CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb2778c3829d6cd1b444d6f4d496f813575bbaac2d5d0556fa14c3aa302a24864
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,693
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,562
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,693 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Under | 71c | 2,799$1,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.5 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb6…50fcbacked Over | 30c | 1,523$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.01 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Over | 28c | 1,312$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.35 | 1,089 | 50.9%554 W · 535 L | +38.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 29c | 1,300$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383 | 815 | 44.4%362 W · 453 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Under | 70c | 759.99$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.81 | 653 | 51.9%339 W · 314 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Over | 30c | 538.03$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.41 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Under | 43c | 429.12$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.38 | 529 | 51.4%272 W · 257 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 71c | 331.48$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.33 | 2,645 | 51.9%1,372 W · 1,273 L | +21.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Under | 70c | 330$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 100 | 62%62 W · 38 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Over | 57c | 313.71$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.61 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e0…457fbacked Under | 72c | 250$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Over | 28c | 236.43$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.2 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Over | 27c | 229.39$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.38 | 174 | 31%54 W · 120 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -32%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba5…01d2backed Over | 30c | 220.96$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.29 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1237…06afbacked Over | 30c | 220.95$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.29 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +87.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under | 71c | 204.64$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.35 | 2,030 | 53.7%1,091 W · 939 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…2075backed Over | 29c | 191.83$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.37 | 455 | 44.4%202 W · 253 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Over | 29c | 186.21$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 547 | 43.7%239 W · 308 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e83…a620backed Over | 56c | 172.54$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.01 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Over | 28c | 168.54$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.19 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d72…a791backed Under | 68c | 152.88$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.92 | 169 | 54.4%92 W · 77 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Under | 51c | 150.82$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.15 | 2,223 | 47.5%1,056 W · 1,167 L | -5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 29c | 149.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.25 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -8.2wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaf29…834cbacked Under | 75c | 133.01$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.01 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c71…c0e5backed Over | 30c | 105.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 373 | 46.1%172 W · 201 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Under | 51c | 105.92$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.05 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Over | 31c | 105.18$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.61 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed Over | 12c | 99.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 368 | 45.1%166 W · 202 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b3…4756backed Under | 61c | 97.44$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.07 | 96 | 34.4%33 W · 63 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 50c | 90.97$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.2 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…559abacked Under | 71c | 81$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 135 | 56.3%76 W · 59 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Under | 70c | 75.3$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.59 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked Over | 28c | 74.84$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.24 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27cf…979abacked Under | 70c | 71.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 117 | 40.2%47 W · 70 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e45…39dabacked Under | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3146…d153backed Under | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc803…7327backed Over | 56c | 69.42$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.62 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a37…4daebacked Over | 27c | 68.01$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 126 | 42.9%54 W · 72 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Under | 74c | 61$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.86 | 279 | 54.5%152 W · 127 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Under | 77c | 60.8$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 1,548 | 33.9%524 W · 1,024 L | -73.9wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Over | 29c | 58.3$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.91 | 287 | 38%109 W · 178 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Over | 26c | 58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 892 | 48%428 W · 464 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 70c | 57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | +7.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Over | 37c | 57$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.09 | 205 | 53.2%109 W · 96 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbced…5808backed Under | 72c | 55$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 141 | 55.3%78 W · 63 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Over | 69c | 50.83$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 253 | 52.2%132 W · 121 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa889…ebcdbacked Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 192 | 56.8%109 W · 83 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a35…6fe0backed Over | 27c | 46.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 31c | 43.83$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.24 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01e2…0ae9backed Under | 47c | 42.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.68 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ebd…6dc0backed Under | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 137 | 67.9%93 W · 44 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3baa…96f4backed Under | 72c | 41$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.48 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 52c | 37.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.51 | 1,790 | 59.2%1,060 W · 730 L | +106.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5c…e5aabacked Under | 72c | 34.62$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.62 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab3e…8869backed Under | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 154 | 60.4%93 W · 61 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe42f…39c1backed Under | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 69c | 28.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.86 | 388 | 48.5%188 W · 200 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc187…7ac1backed Under | 72c | 26.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Over | 59c | 26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.34 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6700…67c4backed Under | 70c | 22.63$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.79 | 153 | 51.6%79 W · 74 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58f1…7032backed Under | 70c | 22.63$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.79 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Over | 54c | 20.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 3,236 | 51.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L | +88.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb45f…da16backed Under | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 128 | 56.3%72 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Under | 71c | 19.92$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.74 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdd…0ecdbacked Under | 70c | 17.14$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.14 | 329 | 56.8%187 W · 142 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 66c | 17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 815 | 51.7%421 W · 394 L | +26.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf8…4d13backed Under | 70c | 15.66$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.66 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 71c | 15.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.51 | 3,544 | 29.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L | -289.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 79c | 13.91$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.86 | 2,798 | 37.6%1,051 W · 1,747 L | -138.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Passion UA (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group BNatus Vincere won
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Passion UA - Map 1 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Passion UA - Map 2 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Passion UA (+1.5)Natus Vincere won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.