Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Sentinels - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x265ae0a35b793389809e2d6a33addf6d0998cceb6e72139876a500e6724d2534
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FURIA Esportsof FURIA Esports, Sentinels
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,067
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,863
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,067 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0ec0…5ff3backed Sentinels | 20c | 995.63$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.32per pick | 47cpaid | -79.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked FURIA Esports | 73c | 753.21$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.07 | 655 | 59.4%389 W · 266 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked FURIA Esports | 70c | 595.14$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.99 | 689 | 49.5%341 W · 348 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x681b…3d79backed Sentinels | 15c | 501.29$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.19 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Sentinels | 27c | 491.79$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.21 | 779 | 29.5%230 W · 549 L | -72.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed FURIA Esports | 71c | 445.44$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.01 | 531 | 59.1%314 W · 217 L | +41.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2460…e144backed FURIA Esports | 58c | 344.01$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.01 | 281 | 51.6%145 W · 136 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1552…2735backed Sentinels | 42c | 317.54$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -46%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Sentinels | 30c | 316.42$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.48 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Sentinels | 32c | 281.37$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.61 | 353 | 31.2%110 W · 243 L | -29.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3e51…71d4backed FURIA Esports | 56c | 269$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119 | 96 | 54.2%52 W · 44 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce8…fc49backed Sentinels | 35c | 214.29$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked FURIA Esports | 73c | 210.8$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.59 | 450 | 33.8%152 W · 298 L | -35.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe132…abf3backed Sentinels | 35c | 198.09$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.27 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked FURIA Esports | 80c | 179.05$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.81 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…12ebbacked Sentinels | 23c | 170.91$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.31 | 212 | 40.1%85 W · 127 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc400…21a7backed FURIA Esports | 62c | 158.55$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.53 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba38…e406backed FURIA Esports | 56c | 153.54$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.6 | 547 | 51.2%280 W · 267 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Sentinels | 24c | 117.33$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.16 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked FURIA Esports | 70c | 113.48$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.62 | 533 | 55.3%295 W · 238 L | +24.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…b497backed Sentinels | 45c | 112$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Sentinels | 43c | 110$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 264 | 50%132 W · 132 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…05aebacked Sentinels | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b60…5c4ebacked Sentinels | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 103 | 33%34 W · 69 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Sentinels | 18c | 90$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 998 | 46%459 W · 539 L | -27.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…85f9backed Sentinels | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 428 | 40%171 W · 257 L | -22.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed FURIA Esports | 73c | 89$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 291 | 51.5%150 W · 141 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5e…0381backed FURIA Esports | 76c | 78.65$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.65 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked FURIA Esports | 75c | 73.37$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.62 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Sentinels | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 231 | 46.8%108 W · 123 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed FURIA Esports | 62c | 43$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 563 | 57.9%326 W · 237 L | +36.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1445…614abacked FURIA Esports | 76c | 37.09$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked FURIA Esports | 65c | 30.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.62 | 684 | 58.3%399 W · 285 L | +56.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Sentinels | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 305 | 44.3%135 W · 170 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4031…92c8backed FURIA Esports | 67c | 29.09$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed FURIA Esports | 76c | 13.67$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.22 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Sentinels - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: FUR (-1.5) vs Sentinels (+1.5)Sentinels won
- Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Sentinels (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group OmegaFURIA Esports won
- Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Sentinels - Map 2 WinnerSentinels won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.