$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.06	636	52.7%335 W · 301 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed FURIA Esports	45c	84.79$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.04	409	44.3%181 W · 228 L	-6.0wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2460…e144backed FURIA Esports	49c	77.55$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38	281	51.6%145 W · 136 L	-10.4wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ca3…be8ebacked FURIA Esports	54c	74.07$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	12	50%6 W · 6 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f23…e2c8backed Sentinels	69c	70$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.7	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	-1.5wins	-0.16per pick	72cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb885…e677backed Sentinels	58c	69.37$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.37	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-33.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x87c0…244ebacked FURIA Esports	55c	69.09$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38	83	43.4%36 W · 47 L	-2.3wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e5e…0381backed Sentinels	46c	61.26$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.26	58	55.2%32 W · 26 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	58cpaid	-9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3eb6…bddfbacked Sentinels	48c	52.08$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.08	31	54.8%17 W · 14 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	58cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed FURIA Esports	54c	48.82$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.36	1,490	46.6%695 W · 795 L	-16.1wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-12%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3169…6dccbacked FURIA Esports	54c	46.3$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	34	61.8%21 W · 13 L	+3.2wins	+0.09per pick	52cpaid	+27.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x34f9…12ebbacked Sentinels	47c	42.21$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.37	212	40.1%85 W · 127 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c8e…5610backed FURIA Esports	53c	41.38$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.93	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.34per pick	34cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbd3c…fc78backed Sentinels	61c	40.94$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.94	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-1.6wins	-0.11per pick	54cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked FURIA Esports	53c	40.36$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.39	219	51.6%113 W · 106 L	-16.1wins	-0.07per pick	59cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x586e…2430backed FURIA Esports	51c	39.35$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.89	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+15.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb091…67cbbacked FURIA Esports	53c	37.74$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	21	38.1%8 W · 13 L	-2.0wins	-0.09per pick	48cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe7e1…fbc8backed Sentinels	47c	36.17$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.17	20	50%10 W · 10 L	-2.8wins	-0.14per pick	64cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5f59…bd2dbacked Sentinels	76c	32.89$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.89	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed FURIA Esports	39c	32.74$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.77	291	51.5%150 W · 141 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe61b…9212backed FURIA Esports	56c	30.36$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	12	50%6 W · 6 L	-1.3wins	-0.11per pick	61cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7253…5fa2backed Sentinels	46c	27.21$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.61	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17d8…0023backed Sentinels	46c	22.47$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.15	20	65%13 W · 7 L	+3.3wins	+0.17per pick	48cpaid	+30.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8ea9…5b98backed Sentinels	50c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Sentinels - Map 2 Winnerthis page
Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Map Handicap: FUR (-1.5) vs Sentinels (+1.5)Sentinels won
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Sentinels (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group OmegaFURIA Esports won
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Sentinels - Map 1 WinnerFURIA Esports won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Sentinels - Map 2 Winner

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event