TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Passion UA (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Natus Vincereof Natus Vincere, Passion UA
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$117,118
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$122,460

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $117,118 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 153 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x67bb…b6efbacked Natus Vincere67c27,500$18,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,16076058%441 W · 319 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Natus Vincere71c23,500$16,667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,833.4250054.4%272 W · 228 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Passion UA32c15,331$4,923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,923.322049.1%108 W · 112 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac47…d234backed Passion UA34c13,995$4,758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,758.33435.3%12 W · 22 L-3.7wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Passion UA23c13,290$3,059 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,059.0923145.9%106 W · 125 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Passion UA34c9,806$3,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,33347147.3%223 W · 248 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7df…5eeebacked Passion UA32c7,500$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,399.9216245.1%73 W · 89 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Natus Vincere66c7,029$4,639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,389.736152.6%190 W · 171 L+13.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3bae…885abacked Natus Vincere68c6,500$4,419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,080.5627658%160 W · 116 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Natus Vincere66c5,000$3,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,699.9967041.8%280 W · 390 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x63d4…a2f1backed Natus Vincere67c4,997$3,348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,648.918254.9%100 W · 82 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Passion UA33c4,662$1,538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,538.464235.7%15 W · 27 L-4.5wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-30.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Passion UA34c4,241$1,442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,441.8878639.4%310 W · 476 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked Passion UA23c4,130$944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$943.898052.4%514 W · 466 L+26.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3fcf…056bbacked Natus Vincere67c3,250$2,178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,072.511354.9%62 W · 51 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d40…ec52backed Natus Vincere66c3,000$1,990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,009.9938954.5%212 W · 177 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5011…94b4backed Passion UA27c2,556$692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$691.8949941.7%208 W · 291 L+2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x689c…6b1ebacked Natus Vincere66c2,528$1,672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$856.0227552%143 W · 132 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe72b…3c9cbacked Natus Vincere65c2,102$1,372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$730.8728657.7%165 W · 121 L+14.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf964…a4cebacked Passion UA34c2,022$687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$687.475837.9%22 W · 36 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x611a…e171backed Natus Vincere72c2,000$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56017460.3%105 W · 69 L+0.7wins0.00per pick60cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x449c…eaf5backed Passion UA34c2,000$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.984052.5%21 W · 19 L+3.9wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+23.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Passion UA47c2,000$931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$931.462,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e7c…164dbacked Passion UA33c1,664$554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554.1834943%150 W · 199 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13c7…11d9backed Passion UA33c1,636$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540.0426743.1%115 W · 152 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0cc…ce77backed Passion UA33c1,515$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50011435.1%40 W · 74 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Passion UA49c1,510$744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$743.642,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd4f9…f4adbacked Natus Vincere68c1,478$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.419047.9%91 W · 99 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e8d…febfbacked Natus Vincere74c1,371$1,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.6716344.8%73 W · 90 L-32.6wins-0.20per pick65cpaid-34.1%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0xec54…c7b2backed Passion UA35c1,350$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.346147.5%29 W · 32 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972f…65bdbacked Natus Vincere65c1,289$836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453.3439157.5%225 W · 166 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Passion UA27c1,200$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.125747.5%122 W · 135 L+1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Passion UA35c1,110$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3911,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Passion UA32c1,041$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.0717230.8%53 W · 119 L-9.7wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-32.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8c4c…f869backed Natus Vincere66c941.18$625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.1812053.3%64 W · 56 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa535…9e5ebacked Passion UA34c829$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.8610062%62 W · 38 L+8.8wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+21.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1982…bc7bbacked Passion UA28c800$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22431845.3%144 W · 174 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66e5…d3c7backed Natus Vincere68c764.71$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.7123354.9%128 W · 105 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0db0…6424backed Natus Vincere52c753.23$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.236744.8%30 W · 37 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf38…848bbacked Natus Vincere66c748.33$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.3812950.4%65 W · 64 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa917…4e8dbacked Passion UA34c678$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.528949.4%44 W · 45 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Passion UA32c600$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.491,67651.1%857 W · 819 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Passion UA53c525.71$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.091,77959.1%1,052 W · 727 L+104.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Passion UA36c443.59$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.692,00953.9%1,082 W · 927 L+7.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Passion UA34c409.22$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.1350051.4%257 W · 243 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Natus Vincere65c400$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14017954.2%97 W · 82 L+0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x588d…3f41backed Natus Vincere71c400$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11683543.6%364 W · 471 L-9.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b26…57e9backed Natus Vincere62c390.21$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.81,48558%862 W · 623 L+66.