CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Passion UA - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x97566f28c383108e8a3abb9d536f184296abbe9306ace61e2c7856a2c421176f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Natus Vincereof Natus Vincere, Passion UA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $321,134
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $352,557
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $321,134 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 285 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Natus Vincere | 51c | 21,500$10,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,521.62 | 500 | 54.4%272 W · 228 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Passion UA | 43c | 17,294$7,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,389.81 | 598 | 39.6%237 W · 361 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x611a…e171backed Natus Vincere | 58c | 10,000$5,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,200 | 174 | 60.3%105 W · 69 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Passion UA | 41c | 6,764$2,763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,762.66 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Passion UA | 40c | 6,352$2,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,531.31 | 818 | 43.2%353 W · 465 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Passion UA | 38c | 6,042$2,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,304.38 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…c98bbacked Passion UA | 21c | 6,010$1,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,263.63 | 410 | 40%164 W · 246 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Passion UA | 37c | 5,719$2,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,103.72 | 887 | 46.7%414 W · 473 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Passion UA | 18c | 5,495$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.36 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Natus Vincere | 26c | 3,637$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,706.78 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Passion UA | 68c | 3,612$2,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,472.53 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c2…eef4backed Natus Vincere | 67c | 3,325$2,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,093.23 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Natus Vincere | 79c | 3,202$2,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.31 | 449 | 57.5%258 W · 191 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Natus Vincere | 77c | 2,918$2,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.32 | 760 | 58%441 W · 319 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 2,820$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320.08 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Passion UA | 53c | 2,563$1,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,356.54 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Passion UA | 39c | 2,447$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.39 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Passion UA | 48c | 2,411$1,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,148.23 | 870 | 47.9%417 W · 453 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Passion UA | 41c | 2,263$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924.55 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e62…f6ffbacked Passion UA | 42c | 2,200$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$923.51 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb6…50fcbacked Passion UA | 22c | 2,153$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.72 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed Natus Vincere | 36c | 2,075$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,330.63 | 456 | 46.9%214 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ca…6a8bbacked Natus Vincere | 36c | 2,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,279.99 | 752 | 45.5%342 W · 410 L | -21.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…a8cfbacked Passion UA | 75c | 1,991$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 250 | 70.8%177 W · 73 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Passion UA | 65c | 1,903$1,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,239.04 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Natus Vincere | 80c | 1,800$1,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362 | 648 | 52%337 W · 311 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac4…7310backed Passion UA | 73c | 1,787$1,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,308.29 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Passion UA | 58c | 1,747$1,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,017.7 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Passion UA | 39c | 1,740$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.31 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Passion UA | 65c | 1,685$1,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,096.57 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc96…d916backed Passion UA | 23c | 1,607$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.71 | 103 | 33%34 W · 69 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab1…9678backed Natus Vincere | 74c | 1,500$1,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.5 | 97 | 60.8%59 W · 38 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d03…100ebacked Natus Vincere | 69c | 1,492$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.29 | 410 | 69.3%284 W · 126 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde8f…2c72backed Natus Vincere | 49c | 1,467$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.57 | 280 | 56.4%158 W · 122 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf52e…54fcbacked Natus Vincere | 67c | 1,318$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.13 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed Natus Vincere | 78c | 1,278$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.99 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c93…33d5backed Natus Vincere | 34c | 1,250$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825 | 484 | 37.6%182 W · 302 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +42%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Natus Vincere | 78c | 1,200$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 512 | 52.3%268 W · 244 L | +16.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10ec…511dbacked Natus Vincere | 73c | 1,161$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.23 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Natus Vincere | 46c | 1,040$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.93 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Passion UA | 19c | 1,026$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.89 | 232 | 43.5%101 W · 131 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f1…fee6backed Natus Vincere | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 160 | 51.3%82 W · 78 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Passion UA | 20c | 1,000$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.33 | 558 | 43.5%243 W · 315 L | -16.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…3c9cbacked Natus Vincere | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770 | 286 | 57.7%165 W · 121 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Passion UA | 20c | 999.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Passion UA | 66c | 960$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.16 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Natus Vincere | 30c | 901.23$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.62 | 401 | 40.6%163 W · 238 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Natus Vincere | 22c | 895.42$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.42 | 535 | 45%241 W · 294 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Passion UA | 20c | 888$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.6 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…284ebacked Passion UA | 57c | 858.72$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.71 | 209 | 35.4%74 W · 135 L | -21.