TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: BNK FEARX vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Gen.Gof BNK FEARX, Gen.G
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$557,971
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$687,879

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $557,971 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 289 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3b4c…e850backed BNK FEARX0c50,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502010%2 W · 18 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick6cpaid-74.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed BNK FEARX19c33,406$6,412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,411.671,59253.7%855 W · 737 L+57.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed BNK FEARX20c24,943$5,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,040.231,20054.1%649 W · 551 L+28.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3af1…d739backed Gen.G78c24,753$19,208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,545.451146.8%239 W · 272 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd995…2b51backed BNK FEARX6c19,856$1,186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,186.3619122.5%43 W · 148 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick20cpaid-22.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed BNK FEARX16c17,768$2,897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,896.991,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked BNK FEARX21c14,021$2,925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,925.0770456.4%397 W · 307 L+39.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x183f…85e3backed BNK FEARX23c9,213$2,119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,118.941,09153.8%587 W · 504 L+38.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked BNK FEARX17c7,574$1,288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,287.521,48550.1%744 W · 741 L+67.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed BNK FEARX20c7,461$1,473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,473.081,94048.1%934 W · 1,006 L+22.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbca8…cf14backed BNK FEARX23c6,573$1,512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,511.691,00354%542 W · 461 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed BNK FEARX23c6,090$1,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,370.431,06747%502 W · 565 L+3.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed BNK FEARX22c6,000$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,319.9982352.7%434 W · 389 L+41.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6842…20d0backed BNK FEARX32c6,000$1,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,919.971,01147.1%476 W · 535 L+21.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9867…ea53backed BNK FEARX22c5,883$1,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,289.9813752.6%72 W · 65 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+17.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed BNK FEARX23c5,750$1,323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,322.51,15649.1%568 W · 588 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fc3…6c57backed Gen.G79c5,650$4,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,189.494963.3%31 W · 18 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+14.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6bac…6fb7backed BNK FEARX18c5,600$1,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00818633.3%62 W · 124 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee7c…70f2backed BNK FEARX13c4,902$623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$622.6348533.6%163 W · 322 L+23.8wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+4.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed BNK FEARX22c4,564$1,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,004.021,30555.9%729 W · 576 L+44.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3d2…fe85backed BNK FEARX35c4,533$1,579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,578.5315543.9%68 W · 87 L+0.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd27c…c081backed Gen.G80c4,484$3,577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$907.3518971.4%135 W · 54 L+11.1wins+0.06per pick66cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed BNK FEARX13c4,107$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.831,25838.6%485 W · 773 L-61.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe361…ae44backed Gen.G68c3,837$2,618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,218.8889347%420 W · 473 L+44.2wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-7.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdfa8…cae6backed BNK FEARX24c3,800$912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$911.582953.4%443 W · 386 L-3.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b4a…3b84backed BNK FEARX16c3,600$565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56541439.6%164 W · 250 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed Gen.G76c3,584$2,741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$842.9632939.8%131 W · 198 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb589…91e3backed BNK FEARX32c3,266$1,048 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,047.8351348%246 W · 267 L+25.2wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe80e…a4c5backed Gen.G77c3,028$2,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$702.7718442.4%78 W · 106 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-25.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x55d9…832cbacked Gen.G79c3,026$2,390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$635.9830945.3%140 W · 169 L+1.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc6f…f0f0backed Gen.G76c3,008$2,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$707.5829846.6%139 W · 159 L-19.7wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed BNK FEARX23c2,880$662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$662.4649847.2%235 W · 263 L-14.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f84…202ebacked BNK FEARX22c2,809$628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$628.4295847.6%456 W · 502 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed BNK FEARX18c2,734$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.0144451.8%230 W · 214 L+9.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xece6…c4bfbacked BNK FEARX17c2,670$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.92540%10 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed BNK FEARX20c2,593$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.8576142%320 W · 441 L-23.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37bd…2a26backed BNK FEARX23c2,500$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57564553.3%344 W · 301 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb234…1c20backed Gen.G77c2,500$1,925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57530845.1%139 W · 169 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf29…da00backed BNK FEARX23c2,274$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.6621948.4%106 W · 113 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba50…ad0bbacked BNK FEARX22c2,082$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.581,18548.1%570 W · 615 L-2.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Gen.G67c2,035$1,357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$677.162,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x590c…f0debacked BNK FEARX11c2,029$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.230%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1887…f75dbacked Gen.G70c2,017$1,413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$604.3712945.7%59 W · 70 L-12.8wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-25%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa14c…23a1backed BNK FEARX23c2,006$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.3858850.5%297 W · 291 L-12.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x000e…f7e9backed BNK FEARX17c2,000$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34089943.4%390 W · 509 L+22.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1e7…8a71backed BNK FEARX14c1,899$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26047933.6%161 W · 318 L-10.7wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked BNK FEARX18c1,827$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.091,59234%541 W · 1,051 L-79.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-32.