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x765f…1508backed Natus Vincere68c366.54$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.2916761.7%103 W · 64 L-0.5wins0.00per pick62cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa533…acacbacked Natus Vincere68c323.53$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.5323858.4%139 W · 99 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe4dd…4f27backed Passion UA25c314.09$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.2350947%239 W · 270 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c1e…9514backed Natus Vincere66c303.03$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.0350050.6%253 W · 247 L+2.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94a1…2075backed Passion UA33c300$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9945244.5%201 W · 251 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Natus Vincere66c297.23$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.025,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Natus Vincere61c287.82$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.251,31053.7%703 W · 607 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed Passion UA43c269.98$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.092,52243%1,085 W · 1,437 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2b4…2ce6backed Natus Vincere67c261.19$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.1929757.6%171 W · 126 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e11…e1f5backed Passion UA25c260.4$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.13348.5%16 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+15.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Natus Vincere66c257$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.565850%29 W · 29 L-6.1wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-20.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0336…4bb0backed Passion UA39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006450%32 W · 32 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8976…7367backed Natus Vincere71c250$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.515648.1%75 W · 81 L+10.0wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+9.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3424…8b87backed Natus Vincere68c242.65$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.653655.6%20 W · 16 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Passion UA32c242.65$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.651,08150.9%550 W · 531 L+37.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe977…807ebacked Natus Vincere66c241.74$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.19366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+16%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x483a…01d6backed Natus Vincere66c224.97$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.4920349.3%100 W · 103 L-12.9wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-14.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb27d…3cc3backed Natus Vincere68c220.59$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.5916254.3%88 W · 74 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf7c…4c16backed Natus Vincere67c201.99$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.6613655.9%76 W · 60 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd68d…1f62backed Natus Vincere57c189.71$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.6925446.1%117 W · 137 L-11.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-15.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf9e4…24c2backed Natus Vincere66c189.08$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.0833354.4%181 W · 152 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x61e9…b13abacked Natus Vincere66c160$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.419954.3%108 W · 91 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Natus Vincere76c151.08$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.2642149.6%209 W · 212 L-1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17cb…edaabacked Passion UA34c150$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513636.1%13 W · 23 L-5.8wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-35.6%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x312c…0f42backed Natus Vincere67c149.01$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.0121053.8%113 W · 97 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe881…fb3dbacked Natus Vincere68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.0635466.1%234 W · 120 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc96f…2ab8backed Natus Vincere68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.0610866.7%72 W · 36 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0b3c…a34abacked Natus Vincere68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.0626443.2%114 W · 150 L-10.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa0f5…57e2backed Natus Vincere47c134.04$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.0433156.5%187 W · 144 L-1.6wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbced…5808backed Passion UA33c132.99$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.8914055%77 W · 63 L-0.7wins0.00per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked Passion UA33c110$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.31,28137.8%484 W · 797 L+5.5wins0.00per pick37cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3892…4093backed Passion UA20c107.4$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.4822650%113 W · 113 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5fa6…03ebbacked Natus Vincere65c100.35$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.1295642.6%407 W · 549 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf98b…57bbbacked Natus Vincere64c100$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3638157.7%220 W · 161 L-1.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00f7…4476backed Passion UA34c99.99$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348625.6%22 W · 64 L-13.4wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-41.8%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xee4b…43dcbacked Natus Vincere68c99.99$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3238051.3%195 W · 185 L+12.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa92e…1160backed Natus Vincere68c99.99$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3220732.4%67 W · 140 L-11.2wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-23.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed Passion UA27c98.48$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.7576248.4%369 W · 393 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb964…927fbacked Passion UA34c96.44$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.792352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f63…90ddbacked Natus Vincere67c95.52$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.527055.7%39 W · 31 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ccb…783cbacked Passion UA34c95$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x675c…4341backed Natus Vincere35c86.57$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.5718748.1%90 W · 97 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x989e…6529backed Natus Vincere68c80$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.613040%52 W · 78 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0612…559abacked Natus Vincere66c79$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.8613556.3%76 W · 59 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3baa…96f4backed Passion UA34c77$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.184953.1%26 W · 23 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x59eb…ae8cbacked Passion UA30c76.76$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.033745.9%17 W · 20 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+21.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3b89…1069backed Passion UA33c74.31$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.528752.9%46 W · 41 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00de…18a7backed Natus Vincere67c74.27$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.516960.9%42 W · 27 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ecd…3923backed Natus Vincere68c73.24$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.442055%11 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked Passion UA46c71.76$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.0159839.6%237 W · 361 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa415…6fb9backed Natus Vincere68c71$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.7220055%110 W · 90 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Natus Vincere68c67$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.4427554.9%151 W · 124 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.