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…9867backed Natus Vincere | 21c | 849.99$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.49 | 587 | 55.9%328 W · 259 L | +24.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked Natus Vincere | 37c | 845.43$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.62 | 264 | 38.6%102 W · 162 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9227…7cedbacked Natus Vincere | 60c | 826.67$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.81 | 398 | 47.7%190 W · 208 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Passion UA | 23c | 813.9$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.03 | 84 | 19%16 W · 68 L | -9.5wins | -0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed Passion UA | 14c | 800.01$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 316 | 42.1%133 W · 183 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x642c…21a7backed Natus Vincere | 23c | 800$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.04 | 202 | 51%103 W · 99 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Natus Vincere | 37c | 790.85$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.71 | 188 | 37.2%70 W · 118 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x312a…66b8backed Natus Vincere | 66c | 779.98$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.29 | 103 | 44.7%46 W · 57 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77f6…dbd1backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 751.06$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.06 | 172 | 40.7%70 W · 102 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86f8…1655backed Passion UA | 7c | 750$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.61 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Natus Vincere | 51c | 746.78$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.45 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Passion UA | 73c | 736.46$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.24 | 275 | 49.5%136 W · 139 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2269…6233backed Natus Vincere | 67c | 733.22$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.77 | 143 | 63.6%91 W · 52 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1982…bc7bbacked Natus Vincere | 41c | 725.17$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.96 | 318 | 45.3%144 W · 174 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41bb…26e8backed Passion UA | 31c | 721.75$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.24 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Passion UA | 71c | 704.85$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.94 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…8e51backed Passion UA | 32c | 700$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.86 | 417 | 16.5%69 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Passion UA | 19c | 699.77$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.18 | 172 | 30.8%53 W · 119 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Passion UA | 80c | 689.51$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.35 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91e8…f1abbacked Passion UA | 80c | 633.08$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.18 | 186 | 54.8%102 W · 84 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed Passion UA | 70c | 630.3$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.45 | 227 | 61.7%140 W · 87 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Passion UA | 55c | 606.93$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.12 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed Passion UA | 75c | 605.06$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.8 | 284 | 53.5%152 W · 132 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed Passion UA | 22c | 600$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 449 | 39.2%176 W · 273 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e69…7f76backed Natus Vincere | 46c | 600$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.26 | 323 | 46.1%149 W · 174 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f79…abbbbacked Natus Vincere | 25c | 597.29$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.68 | 70 | 18.6%13 W · 57 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Passion UA | 60c | 586.11$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.62 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…16e3backed Passion UA | 24c | 552.77$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 765 | 46.7%357 W · 408 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…5fa2backed Passion UA | 42c | 533.59$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.01 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…db99backed Passion UA | 29c | 517.24$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 117 | 40.2%47 W · 70 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Natus Vincere | 78c | 500$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 157 | 40.8%64 W · 93 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8227…0bccbacked Natus Vincere | 32c | 500$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0e…1461backed Natus Vincere | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…60e9backed Passion UA | 46c | 484.93$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.07 | 550 | 43.1%237 W · 313 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed Natus Vincere | 56c | 446.64$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.64 | 500 | 50.6%253 W · 247 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe41f…d9dcbacked Natus Vincere | 46c | 437.04$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.04 | 656 | 50.3%330 W · 326 L | -15.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb46…3692backed Natus Vincere | 69c | 428$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.68 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb378…e4c0backed Passion UA | 4c | 400$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 383 | 12.8%49 W · 334 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04a7…164bbacked Passion UA | 68c | 399.99$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.99 | 334 | 59%197 W · 137 L | +24.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe6f…b760backed Passion UA | 15c | 396.09$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 316 | 47.5%150 W · 166 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked Passion UA | 47c | 390.09$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.87 | 483 | 19%92 W · 391 L | -65.4wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Natus Vincere | 27c | 389$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.89 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2c23backed Natus Vincere | 52c | 383.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.83 | 299 | 34.4%103 W · 196 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Natus Vincere | 75c | 383.28$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.65 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked Natus Vincere | 20c | 370$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296 | 432 | 37.7%163 W · 269 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…b9e7backed Passion UA | 67c | 363.58$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.6 | 348 | 48.3%168 W · 180 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Natus Vincere | 13c | 352.27$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.77 | 435 | 44.6%194 W · 241 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Natus Vincere | 45c | 351.11$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.11 | 474 | 47.5%225 W · 249 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Natus Vincere | 40c | 321.52$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.36 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebf8…7d2bbacked Natus Vincere | 26c | 318.71$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.38 | 153 | 55.6%85 W · 68 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Passion UA - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Passion UA (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group BNatus Vincere won
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Passion UA - Map 2 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Passion UA (+1.5)Natus Vincere won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.