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed BNK FEARX18c1,713$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.171,20743.5%525 W · 682 L-14.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Gen.G79c1,532$1,209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.6785442.7%365 W · 489 L-14.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed Gen.G67c1,500$1,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4951,43557.4%824 W · 611 L+36.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Gen.G77c1,400$1,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3222,49547.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Gen.G76c1,397$1,061 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.11,59842.4%677 W · 921 L-17.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Gen.G73c1,332$967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.251,67157.9%968 W · 703 L+70.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3cf5…8483backed Gen.G78c1,282$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.0517961.5%110 W · 69 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked BNK FEARX23c1,250$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.52,00458.2%1,166 W · 838 L+86.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2269…6233backed Gen.G79c1,200$944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.525065.6%164 W · 86 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fbc…f944backed Gen.G78c1,200$938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.546263.9%295 W · 167 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdec9…b8abbacked BNK FEARX22c1,137$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25433153.2%176 W · 155 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x97ea…3363backed Gen.G79c1,111$878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.3116058.8%94 W · 66 L+11.8wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+23.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0650…865cbacked BNK FEARX17c1,099$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.811442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e32…ab65backed BNK FEARX18c1,082$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.752,15653.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x22c7…3e23backed BNK FEARX18c1,021$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18710736.4%39 W · 68 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9a9…3ba9backed Gen.G74c1,000$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26533845.3%153 W · 185 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fd1…bfe8backed BNK FEARX27c1,000$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27055639.6%220 W · 336 L+32.2wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+5.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3a0f…732abacked BNK FEARX12c1,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12013441.8%56 W · 78 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x024c…5fa1backed BNK FEARX12c999.97$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201,20835.8%432 W · 776 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6bb…c0aabacked BNK FEARX33c993.94$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.1233058.5%193 W · 137 L-12.9wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe843…0699backed BNK FEARX8c984.98$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.815632.7%51 W · 105 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+19.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea58…930fbacked Gen.G77c900$693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2071,21644.4%540 W · 676 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c73…6dafbacked Gen.G78c896.53$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.5352065.4%340 W · 180 L-14.5wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Gen.G66c893.91$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.9351044.1%225 W · 285 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9de…7310backed BNK FEARX17c890$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.31650%8 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4c2…1e3abacked Gen.G77c858.64$661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.493369.7%23 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed BNK FEARX22c850$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1872,36232%755 W · 1,607 L+42.0wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed BNK FEARX21c850$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.51,15645.1%521 W · 635 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2987…bfe9backed Gen.G78c784.74$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.647162%44 W · 27 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-2.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2903…9203backed Gen.G77c767.54$591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.5339055.4%216 W · 174 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68a6…e96bbacked Gen.G78c750$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1651,21848.7%593 W · 625 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Gen.G79c705.27$557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.1160347.9%289 W · 314 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Gen.G75c702.6$529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.151,92242.2%811 W · 1,111 L-45.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7771…009fbacked BNK FEARX23c699.99$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1611,00748.2%485 W · 522 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Gen.G78c699.97$547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.991,24242.6%529 W · 713 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked BNK FEARX12c691.84$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.542,34140.3%943 W · 1,398 L-61.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed BNK FEARX17c690.24$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.7586144.1%380 W · 481 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x307d…9163backed Gen.G77c647.08$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.831,18352%615 W · 568 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7ee…fe5dbacked Gen.G78c641.03$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.0335353.5%189 W · 164 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Gen.G74c635.1$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.1395041.6%395 W · 555 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7553…65cabacked BNK FEARX22c630.99$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.8267250.9%342 W · 330 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d93…b34dbacked Gen.G77c624.62$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.6250155.3%277 W · 224 L-21.6wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-7.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Gen.G78c600$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1321,59946.8%748 W · 851 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked BNK FEARX16c586.94$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.541,00342.5%426 W · 577 L-24.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d86…a6f9backed BNK FEARX24c583.33$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14027432.5%89 W · 185 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c47…7a9fbacked BNK FEARX23c579.63$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.3129940.1%120 W · 179 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2cb3…6d0bbacked Gen.G67c578.81$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.81666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ee8…b7b6backed BNK FEARX18c555.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010347.6%49 W · 54 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc397…bb3bbacked Gen.G76c527.78$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.781,66359.5%990 W · 673 L+98.5wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed BNK FEARX24c523.14$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.181,31037.3%489 W · 821 L-86.3wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-26.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x02f0…c55dbacked BNK FEARX17c517.69$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9011330.1%34 W · 79 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60cd…93f5backed Gen.G78c512.82$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.8223672%170 W · 66 L+11.1wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb003…d62dbacked BNK FEARX34c500$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.128243.9%36 W · 46 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+24.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.