Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omega
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x050bc8b9fee679f1d7d7fe48d82e632e81855bd8ba57cdf4d98116af4306eb87
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 100 Thievesof FURIA Esports, 100 Thieves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $303,978
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $324,527
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $303,978 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 331 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked FURIA Esports | 54c | 37,675$20,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,414.64 | 781 | 62%484 W · 297 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c3f…75cfbacked FURIA Esports | 53c | 26,571$13,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,956.59 | 136 | 51.5%70 W · 66 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e7…6a52backed FURIA Esports | 53c | 24,516$12,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,993.58 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed FURIA Esports | 59c | 20,000$11,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,770.35 | 521 | 55.5%289 W · 232 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked 100 Thieves | 47c | 20,000$9,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,599.97 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed 100 Thieves | 47c | 14,800$6,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,844 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked 100 Thieves | 44c | 13,990$6,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,771.61 | 289 | 55.7%161 W · 128 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed 100 Thieves | 48c | 12,750$6,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,619.99 | 260 | 50%130 W · 130 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4d…8525backed FURIA Esports | 42c | 11,909$5,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,023.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed 100 Thieves | 47c | 11,532$5,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,111.85 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7df…5eeebacked 100 Thieves | 45c | 10,131$4,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,522.07 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +5.9wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked 100 Thieves | 47c | 8,800$4,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,707.65 | 331 | 53.5%177 W · 154 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked 100 Thieves | 54c | 8,515$4,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,934.41 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked FURIA Esports | 56c | 7,162$4,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,004.94 | 689 | 49.5%341 W · 348 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…c98bbacked 100 Thieves | 50c | 6,587$3,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,266.84 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed 100 Thieves | 50c | 5,438$2,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,692.74 | 324 | 62.7%203 W · 121 L | +31.7wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +10%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked 100 Thieves | 45c | 5,348$2,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,966.68 | 158 | 50%79 W · 79 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba38…e406backed FURIA Esports | 52c | 5,112$2,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,658.01 | 547 | 51.2%280 W · 267 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed 100 Thieves | 48c | 4,657$2,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,410.42 | 931 | 48.1%448 W · 483 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…c7a1backed FURIA Esports | 54c | 4,060$2,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,192.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed 100 Thieves | 42c | 3,859$1,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,256.03 | 563 | 57.9%326 W · 237 L | +36.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…c3c8backed FURIA Esports | 52c | 3,800$1,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,975.99 | 285 | 48.4%138 W · 147 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed 100 Thieves | 23c | 3,440$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,642.54 | 390 | 42.6%166 W · 224 L | +19.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5054…0aafbacked 100 Thieves | 45c | 3,029$1,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,666.03 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed 100 Thieves | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +113.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed 100 Thieves | 43c | 2,743$1,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,571.14 | 531 | 59.1%314 W · 217 L | +41.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked 100 Thieves | 40c | 2,372$957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,414.3 | 533 | 55.3%295 W · 238 L | +24.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed FURIA Esports | 61c | 2,296$1,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410.72 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d91…c930backed FURIA Esports | 47c | 2,273$1,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,063.77 | 212 | 57.1%121 W · 91 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked 100 Thieves | 36c | 2,230$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,417.72 | 684 | 58.3%399 W · 285 L | +56.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed 100 Thieves | 45c | 2,084$942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,141.74 | 255 | 56.1%143 W · 112 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked 100 Thieves | 60c | 1,937$1,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.56 | 311 | 53.1%165 W · 146 L | +15.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…1319backed 100 Thieves | 46c | 1,910$879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,031.48 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe705…f910backed FURIA Esports | 56c | 1,866$1,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,044.96 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed 100 Thieves | 42c | 1,800$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,051.15 | 242 | 50.4%122 W · 120 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd3…bd26backed 100 Thieves | 43c | 1,615$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$921.43 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked FURIA Esports | 77c | 1,607$1,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,231.19 | 129 | 48.1%62 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked 100 Thieves | 53c | 1,572$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.75 | 655 | 59.4%389 W · 266 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed 100 Thieves | 48c | 1,571$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814.97 | 425 | 40.5%172 W · 253 L | -22.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48b8…4b69backed 100 Thieves | 45c | 1,520$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.75 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked FURIA Esports | 54c | 1,487$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810.36 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x021e…f194backed 100 Thieves | 56c | 1,437$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked 100 Thieves | 46c | 1,380$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.97 | 42 | 69%29 W · 13 L | +6.7wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x54ea…f74abacked FURIA Esports | 47c | 1,368$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked 100 Thieves | 44c | 1,364$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.15 | 351 | 42.5%149 W · 202 L | -14.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed 100 Thieves | 48c | 1,363$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.99 | 112 | 58%65 W · 47 L | +12.8wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed 100 Thieves | 48c | 1,300$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +9.