Lol · resolved market
Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 2?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5a6ba4140ad9c70b4bb2608582d43273f6a9de795902253c547bbe659dec3225
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,628
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,046
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,628 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Over | 53c | 14,251$7,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,517.33 | 1,522 | 54.7%832 W · 690 L | +37.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Under | 47c | 13,431$6,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,064.18 | 1,320 | 38.6%510 W · 810 L | -66.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Under | 48c | 3,244$1,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,699.29 | 548 | 29.6%162 W · 386 L | -36.3wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Over | 52c | 2,783$1,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,446.9 | 1,502 | 50.3%756 W · 746 L | +71.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…e4f6backed Over | 53c | 2,043$1,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,083.99 | 109 | 39.4%43 W · 66 L | -13.4wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x66ea…6791backed Under | 48c | 1,750$834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915.65 | 226 | 44.2%100 W · 126 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa500…39d1backed Over | 53c | 999.99$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 125 | 48.8%61 W · 64 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3449…4030backed Under | 47c | 952.19$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.01 | 215 | 40%86 W · 129 L | -12.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbf…4605backed Under | 46c | 910$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.4 | 260 | 42.3%110 W · 150 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88db…54a4backed Under | 46c | 630.43$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.43 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 53c | 600$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316 | 1,802 | 51.2%923 W · 879 L | +53.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3090…be73backed Under | 47c | 579.93$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.39 | 148 | 51.4%76 W · 72 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Over | 53c | 480.6$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.72 | 444 | 51.8%230 W · 214 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd28…dbf0backed Under | 46c | 303.17$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.71 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab2a…30edbacked Over | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 123 | 47.2%58 W · 65 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Over | 54c | 131.62$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.07 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7210…4bb5backed Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 124 | 46.8%58 W · 66 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Under | 47c | 84$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 452 | 44.5%201 W · 251 L | -30.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf095…58c6backed Over | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 320 | 50%160 W · 160 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Under | 47c | 72.47$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.41 | 1,399 | 44.9%628 W · 771 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Over | 53c | 65.74$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.84 | 320 | 53.8%172 W · 148 L | +21.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Under | 44c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 629 | 49.9%314 W · 315 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…cca4backed Over | 53c | 55.65$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.49 | 375 | 48%180 W · 195 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 751 | 42.1%316 W · 435 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e71…57a3backed Over | 53c | 40.49$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.46 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 2?this page
- Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs BNK FEARX (+1.5)Gen.G won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: BNK FEARX vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2Gen.G won
- LoL: BNK FEARX vs Gen.G - Game 1 WinnerGen.G won
- LoL: BNK FEARX vs Gen.G - Game 2 WinnerGen.G won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.