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked 100 Thieves | 51c | 1,258$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.07 | 211 | 36.5%77 W · 134 L | -15.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed FURIA Esports | 55c | 1,160$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ed…1ea1backed FURIA Esports | 53c | 1,129$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.5 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c8…84a6backed FURIA Esports | 53c | 1,104$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585 | 231 | 51.9%120 W · 111 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…16e3backed FURIA Esports | 49c | 1,071$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.26 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x211b…1872backed 100 Thieves | 44c | 1,040$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.47 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked 100 Thieves | 25c | 1,037$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.21 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed 100 Thieves | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed 100 Thieves | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 141 | 58.2%82 W · 59 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked 100 Thieves | 47c | 999.99$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked FURIA Esports | 57c | 999.96$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.98 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d91…b09abacked FURIA Esports | 53c | 931.15$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.51 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa4…236cbacked FURIA Esports | 53c | 928$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.44 | 109 | 51.4%56 W · 53 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked 100 Thieves | 48c | 905.7$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.46 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed FURIA Esports | 51c | 901.13$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.69 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked FURIA Esports | 53c | 900$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481 | 366 | 48.4%177 W · 189 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed FURIA Esports | 54c | 840.74$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a5…534cbacked 100 Thieves | 48c | 835.38$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.38 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c22…0c2cbacked 100 Thieves | 48c | 825.31$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.16 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed 100 Thieves | 56c | 805.35$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.88 | 452 | 50%226 W · 226 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed 100 Thieves | 28c | 804.11$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.09 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…e8b5backed 100 Thieves | 48c | 800$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked 100 Thieves | 36c | 794$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.61 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked FURIA Esports | 50c | 794$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.66 | 361 | 38.5%139 W · 222 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c93…33d5backed FURIA Esports | 53c | 755$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.15 | 79 | 34.2%27 W · 52 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4350…4bbabacked FURIA Esports | 56c | 737.26$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.3 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed FURIA Esports | 53c | 719$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.07 | 256 | 60.9%156 W · 100 L | +22.5wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed FURIA Esports | 52c | 699.87$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.93 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed FURIA Esports | 58c | 694.34$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.72 | 176 | 40.3%71 W · 105 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed 100 Thieves | 48c | 679.23$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.01 | 117 | 47%55 W · 62 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed FURIA Esports | 53c | 660.38$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 234 | 63.7%149 W · 85 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked FURIA Esports | 53c | 640.38$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.4 | 287 | 47.4%136 W · 151 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed 100 Thieves | 39c | 629.26$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.1 | 375 | 45.6%171 W · 204 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11e1…8d38backed FURIA Esports | 52c | 609.84$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 89 | 66.3%59 W · 30 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed FURIA Esports | 55c | 602.74$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.05 | 151 | 47%71 W · 80 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked 100 Thieves | 44c | 602.41$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.58 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed 100 Thieves | 35c | 599.77$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.88 | 176 | 54.5%96 W · 80 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb46…3692backed FURIA Esports | 37c | 599$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.63 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed FURIA Esports | 56c | 568.11$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.14 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec10…ff8cbacked FURIA Esports | 41c | 547.78$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.18 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed 100 Thieves | 46c | 530.65$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.41 | 279 | 47.7%133 W · 146 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac42…60d1backed FURIA Esports | 56c | 521$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.76 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbec5…8f77backed FURIA Esports | 35c | 498.45$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.88 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked 100 Thieves | 33c | 464.23$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.02 | 312 | 27.6%86 W · 226 L | -33.9wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8b…ce68backed FURIA Esports | 46c | 445.63$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60cd…3e7ebacked FURIA Esports | 54c | 428.02$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.13 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0096…2a83backed FURIA Esports | 54c | 416.98$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.17 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked FURIA Esports | 53c | 415.59$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.27 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed 100 Thieves | 47c | 408.51$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.51 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbf…4605backed FURIA Esports | 54c | 404$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.2 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -6.6wins | -0.22per pick | 49cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…2fe4backed FURIA Esports | 53c | 400$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf99…9840backed FURIA Esports | 53c | 400$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 180 | 49.4%89 W · 91 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a9…72d2backed FURIA Esports | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.18per pick | 63cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: FURIA Esports vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omegathis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Valorant: FURIA Esports vs 100 Thieves - Map 1 WinnerFURIA Esports won
- Valorant: FURIA Esports vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 Winner100 Thieves won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.